What’s the Reflation Trade?

What’s the Reflation Trade?

The reflation trade is a bet that certain sectors of the market perform well immediately after a recession or economic crisis. Essentially, it’s a bet on cyclical stocks at the beginning of a market recovery.

Reflation is the recovery in prices that typically comes immediately after a low-point in the economic cycle — often after economic stimulus, and the reflation trade is the purchase of specific stocks or stocks within sectors believed to outperform in that type of environment.

Key Points

•   Reflation trade strategy focuses on sectors expected to thrive post-recession.

•   Investment areas include hospitality, dining, energy, materials, financials, value stocks, bonds, and commodities.

•   Small cap stocks are also beneficial in this strategy.

•   A reflation trade strategy bets on economic recovery and growth.

•   Diversification across different types of reflation assets is recommended for balanced risk and reward.

Reflation vs Inflation

While both reflation and inflation are characterized by rising prices, they are not the same thing.

Reflation is a recovery of prices lost during an economic downturn along with employment growth, and many economists see reflation as a healthy sign of an improving economy. It often accompanies economic stimulus, and may reflect monetary policy designed to stimulate spending and halt deflation.

Inflation, on the other hand, does not look at employment or any other economic factors. It is the rise in prices beyond their “normal” range, and poses a threat to economic recovery, since it can reduce the purchasing power of consumers and make it more expensive to borrow money.

Reflation is also different from what happens during stagflation, in which prices go up but wages don’t follow.


💡 Quick Tip: If you’re opening a brokerage account for the first time, consider starting with an amount of money you’re prepared to lose. Investing always includes the risk of loss, and until you’ve gained some experience, it’s probably wise to start small.

Understanding Reflation Trade Opportunities

Reflation doesn’t just mean that the market as a whole will rise as economic activity returns to normal or even higher levels. Instead there’s a focus on certain sectors as they reflate after a decline.

For example, some investors might see reflationary dynamics in sectors like hospitality or dining during a pandemic, along with travel and tourism. It may also be noticeable, under those circumstances, in more indirectly affected sectors like energy and materials.

Again, assuming an economy suffers a pandemic, part of the reflation trade could be a switch from purchases of goods to services, as people go out more, whether it’s movie theaters, restaurant meals, theme parks and hotels. These are the sectors that would perform well if the reflation thesis turned out to be true.

Investors interested in the reflation trade can invest in individual stocks, or get more diversified exposure by investing in sector-specific exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or index funds.

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Reflation Trade Sectors

While hospitality stocks might make sense for investors considering a reflation trade, there are other sectors that typically perform well in most reflationary environments. Here’s a look at a few of them:

Financial Stocks

Banks and other financial institutions tend to do well after an economic recession, since they can benefit from both higher interest rates and ramped up consumer spending.

Value Investing

Companies that deliver steady, long-term growth often get undervalued during economic downtimes, meaning that they’re poised for better performance as the market begins to improve. That’s the logic behind value investing.

Bonds

When interest rates are rising — in either the short- or the long-term — investing in bonds may benefit from a reflationary market.

Commodities

Since commodities tend to perform well during both periods of inflation and periods of economic growth, they’re a favored investment among those looking for a reflationary trade. As such, commodities trading could be an attractive area in a reflationary market.

Small Cap Stocks

Investments in small cap stocks tend to increase in value after recessions or during periods of growth, making them another asset that investors might consider in a reflationary market.


💡 Quick Tip: It’s smart to invest in a range of assets so that you’re not overly reliant on any one company or market to do well. For example, by investing in different sectors you can add diversification to your portfolio, which may help mitigate some risk factors over time.

The Takeaway

The reflationary trade is a bet on specific sectors of the economy or certain types of asset classes in the aftermath of an economic downturn. If you’re interested in incorporating the reflation trade into your portfolio, you could do so either via individual stocks or by buying sector-specific exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds.

But note that the economy is a complicated thing, and that there are cycles it naturally takes, but it’s also susceptible to all sorts of other events. That includes natural disasters, political changes, or even pandemics and other global crises. With that in mind, it can be difficult to be sure of what sort of environment the economy is in, exactly, at any given time.

Invest in what matters most to you with SoFi Active Invest. In a self-directed account provided by SoFi Securities, you can trade stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, options, and more — all while paying $0 commission on every trade. Other fees may apply. Whether you want to trade after-hours or manage your portfolio using real-time stock insights and analyst ratings, you can invest your way in SoFi's easy-to-use mobile app.

Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.¹

FAQ

Is reflation the same as inflation?

No, reflation refers to a recovery in prices or value lost during an economic downturn, along with employment growth. Inflation is simply a rise in the prices of goods and services over time.

What are common reflation trade sectors?

Common reflation trade sectors include stocks of different types (such as financial stocks, small-cap stocks, etc.), bonds, and commodities.

What does reflation trade refer to?

The reflation trade is a bet that certain sectors of the market perform well immediately after a recession or economic crisis. In other words, it’s a bet on cyclical stocks at the beginning of a market recovery.


Photo credit: iStock/eugenesergeev

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): Investors should carefully consider the information contained in the prospectus, which contains the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other relevant information. You may obtain a prospectus from the Fund company’s website or by emailing customer service at [email protected]. Please read the prospectus carefully prior to investing.

Mutual Funds (MFs): Investors should carefully consider the information contained in the prospectus, which contains the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other relevant information. You may obtain a prospectus from the Fund company’s website or clicking the prospectus link on the fund's respective page at sofi.com. You may also contact customer service at: 1.855.456.7634. Please read the prospectus carefully prior to investing.Mutual Funds must be bought and sold at NAV (Net Asset Value); unless otherwise noted in the prospectus, trades are only done once per day after the markets close. Investment returns are subject to risk, include the risk of loss. Shares may be worth more or less their original value when redeemed. The diversification of a mutual fund will not protect against loss. A mutual fund may not achieve its stated investment objective. Rebalancing and other activities within the fund may be subject to tax consequences.

Investment Risk: Diversification can help reduce some investment risk. It cannot guarantee profit, or fully protect in a down market.

Disclaimer: The projections or other information regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results.


¹Probability of Member receiving $1,000 is a probability of 0.026%; If you don’t make a selection in 45 days, you’ll no longer qualify for the promo. Customer must fund their account with a minimum of $50.00 to qualify. Probability percentage is subject to decrease. See full terms and conditions.

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Guide to Junk Bonds and Their Pros and Cons

A high-yield bond, often called a junk bond, is debt issued by a corporation that has failed to achieve the credit rating of more stable companies. Though they tend to be high-yield, they’re also relatively high-risk, in most cases.

All investments fall somewhere along the spectrum of risk and reward. In order to increase the chance at a higher reward, an investor must generally increase risk. High-yield bonds are no exception and have a higher likelihood of default than investment-grade bonds. That’s why they are also often called “junk bonds.”

Key Points

•   High-yield bonds, or junk bonds, offer higher interest rates and potential for price appreciation.

•   Credit ratings for high-yield bonds are below BBB by S&P and Baa by Moody’s, indicating higher risk.

•   Advantages include higher and consistent yields, with bondholders having priority in company liquidation.

•   Disadvantages include higher default rates, difficulty in reselling, and potential depreciation from credit rating changes.

•   Investors can access high-yield bonds directly or through mutual funds and ETFs, offering diversification and management.

Overview of the Bond Market

Bonds are popular with investors for being mostly lower risk than stocks. The bond market works in such a way that it’s made up of a wide asset class that are essentially investments in the debt of a government — federal or local — or a corporation.

They are packaged as a contract between the issuer (the borrower) and the lender (the investor). With bonds, you are acting as both the lender and the investor. That’s why bonds are also referred to as debt instruments, and a key component in how bonds work.

The rate of return that an investor makes on a bond is the rate of interest the issuer pays on their debt plus the increase in value when the bond is sold from when it was purchased. You may hear the interest rate on a bond referred to as the coupon rate. Most bonds make interest payments — coupon payments — twice annually.

You’ll also hear bonds commonly referred to as fixed-income investments. That’s because the interest on a bond is predetermined and will not change, even as markets fluctuate. For example, if a 20-year bond is issued with a 3% interest rate, that interest rate is set and will not change throughout the life of that bond.

Although the interest rate on the bond does not change, the underlying price of the bond can change. Therefore, it is possible to experience negative returns with a bond investment. Bond prices may also retreat in an environment of rising interest rates — this is called interest rate risk.


💡 Quick Tip: When people talk about investment risk, they mean the risk of losing money. Some investments are higher risk, some are lower. Be sure to bear this in mind when investing online.

What Is a High-yield Bond?

As you might expect, high-yield bonds are bonds that pay a high relative rate of interest. Why might a bond pay a higher rate of interest? Most commonly, because there is a higher degree of risk associated with the bond. Hence, the “junk bond” moniker.

The trade-off is that less-risky bond investments typically tend to have a lower yield. Therefore, bonds with lower credit ratings generally must offer higher coupon rates.

In addition to classifications by type (corporate, Treasury, and municipal bonds), bonds are graded on their riskiness, which is also known as their creditworthiness.

A default can occur when the issuer is unable to make timely payments or stops making payments for whatever reason. In some cases of default, the principal, or the amount initially invested, cannot be repaid to the lender (i.e., the investor).

Credit Rating Agencies and Junk Bonds

There are two main credit-rating agencies: S&P Global Ratings, and Moody’s.

Each has its own grading system. The S&P rating system, for example, begins at AAA, which is the best rating, and then AA, A, BBB, and so on, down to D. Bonds that are ranked as a D are currently in default and C grades are at a high risk of default.

Using S&P’s system, high-yield bonds are generally classified as below a BBB rating. These bonds are considered to be highly speculative. Bonds at a BBB rating and above are less speculative and sometimes referred to as “investment grade.” With Moody’s rating, high-yield bonds are classified at a Baa rating and below.

This means that bonds with better credit ratings are generally the ones that are least likely to default. Treasuries and corporate bonds issued by large, stable companies are considered relatively low-risk, and highly unlikely to default. These bonds come with a AAA rating.

Fallen Angels in the Bond Market

Fallen angels are companies that have been downgraded from a higher investment-grade credit rating to junk-bond status. Diminished finances, as well as a tough economic environment, could send a company from the coveted investment-graded status to junk.

Rising Stars in the Bond Market

A rising star is a junk bond that has potential to become investment grade due to an improved financial position by the company. A rising star could also be a company that’s relatively new to the corporate debt market and therefore has no history of debt. However, analysts at credit-rating firms may judge that the company has high creditworthiness due to its finances or competitive edge.

Junk Bonds: Pros & Cons

It’s up to each investor to decide if high-yield bonds have a place in their portfolio. Here are the pros and cons of high-yield bonds so you can make a decision about whether to integrate them into your overall investment strategy.

5 Pros of High-yield Bonds

Here’s a rundown of some of the pros of high-yield bonds.

1. Higher Yield

High-yield bond rates tend to be higher than the rates for investment-grade bonds. The interest rate spread may vary over time, but high-yield bonds having higher rates will generally be true or else no investor would choose a higher-risk bond over a lower-risk bond with the same rate.

2. Consistent Yield

Even most high-yield or junk bonds agree to a yield that is fixed and therefore, predictable. Yes, the risk of default is higher than with an investment-grade bond, but a high-yield bond is not necessarily destined to default. A high-yield bond may provide a more consistent yield than a stock, which is a key thing to know when researching bonds vs. stocks.

3. Bondholders Get Priority When Company Fails

If a company collapses, both stockholders and bondholders are at risk of losing their investments. In the event that assets are liquidated, bondholders are first in line to be paid out and stockholders come next. In this way, a high-yield bond could be considered less risky than a stock for the same company.

4. Bond Prices May Appreciate Due to Credit Rating

When a bond has a less than perfect rating, it has the opportunity to improve. This is not the case for AAA bonds. If a company gets an improved rating from one of the agencies, it’s possible that the price of the bond may appreciate.

5. Less Interest-Rate Sensitivity

Some analysts believe that high-yield bonds may actually be less sensitive to changes in interest rates because they often have shorter durations. Many high-yield bonds have 10-year, or shorter, terms, which make them less prone to interest rate risk than bonds with maturities of 20 or 30 years.

4 Cons of High-Yield Bonds

Here are some of the cons of high-yield bonds.

1. Higher Default Rates

High-yield bonds offer a higher rate of return because they have a higher risk of default than investment-grade bonds. During a default, it is possible for an investor to lose all money, including the principal amount invested. Unstable companies are particularly vulnerable to collapse, especially during a recession. The rating agencies seek to identify these companies.

2. May Be Difficult to Sell

If an investor invests directly in high-yield bonds, they may be more difficult to resell. In general, bond trading is not as fluid as stock trading, and high-yield bonds may attract less demand or have smaller markets, and therefore, may be harder to sell at the desired price, or at all.

3. Bond Price May Depreciate Due to Credit Rating

Just as a bond price could increase with an improved rating, a bond price could fall with a decreased rating. Investors may want to investigate which companies are at risk of a lowered credit rating by one of the major agencies.

4. Sensitive to Interest Rate Changes

All bonds are subject to interest rate risk. Bond prices move in an inverse direction to interest rates; they can decrease in value during periods of increasing interest rates.

How to Invest in High-yield Bonds

There are two primary ways to invest in junk bonds: by owning the bonds directly and by owning a pool of bonds through the use of mutual funds or exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

By owning high-yield bonds directly, you have more control over how your portfolio is invested, but it can be difficult for retail investors to do this. Brokerage firms typically allow sophisticated investors to directly own junk bonds, but even then it could be labor-intensive and a hassle.

Investing in high-yield bond mutual funds or ETFs, on the other hand, may allow you to diversify your holdings quickly and easily.

Junk-bond funds may also allow you to make swift changes to your overall portfolio when needed; they might be more economical for smaller investors; and they allow you to invest in multiple bond funds if desired. It’s important to check both the transaction costs and the internal management fee, called an expense ratio, on your funds.

Do Junk Bonds Fit Into Your Investment Strategy?

The only way to truly determine whether junk bonds are a good or suitable fit for your portfolio and investment strategy is to sit down and take stock of your full financial picture. It may also be worthwhile to consult with a financial professional for guidance.

But generally speaking, junk bonds are likely going to be a suitable addition to your portfolio if you’ve already covered all, or most, of your other bases. That is, that you’ve built a diversified portfolio, and are taking your risk tolerance and time horizon into account. In that case, having some room to “play” with junk bonds may be suitable — but again, a financial professional would likely be able to provide some guidance.

If you’re a beginner investor, or someone who’s trying to build a portfolio from scratch, junk bonds are probably not a good fit. If you’ve been investing for years and have a large, diversified portfolio? Then adding some junk bonds or other high-risk investments to the mix probably wouldn’t be nearly as big of an issue.

Other Higher-Risk Investments

Junk bonds are high-risk investments, but they’re far from the only ones. Here are some other types of relatively high-risk investments to be aware of.

Penny Stocks

Penny stocks are stocks with very low share prices — typically less than $5 per share, and often, under $1 per share. While these stocks have the potential for huge gains, they’re also very risky and speculative. As such, they may be considered the “junk bonds” of the stock market.

IPO stocks

Another type of high-risk stock is IPO stocks, or shares of companies that have recently gone public. While an IPO stock may see its value soar immediately after hitting the market, there’s also a good chance that its value could fall significantly, which makes IPO stocks a risky investment.

REITs

REITs, or real estate investment trusts, allow investors to invest in real estate assets without actually buying property. But the real estate market has significant risks, which filter down to REITs and REIT shareholders. That, like the aforementioned investments, makes them risky and speculative.

The Takeaway

High-yield bonds, or junk bonds, are debt instruments issued by a corporation that has failed to achieve the credit rating of more stable companies. Though they tend to be high-yield, they’re also very risky in most cases. That doesn’t mean that they don’t necessarily have a place in an investor’s portfolio, however.

While companies that issue high-yield bonds tend to be lower on a scale of creditworthiness than their investment-grade counterparts, junk bonds still tend to have more reliable returns than stocks or nascent markets like cryptocurrencies.

Invest in what matters most to you with SoFi Active Invest. In a self-directed account provided by SoFi Securities, you can trade stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, options, and more — all while paying $0 commission on every trade. Other fees may apply. Whether you want to trade after-hours or manage your portfolio using real-time stock insights and analyst ratings, you can invest your way in SoFi's easy-to-use mobile app.

Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.¹

FAQ

What is considered a junk bond?

A junk bond describes a type of corporate bond that has a credit rating below most other bonds from stable companies. The low credit rating tends to mean they’re riskier, and accordingly, pay higher yields.

Are high yield bonds good investments?

Generally, no, high-yield bonds or junk bonds are not good investments, mostly because they’re risky and speculative. Again, that doesn’t mean that there isn’t necessarily a place for them in a portfolio, but investors would do well to research them thoroughly before buying.

Which bonds give the highest yield?

High-yield bonds, or junk bonds, tend to give investors the highest yield. These are risky bonds issued by corporations, and have low credit ratings. As such, they’re speculative investments.


INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): Investors should carefully consider the information contained in the prospectus, which contains the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other relevant information. You may obtain a prospectus from the Fund company’s website or by emailing customer service at [email protected]. Please read the prospectus carefully prior to investing.

Mutual Funds (MFs): Investors should carefully consider the information contained in the prospectus, which contains the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other relevant information. You may obtain a prospectus from the Fund company’s website or clicking the prospectus link on the fund's respective page at sofi.com. You may also contact customer service at: 1.855.456.7634. Please read the prospectus carefully prior to investing.Mutual Funds must be bought and sold at NAV (Net Asset Value); unless otherwise noted in the prospectus, trades are only done once per day after the markets close. Investment returns are subject to risk, include the risk of loss. Shares may be worth more or less their original value when redeemed. The diversification of a mutual fund will not protect against loss. A mutual fund may not achieve its stated investment objective. Rebalancing and other activities within the fund may be subject to tax consequences.

S&P 500 Index: The S&P 500 Index is a market-capitalization-weighted index of 500 leading publicly traded companies in the U.S. It is not an investment product, but a measure of U.S. equity performance. Historical performance of the S&P 500 Index does not guarantee similar results in the future. The historical return of the S&P 500 Index shown does not include the reinvestment of dividends or account for investment fees, expenses, or taxes, which would reduce actual returns.
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Investment Risk: Diversification can help reduce some investment risk. It cannot guarantee profit, or fully protect in a down market.

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¹Probability of Member receiving $1,000 is a probability of 0.026%; If you don’t make a selection in 45 days, you’ll no longer qualify for the promo. Customer must fund their account with a minimum of $50.00 to qualify. Probability percentage is subject to decrease. See full terms and conditions.

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Understanding the Margin of Safety Formula and Calculation

The margin of safety formula provides a way for investors to calculate a safe price at which to buy a security. This method derives from the value investing school of thought. According to value investing principles, stocks have an intrinsic value and a market value. Intrinsic value is the price they “should” be trading at, while market value is its current price.

Figuring out the difference between these two prices, typically expressed as a percentage, is the essence of the margin of safety formula. Using it correctly may help protect investors from painful losses.

Key Points

•   The margin of safety formula helps investors determine a safe buying price for a security.

•   It is calculated as 1 – (Current Stock Price / Intrinsic Stock Price).

•   A 10% margin of safety means the stock can drop 10% before incurring a loss.

•   Larger margins of safety, typically 20% to 30%, are considered better for managing investment risks.

•   The formula helps identify undervalued stocks and provides a buffer against errors in intrinsic value estimates.

What Is a Margin of Safety?

A margin of safety, as it relates to investing, gives investors an idea of how much margin of error they have when evaluating investments. Making profitable investment decisions is largely about investment risk management. The risk involved in a trade needs to be balanced with the potential reward. In financial markets, taking greater risks often gives the potential for greater rewards but also for greater losses — a concept known as the risk-reward ratio.

There are actually two ways that margin of safety can be utilized. One is in the investing sphere, the other is in accounting.

Margin of Safety in Investing

As it relates to investing, the purpose of calculating a margin of safety is to give investors a cushion for unexpected losses should their analysis prove to be off. This can be helpful because although estimating the intrinsic value of a stock is supposed to be an objective process, it’s done by humans who can make mistakes or inject their own biases. Even the most experienced and successful traders, both institutional and retail investors — all don’t always make the right call.

To try and correct for this possibility, value investors can determine their margin of safety when entering a position.

Expressed as a percentage, this figure is intended to represent the amount of error that could go into calculating the intrinsic value of a stock without ruining the trade. In other words, the percentage answers the question, “By what margin can I be wrong here without losing too much money?”

Margin of Safety in Accounting

In accounting, margin of safety is a financial metric that calculates the difference between forecasted sales and sales at a break-even point. While this has obvious use in a business context, it’s not really applicable to investors.

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Margin of Safety Formula

The margin of safety formula works like this:

Margin of safety = 1 – [Current Stock Price] / [Intrinsic Stock Price]

Example of Calculating Margin of Safety

Let’s look at an example of calculating margin of safety.

An investor wants to buy shares of company A for the current market price of $9 per share. After a thorough analysis of the company’s fundamentals, this investor believes the intrinsic value of the stock to be closer to $10. Plugging these numbers into the margin of safety formula yields the following results:

1 – (9/10) = 10%.

In this example, the margin of safety percentage would be 10%.

The idea is that an investor could be off on their intrinsic value price target by as much as 10% and theoretically not take a loss, or only a very small one.

Now an investor has determined their margin of safety. How might they use this figure?

To provide a substantial cushion for potential losses, an investor could plan to enter into a trade at a price lower than its intrinsic value. This could be done using the calculated margin of safety.

In the example above, say an investor decided that 10% wasn’t a wide enough margin, and instead wanted to be extra cautious and use 20%. They would then set a price target of $8, which is 20% lower than the stock’s estimated value of $10.

Who Uses the Margin of Safety Formula?

The margin of safety is typically used by investors of value stocks. Value investors look for stocks that could be undervalued, or trading at prices lower than they should be, to find profitable trading opportunities. The method for accomplishing this involves the difference between market value and intrinsic value.

The market value of a stock is simply what price it’s trading for at the moment. This fluctuates constantly and can extend well beyond intrinsic value during times of greed or fall far below intrinsic value during times of fear.

Intrinsic value is a calculation of what price a stock likely should be trading at based on fundamental analysis. There are several factors that determine a stock price and the analysis considers both quantitative and qualitative factors. That might include things like past, present, and estimated future earnings, profits and revenue, brand recognition, products and patents owned, or a variety of other factors.


💡 Quick Tip: How to manage potential risk factors in a self directed investment account? Doing your research and employing strategies like dollar-cost averaging and diversification may help mitigate financial risk when trading stocks.

How Investors Can Use Margin of Safety

After determining the intrinsic value of a stock, an investor could simply buy it if the current market price happens to be lower. But what if their calculations were wrong? That’s where a margin of safety comes in. And why it can be very important when investing in stocks.

Because no one can consider all of the appropriate factors and make a perfect calculation, factoring in a margin of safety can help to ensure investors don’t take unnecessary losses.

As mentioned, too, the margin of safety formula is also used in accounting to determine how far a company’s sales could fall before the company becomes unprofitable. Here we will focus on the definition used in investing.

Ideal Margin of Safety

It’s difficult to say if there’s an ideal margin of safety for any particular investor. But we can say that the larger the margin of safety is, the more room an investor has to be wrong — which isn’t necessarily a bad thing. With that in mind, a larger or wider margin of safety is probably better for most investors.

How Important Is the Margin of Safety?

With the idea in mind that a wider or larger margin of safety allows for more room to be wrong about investment choices or analyses, it can be fairly important for investors. But it really will come down to the individual investor, who considers their own personal risk tolerance and investment strategy, and how it meshes with their tolerance for being wrong.

While it may be important to a degree, there are likely other factors that eclipse it in terms of overall importance in an investing strategy. For example, investing regularly and often may be more important — but again, it’ll come down to the individual.

The Takeaway

In investing, the margin of safety formula is a way for investors to be extra careful when selecting an entry point in a security. By determining a percentage and placing a discount to a stock’s estimated value, an investor can find a mathematical framework with which they can try to be safer with their money.

It’s relatively easy to learn how to calculate one’s margin of safety. There are only two variables — the market value of a stock and the intrinsic value. Dividing the market value by the intrinsic value then subtracting the result from one equals the margin of safety.

Invest in what matters most to you with SoFi Active Invest. In a self-directed account provided by SoFi Securities, you can trade stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, options, and more — all while paying $0 commission on every trade. Other fees may apply. Whether you want to trade after-hours or manage your portfolio using real-time stock insights and analyst ratings, you can invest your way in SoFi's easy-to-use mobile app.

Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.¹

FAQ

What is the ideal margin of safety for investing activities?

There may not be an ideal margin of safety for investors, but as a general rule of thumb, the wider the margin, the more room they have to be wrong. Therefore, the bigger, the better, in most cases.

Is the margin of safety the same as the degree of operating leverage?

In accounting, the margin of safety refers to the difference between actual sales and break-even sales, whereas the degree of operating leverage is a different metric altogether. So, no, they’re not the same.

What is a good margin of safety percentage?

While there is no hard and fast answer, some experts might say that a good margin of safety percentage is somewhere in the 20% to 30% range.


INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Disclaimer: The projections or other information regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results.

Investment Risk: Diversification can help reduce some investment risk. It cannot guarantee profit, or fully protect in a down market.

Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA): Dollar cost averaging is an investment strategy that involves regularly investing a fixed amount of money, regardless of market conditions. This approach can help reduce the impact of market volatility and lower the average cost per share over time. However, it does not guarantee a profit or protect against losses in declining markets. Investors should consider their financial goals, risk tolerance, and market conditions when deciding whether to use dollar cost averaging. Past performance is not indicative of future results. You should consult with a financial advisor to determine if this strategy is appropriate for your individual circumstances.


¹Probability of Member receiving $1,000 is a probability of 0.026%; If you don’t make a selection in 45 days, you’ll no longer qualify for the promo. Customer must fund their account with a minimum of $50.00 to qualify. Probability percentage is subject to decrease. See full terms and conditions.

Third Party Trademarks: Certified Financial Planner Board of Standards Center for Financial Planning, Inc. owns and licenses the certification marks CFP®, CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER®

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How to Invest in Gold: Tips for 1st Time Gold Investors

There are numerous ways to invest in gold, including buying physical coins or bullion, or even through stocks or funds. But there are a lot of things to take into consideration before investing in gold, especially for first-timers.

As you build your investing portfolio, you might wonder: Is gold a good investment? While some investors may be interested in it as a hedge against inflation or market downturns, or to further diversify their portfolio, it’s important to know that investing in gold isn’t simple, especially for first-time investors. One reason is that there are so many ways to invest in gold, each with their own pros and cons.

Key Points

•   Investors may invest in gold through physical gold, coins, jewelry, mining stocks, ETFs, mutual funds, futures, and options.

•   Consider factors like cost, storage, market volatility, and purity when choosing how to invest in gold.

•   Physical gold, coins, and jewelry offer direct ownership but may have high costs, storage needs, and markups.

•   Gold mining stocks, ETFs, mutual funds, and derivatives provide various levels of risk and potential returns.

•   First-time investors should explore gold as a hedge, verify authenticity, research risks, and actively monitor derivatives.

Why Some Investors Like Gold

Historically, investors have turned to gold as a way to hedge against the possibility of inflation or events that could negatively impact the equity markets. And while it can be volatile in the short term, gold has historically held its value well over the long term. Even investors who are not particularly concerned about inflation or about calamities affecting the broader market, may turn to gold as a way to diversify a portfolio.

5 Ways to Invest in Gold

For anyone considering investing in this precious metal, it can be helpful to familiarize yourself with the different ways one can invest in gold.

Buy Physical Gold

When thinking of ways to invest in gold, the first image that may come to mind is piles of gold bars in a place like Fort Knox. Those bars are also known as bullion, and it comes in bars that can be as small as a few grams, or as large as 400 ounces. The most common denominations of gold bullion are one- and 10-ounce bars.

For many investors, even the one-ounce bars can be too expensive, as they can cost thousands of dollars each. And because the bullion is a physical item, there’s no easy way to own a fraction of a bar. But if you do want to own bullion directly, the first order of business is to find a reputable dealer to buy from, and then look into the costs of delivery and insurance for the asset. Another option if you buy bullion is to pay for storage, either in a large vault or in a safety deposit box at a bank.

Buy Gold Coins

Gold coins offer another way to directly own the shiny yellow metal, in a variety of denominations including half-ounce and quarter-ounce. Well-known gold coins include South African Krugerrands, Canadian Maple Leafs, and American Gold Eagles, which have been known to sell at a premium to their actual gold content among collectors.

While you may be able to buy gold coins at a discount from local collectors or pawn shops, most investors will likely opt for a reputable dealer. As with bullion, it is important to protect this hard asset, either through insurance, or with a vault or safe deposit box.

Buy Gold Jewelry

If you don’t want your gold investment to just sit in a vault, then gold jewelry may be appealing. But it comes with its own considerations. The first is that gold jewelry may not have as much actual gold content as the jeweler claims. Verifying the authenticity of a piece not only protects you, but it will also help when it comes time to sell the piece. One way to do this is to only buy jewelry from reputable dealers, who can also deliver documentation about the piece.

Another point to remember is that a piece of jewelry will also come with a markup from the company that made it, which can make the piece cost as much as three times the value of its metal. And jewelry typically isn’t 100% pure gold — or 24 karats — so it’s important to know the purity and melt value of the jewelry before you buy.

Buy the Stocks of Gold Mining Companies

One way to take advantage of growth in the value of gold with your existing brokerage account that you might want to consider is to buy the stocks of companies in the gold business, including miners and refiners.

While gold stocks tend to go up and down with the price of gold, they may also experience price changes based on the company’s own prospects.

Buy Gold ETFs and Mutual Funds

If the risks of individual mining and refining companies are too much, you may want to consider a gold exchange-traded fund (ETF) or mutual fund. These vehicles — which are available through one’s brokerage account — invest in gold in different ways.

Buy Gold Futures and Options

Experienced investors with some familiarity trading derivatives may consider investing in the gold market through futures and options. These contracts allow the investor to buy or sell gold for an agreed-upon price by a fixed date. To trade these contracts, an investor needs a brokerage account that offers the ability to trade them.

An investment in gold options or futures contracts, however, requires active monitoring. These contracts expire on a regular basis, so investors have to be ready to sell, roll over, or exercise them as gold prices change, and as the contracts reach their expiration dates.


💡 Quick Tip: How to manage potential risk factors in a self directed investment account? Doing your research and employing strategies like dollar-cost averaging and diversification may help mitigate financial risk when trading stocks.

Considerations for Investing in Gold

Perhaps the most important thing to know about investing in gold is that it’s all but impossible to get a sense of where its value is headed in the near-term. In other words, predicting the future price of an idiosyncratic and volatile commodity like gold is all but impossible.

For instance, back in 2020, gold increased in value by 24.6% in U.S. dollars, and reached all-time highs in a number of currencies, in anticipation of a coming wave of inflation.

As of mid-2025, gold prices were hovering around all-time highs, having increased nearly 100% since mid-2020.

Further, one reason why gold investors believe the precious metal may have strong prospects is that the broader economy has been in an inflationary period. Most major economies experienced inflation following the pandemic, and gold prices increased accordingly.

The Takeaway

Investors interested in gold typically gravitate toward it as a hedge against inflation or as a means of diversifying their portfolios. Those who want access to this precious metal have some choices: They can buy bullion, coins, jewelry, mining stocks, ETFs, mutual funds, futures, and options.

Invest in what matters most to you with SoFi Active Invest. In a self-directed account provided by SoFi Securities, you can trade stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, options, and more — all while paying $0 commission on every trade. Other fees may apply. Whether you want to trade after-hours or manage your portfolio using real-time stock insights and analyst ratings, you can invest your way in SoFi's easy-to-use mobile app.

Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.¹

FAQ

Why do some investors like investing in gold?

Many investors turn to gold as a way to hedge against inflation, or as a “safe haven” during market volatility. It can also be a way to diversify a portfolio.

Is it possible to buy gold stocks?

You can’t buy “gold stocks” specifically, but it is possible to buy stocks of companies involved in or adjacent to gold mining and production, as well as funds.

What are common ways to invest in gold?

Some common ways to invest in gold include buying physical gold such as bullion, coins, or jewelry, buying shares of gold-related stocks or funds, or options and futures related to gold.


Image credit: iStock/LeonidKos

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. This and other important information are contained in the Fund’s prospectus. For a current prospectus, please click the Prospectus link on the Fund’s respective page. The prospectus should be read carefully prior to investing.
Alternative investments, including funds that invest in alternative investments, are risky and may not be suitable for all investors. Alternative investments often employ leveraging and other speculative practices that increase an investor's risk of loss to include complete loss of investment, often charge high fees, and can be highly illiquid and volatile. Alternative investments may lack diversification, involve complex tax structures and have delays in reporting important tax information. Registered and unregistered alternative investments are not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds.
Please note that Interval Funds are illiquid instruments, hence the ability to trade on your timeline may be restricted. Investors should review the fee schedule for Interval Funds via the prospectus.


Mutual Funds (MFs): Investors should carefully consider the information contained in the prospectus, which contains the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other relevant information. You may obtain a prospectus from the Fund company’s website or clicking the prospectus link on the fund's respective page at sofi.com. You may also contact customer service at: 1.855.456.7634. Please read the prospectus carefully prior to investing.Mutual Funds must be bought and sold at NAV (Net Asset Value); unless otherwise noted in the prospectus, trades are only done once per day after the markets close. Investment returns are subject to risk, include the risk of loss. Shares may be worth more or less their original value when redeemed. The diversification of a mutual fund will not protect against loss. A mutual fund may not achieve its stated investment objective. Rebalancing and other activities within the fund may be subject to tax consequences.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): Investors should carefully consider the information contained in the prospectus, which contains the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other relevant information. You may obtain a prospectus from the Fund company’s website or by emailing customer service at [email protected]. Please read the prospectus carefully prior to investing.

Investment Risk: Diversification can help reduce some investment risk. It cannot guarantee profit, or fully protect in a down market.


¹Probability of Member receiving $1,000 is a probability of 0.026%; If you don’t make a selection in 45 days, you’ll no longer qualify for the promo. Customer must fund their account with a minimum of $50.00 to qualify. Probability percentage is subject to decrease. See full terms and conditions.

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What Is a Straddle in Options Trading?


Editor's Note: Options are not suitable for all investors. Options involve risks, including substantial risk of loss and the possibility an investor may lose the entire amount invested in a short period of time. Please see the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

A straddle is an options trading strategy investors may use to try to profit from changes in volatility, regardless of which direction an asset moves. Because the strategy isn’t pinned to a specific market direction, a straddle is considered a “neutral options strategy.”

Long straddles are used when an investor expects significant price movement in an underlying asset but is uncertain of the direction. They involve simultaneously buying a call and a put with the same strike price and expiration date.

Short straddles are used when an investor expects little movement in an asset’s price. They involve selling both a call and a put with the same time strike price and expiration. It’s important to keep in mind that straddles are a complex options strategy that aren’t suitable for most investors.

Key Points

•   A straddle is an options strategy involving a call and a put with the same strike price and expiration.

•   Long straddles are used when significant price movement is expected but the direction is uncertain.

•   Short straddles aim to profit from low volatility but can expose traders to unlimited losses.

•   In a long straddle, the combined premiums paid represent the maximum potential loss.

•   Time decay and volatility shifts can strongly affect the value of both long and short straddle positions.

Understanding Puts and Calls

Understanding the difference between put and call options is essential to understanding straddles. A call option gives buyers the right, but not the obligation, to buy an asset at a specific strike price, whereas a put option gives buyers the right, but not the obligation, to sell an asset at a set strike price.

Meanwhile, a seller of a call option is obligated to deliver the underlying asset if the buyer exercises the contract. Similarly, a seller of a put is obligated to buy the underlying asset if the contract is exercised.

In options terminology, the strike price is the level at which the options contract can be exercised. For instance, say a stock is trading at $10 a share and a call option on that stock has a strike price of $12. If the stock reaches $12, the option buyer has the right, though not the obligation, to exercise the option.

An option’s expiration date is the date by which the call or put must be exercised. So an investor has until the expiry to exercise the option and buy or sell the underlying asset. After that date, the options become worthless. Another important term for options investors is the option premium. This is the value, or cost of the option itself.

How to Put on a Straddle Trade

In options trading, an investor can put on a straddle in two ways:

1) For a long straddle, they can buy a call option and a put option. Both contracts need to have the same strike price and expiration date.

2) For a short straddle, they can sell a call and put option that both have the same strike price and expiration date.

Long straddles are popular when investors anticipate an event will significantly move a stock’s price, such as near a company’s earnings or big product announcement. In a long straddle, the move in the underlying asset needs to be large enough to offset the combined cost of the call and put premium if the investor is to break even on the trade. The cost of the two premiums is the maximum amount of money the investor can lose.

On the flip side, short straddles are common when investors think volatility expectations are too high, meaning that share prices will move sideways or only change slightly. In a short straddle, the total premium received is the maximum amount the investor can earn from the trade. The potential loss, however, is unlimited since the share price could theoretically rise to infinity or fall to zero.

Examples of Straddles

Straddles are sophisticated options trading strategies and it’s crucial for investors to understand the potential for both profit and loss when considering these trades. Following are examples that help illustrate how price movements may change outcomes.

Long Straddle Example

Let’s say an investor believes Company A’s stock will either rise or fall sharply around the time it releases its quarterly earnings call. Company A’s shares currently trade in the market at $50 each.

In order to put on a long straddle, the investor pays $2 for a call contract and $2 for a put contract for a total cost of $4. Both contracts have a strike price at $50. The total cost for the investor will be $400, since each options contract equals 100 shares of stock.

To break even, the stock would need to rise above $54 a share or fall below $46. That’s because $50 plus $4 is $54, while $50 minus $4 is $46. Here is the formula to calculate the breakeven levels in long straddles:

Upper breakeven = Strike price + Total of two premiums paid

Lower breakeven = Strike price – Total of two premiums paid

Short Straddle Example

In a short straddle trade, the investor sells a call and put that have the same strike price and expiration. An investor might do this when they believe the market’s expectations for volatility in a stock are too high.

Say for instance, the implied volatility for Company B has climbed substantially. Implied volatility is the market’s expectations for volatility in an asset. In other words, the market believes Company B will see a significant price movement near its upcoming product announcement.

However, one investor thinks these expectations are inflated. If the stock’s movement after the announcement is actually muted, the value of both the calls and puts would drop quickly and the option would likely expire worthless. In that case, the short-straddle investor has benefited by having collected the premiums from selling the options.

Short straddles carry high investment risk, however, because the potential loss from a rising asset price is theoretically unlimited, while the loss from a sharp decline could be substantial. An investor may be required to buy or sell the asset at market price to cover the short call or short put.

Pros & Cons of Straddles

Straddles offer the potential for gains in volatile markets or when volatility remains low, but they also come with risks and costs that traders must consider carefully.

Pros of Straddles

1.    Market neutral: Investors may benefit from an options trade even if they’re uncertain which direction the underlying asset will move.

2.    Premium costs: In some cases, long straddles may be relatively affordable if implied volatility remains low before an anticipated event. Say, for instance, that an investor finds a stock that they believe will see high volatility in the future. If the cost of the calls and puts is relatively low at the time of purchase, the investor may benefit from a long straddle trade if the asset price moves significantly.

3.    Volatility bet: With long straddles, investors have the potential to make money when an asset’s stock volatility is high.

Cons of Straddles

1.    Pricey premiums: It can be tricky to get market timing right. When implied or expected volatility for an asset is high, the price of options premiums can also rise. This means investors looking to put on a long straddle trade can encounter costlier premiums. With straddles, investors pay for two options, which can raise the cost of entry.

2.    Time decay: Options lose value as they get closer to their expiration date — a concept known as theta, or time decay, in the derivatives market. Time decay may become a concern if market volatility is low for a while and an investor is aiming to exercise a long straddle position.

3.    Potential losses: In a short straddle, the potential loss is unlimited while the potential upside is limited.

Straddles vs Strangles

In contrast to a straddle, a long strangle involves buying both calls and puts but with different strike prices.

Strangles are more common when investors believe a stock is more likely to move in one direction, but still want to hold some protection in case the opposite scenario occurs.

Strangles typically cost less to initiate than straddles, but they require a larger price movement in order to be profitable.

The Takeaway

An options straddle is essentially a two-trade bundle that’s designed to allow investors to take a position on whether there will be a significant move in an asset’s price.

A long straddle may offer high returns if the asset moves sharply, while the total premium paid represents the maximum loss. However, if the stock trades sideways or doesn’t post a big move, the investor may lose the money they invested in the premiums. In a short straddle, the opposite is true. If the underlying asset doesn’t post a big move, the investor may profit, but the potential for loss is unlimited.

SoFi’s options trading platform offers qualified investors the flexibility to pursue income generation, manage risk, and use advanced trading strategies. Investors may buy put and call options or sell covered calls and cash-secured puts to speculate on the price movements of stocks, all through a simple, intuitive interface.

With SoFi Invest® online options trading, there are no contract fees and no commissions. Plus, SoFi offers educational support — including in-app coaching resources, real-time pricing, and other tools to help you make informed decisions, based on your tolerance for risk.

Explore SoFi’s user-friendly options trading platform.

FAQ

What is the difference between a straddle and a strangle?

Straddles and strangles both involve buying a call and a put, but straddles use the same strike price, while strangles use different strike prices. Strangles usually cost less than straddles, but they may require a larger price move to generate a profit.

What are the risks of a straddle?

With long straddles, the premiums may be costly and the position can be sensitive to time decay, especially if the underlying asset remains stable. Short straddles carry the risk of seeing unlimited losses if the asset moves sharply.

When do traders use straddles?

Straddles are often used during events that may create large price swings, such as earnings announcements or regulatory decisions. The goal is to benefit from the volatility they create, regardless of the direction. In contrast, short straddles are used when traders expect minimal price movement.

What determines the breakeven points in a straddle?

For a long straddle, breakeven points are calculated by adding and subtracting the total premium paid from the strike price. Profit may only occur if the asset moves beyond these points before expiration.


INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest is a trade name used by SoFi Wealth LLC and SoFi Securities LLC offering investment products and services. Robo investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser. Brokerage and self-directed investing products offered through SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA/SIPC.

For disclosures on SoFi Invest platforms visit SoFi.com/legal. For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Options involve risks, including substantial risk of loss and the possibility an investor may lose the entire amount invested in a short period of time. Before an investor begins trading options they should familiarize themselves with the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options . Tax considerations with options transactions are unique, investors should consult with their tax advisor to understand the impact to their taxes.

Disclaimer: The projections or other information regarding the likelihood of various investment outcomes are hypothetical in nature, do not reflect actual investment results, and are not guarantees of future results.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.¹

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