Financial Topics Archives | Page 180 of 801

Aug

2024

The Essentials of Stock Float and Its Impact on Investing

By Pam O’Brien | Growing Wealth, Investing | No Comments

Whether you’re a veteran or a rookie when it comes to the stock market, you likely have come across the term “stock float.” And regardless of your experience, the question, “What is a stock float?” may have you stumped.

Finding out the answer can play a major role in your investing future. Read on to learn about stock float.

Key Points

• Stock float represents the number of shares available for public trading, excluding locked-in and restricted shares, which affects how easily investors can buy or sell a stock.

• Lower stock float generally leads to higher volatility, as increased demand can significantly impact stock prices, while higher float stocks tend to be more stable.

• Investors can analyze stock float by calculating the difference between outstanding shares and restricted shares, which helps them assess a stock’s liquidity and potential price movements.

• Low-float stocks can be attractive to day traders due to their potential for rapid price changes but come with increased risks, including market manipulation and liquidity issues.

• Understanding stock float dynamics aids investors in making informed decisions, as it influences trading strategies and the overall market behavior of stocks.

Unpacking the Concept of Stock Float

So, what is a stock float exactly? Floating stock is the number of shares available for trade of a particular stock. The number of floating shares is referred to as the stock float or simply “the float.” Stock float is important because it indicates how many shares of a stock can be bought and traded by investors in general.

To calculate the amount of floating stock available, subtract the number of locked-in shares and restricted stock from a firm’s total outstanding shares.

Restricted stock generally refers to shares that cannot be traded without special exception from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). One such example of this is stocks that are restricted by the SEC from sale during a lock-up period after an initial public offering, where certain shareholders (such as employees and major investors) are not allowed to sell their stock for that given period. This may be done in an attempt to stabilize the price of the stock.

No matter the reason, if there are shares that are not available for trade in the market, then they will not be tallied in the final float count.

💡 Quick Tip: All investments come with some degree of risk — and some are riskier than others. Before investing online, decide on your investment goals and how much risk you want to take.

How Stock Float Influences Market Dynamics

Stock float is something investors find helpful because it indicates the ownership structure of a company. Also, the lower the stock float, the more volatile the stock may be. If there is more demand from investors than available stock to buy, that could send the price of the stock up. And if demand for the stock drops, the stock’s price could fall.

The Significance of Stock Float in Investing

Investors find stock float useful because it tells them how many shares of stock are available to be publicly bought and sold. It also offers an indication of a stock’s volatility, as noted above. A stock float that’s low could push up the price of the stock if there is great demand for it.

Analyzing the Impact of Float on Stock Performance

Stock float can indicate to investors how many shares of stock are available to buy and sell, and thus, how volatile a stock may be. Stocks with a higher float tend to be less volatile, while those with a lower float tend to have higher volatility.

Stock float is just one metric or tool investors can use to analyze a stock and how it might potentially perform.

Stock Float Compared: Authorized, Outstanding, and Floating Shares

Authorized shares are the most shares of stock that a company can issue. Outstanding shares are the number of shares the company actually has issued. A company does not have to issue all of its authorized shares.

Floating shares refers to the number of a company’s shares that can be bought and sold. Stock float is calculated by subtracting a company’s restricted shares from their outstanding shares. If a company has 100 million outstanding shares, with 15 million of them locked in, this company’s float would be 85 million.

This means that 85 million shares of this company’s stock are available for trade on the open market. These are the shares that you could hypothetically purchase with a broker, brokerage account, or other trading platforms that have access to the major stock exchanges.

Identifying and Interpreting the Float of a Stock

Identifying the float of a stock requires a fairly simple calculation. You can find a stock’s float by subtracting any restricted shares of the stock from the outstanding shares.

Typically, you can also look at a company’s balance sheet to find the number of outstanding shares and floating shares.

Interpreting What the Float Tells You About a Stock

The float of a stock tells you how many shares of that stock are available for buying or selling. Low float stocks (those with fewer shares available to buy and sell) tend to be more volatile, as discussed earlier, because there are fewer shares available for trading.

The Implications of Low vs High Stock Float

When considering low float stocks and high float stocks, the following are some things investors might want to keep in mind.

Advantages and Risks of Low-Float Stocks

The benefits of low-float stocks apply mainly to day traders who hope to earn big profits in a short period of time. Each trade of a low-float stock could have a big impact on the value of the stock. For example, if there’s good news about a company whose stock float is low, demand for the stock may rise, and the stock’s price could go up.

Conversely, if news about the company is bad, demand for the stock could plummet, along with the stock’s price. This leads to a greater level of risk for investors.

The Stability and Volatility Factor in High-Float Stocks

High-float stocks tend to be less volatile because there are more shares available for public trading. That makes them more stable overall because there are more shares of the stock in circulation. The price of high-float stocks tends to be more stable than low-float stocks.

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The Investor’s Guide to Low-Float Stocks

Trading low-float stocks can be one strategy day traders use. Here’s what to know about evaluating and trading these stocks.

Best Practices for Trading Low-Float Stocks

Trading low-float stocks involves risks. Because there are few shares available, it may be difficult to buy them when an investor wants them and also to sell them in time to make a profit — this is referred to as a lack of liquidity.

One way traders might handle this is to look for stocks with low float and high volume, which is the number of shares of stock being traded daily. The more shares being traded, the lower the chances might be that an investor will have to deal with lack of liquidity.

Strategies for Evaluating Low-Float Stock Potential

Traders can use technical analysis and look at indicators like candlestick charts and moving averages to help evaluate a low-float stock. This typically requires some knowledge and experience as an investor.

Other methods of evaluating a low-float stock include:

Low-float stocks with a high relative volume. Relative volume is a way to help gauge a stock’s liquidity. It indicates a stock’s volume currently compared to other times in the company’s history. A stock with low liquidity might be difficult for an investor to sell.

News about the company. Both good and bad news about a company can affect a low-float stock’s value. It could quickly go up or down.

Float percentage. This refers to the percentage of total shares of stock available for trading. Most traders look for a percentage between 10% and 25%.

Insights Into Stock Float and Market Manipulation

Stocks with a low float may be more vulnerable to market manipulation. When a stock has fewer shares available for trading, it could easily be affected by comments on social media, for instance. There are also schemes such as a “pump and dump” in which unscrupulous investors buy up many of the shares of a low-float stock, which could affect the price dramatically. They might then dump the stock.

Day trading is risky and can result in investors losing significant amounts (although they could potentially make significant gains). And low-float stocks can be susceptible to practices like market manipulation. Those with a low tolerance for risk may find that low-float stocks are not the best investment for them.

Deep Dive: Case Study and Example of Floating Stock

One recent example of a low-float stock is General Electric (GE). In early fall 2023, there were 1.088 billion outstanding shares of GE stock. Of this number, approximately 76% of shares were not available for public trading. The float in this case was 260 million shares. Consequently, GE’s stock price is considered fairly volatile.

Practical Tips for Trading and Investing in Floating Stocks

Low-float stocks can be highly volatile and their price can go up and down in minutes or even seconds. This volatility could eliminate a significant chunk of an investor’s portfolio. Of course, low-float stocks could also present substantial profit opportunities with potentially big gains. But they are risky.

Low-float stocks are typically appealing to those who are hoping to make larger gains in a short amount of time, such as day traders.

To successfully trade low-float stocks, investors should look at technical indicators and also follow the news. Watching the market every day is critical since the prices of these stocks can change so quickly.

Whether you’re investing in low-float stocks or any stock, remember that diversifying your portfolio is important and can help mitigate risk and potentially increase your returns, studies show.

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Invest with as little as $5 with a SoFi Active Investing account.

FAQ

Is a Low-Float Stock Good for Day Trading?

A low-float stock could potentially lead to big profits for day traders if the stock is in high demand. However, these stocks can be very risky since they are volatile. If demand drops, a trader could lose large sums.

How Does a Stock’s Float Affect Its Liquidity?

Stocks with a higher float have more liquidity, which can make it easier for investors to buy and sell them. Low-float stocks have less liquidity, which could make it more challenging to buy or sell them.

Third-Party Brand Mentions: No brands, products, or companies mentioned are affiliated with SoFi, nor do they endorse or sponsor this article. Third-party trademarks referenced herein are property of their respective owners.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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Aug

2024

What Is Bond Valuation?

By Mike Zaccardi, CMT, CFA | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

Bond valuation is a way of determining the fair value of a bond. Bond valuation involves calculating the present value of the bond’s future coupon payments, its cash flow, and the bond’s value at maturity (or par value), to determine its current fair value or price. The price of a bond is what investors are willing to pay for it on the secondary market.

When an investor buys a bond from the issuing company or institution, they typically buy it at its face value. But when an investor purchases a bond on the open market, they need to know its current value. Because a bond’s face value and interest payments are fixed, the valuation process helps investors decide what rate of return would make that bond worth the cost.

Key Points

• Bond valuation is the process of determining a bond’s fair value by calculating the present value of future coupon payments and its value at maturity.

• Investors must consider the bond’s current price, which may differ from its face value, as it reflects market conditions and the issuing company’s creditworthiness.

• The valuation involves discounting the bond’s future cash flows using a realistic discount rate, which is essential due to the time value of money.

• Changes in interest rates significantly affect bond pricing; rising rates usually decrease bond prices, while falling rates can increase them.

• Investing in bonds can diversify a portfolio, as they tend to be less risky than stocks and provide a predictable income stream through fixed payments.

How Bond Valuation Works

First, it’s important to remember that bonds are generally long-term investments, where the par value or face value is fixed and so are the coupon payments (the bond’s rate of return over time) — but interest rates are not, and that impacts the present or fair value of a bond at any given moment.

To determine the present or fair value of a bond, the investor must calculate the current value of the bond’s future payments using a discount rate, as well as the bond’s value at maturity to make sure the bond you’re buying is worth it.

Some terms to know when calculating bond valuation:

• Coupon rate/Cash flow: The coupon rate refers to the interest payments the investor receives; usually it’s a fixed percentage of the bond’s face value and typically investors get annual or semi-annual payments. For example, a $1,000 bond with a 10-year term and a 3% annual coupon would pay the investor $30 per year for 10 years ($1,000 x 0.03 = $30 per year).

• Maturity: This is when the bond’s principal is scheduled to be repaid to the bondholder (i.e. in one year, five years, 10 years, and so on). When a bond reaches maturity, the corporation or government that issued the bond must repay the full amount of the face value (in this example, $1,000).

• Current price: The current price is different from the bond’s face value or par value, which is fixed: i.e. a $1,000 bond is a $1,000 bond. The current price is what people mean when they talk about bond valuation: What is the bond currently worth, today?

The face value is not necessarily the amount you pay to purchase the bond, since you might buy a bond at a price above or below par value. A bond that trades at a price below its face value is called a discount bond. A bond price above par value is called a premium bond.

💡 Quick Tip: Are self-directed brokerage accounts cost efficient? They can be, because they offer the convenience of being able to buy stocks online without using a traditional full-service broker (and the typical broker fees).

How to Calculate Bond Valuation

Bond valuation can seem like a daunting task to new investors, but it is not that onerous once you break it down into steps. This process helps investors know how to calculate bond valuation.

Bond Valuation Formula

The bond valuation formula uses a discounting process for all future cash flows to determine the present fair value of the bond, sometimes called the theoretical fair value of the bond (since it’s calculated using certain assumptions).

The following steps explain each part of the formula and how to calculate a bond’s price.

Step 1: Determine the cash flow and remaining payments.

A bond’s cash flow is determined by calculating the coupon rate multiplied by the face value. A $1,000 corporate bond with a 3.0% coupon has an annual cash flow of $30. If it’s a 10-year bond that has five years left until maturity, there would be five coupon payments remaining.

Payment 1 = $30; Payment 2 = $30; and so on.

The final payment would include the face value: $1,000 + $30 = $1,030.

This is important because the closer the bond is to maturity, the higher its value may be.

Step 2: Determine a realistic discount rate.

The coupon payments are based on future values and thus the bond’s cash flow must be discounted back to the present (thanks to the time value of money theory, a future dollar is worth less than a dollar in the present).

To determine a discount rate, you can check the current rates for 10-year corporate bonds. For this example, let’s go with 2.5% (or 0.025, when expressed as a decimal).

Step 3: Calculate the present value of the remaining payments.

Calculate the present value of future cash flows including the principal repayment at maturity. In other words, divide the yearly coupon payment by (1 + r)^t, where r equals the discount rate and t is the remaining payment number.

$30 / (1 + .025)¹ = $29.26

$30 / (1 + .025)² = 28.55

$30 / (1 + .025)³ = 27.85

$30 / (1 + .025)⁴ = 27.17

$1030 / (1 + .025)⁵ = 1,004.87

Step 4: Sum all future cash flows.

Sum all future cash flows to arrive at the present market value of the bond : $1,117.70

Understanding Bond Pricing

In this example, the price of the bond is $1,117.70, or $117.70 above par. A bond’s face or par value will often differ from its market value — and in this case its current fair value (market value) is higher. There are a number of factors that come into play, including the company’s credit rating, the time to maturity (the closer the bond is to maturity the closer the price comes to its face value), and of course changes to interest rates.

Remember that a bond’s price tends to move in the opposite direction of interest rates. If prevailing interest rates are higher than when the bond was issued, its price will generally fall. That’s because, as interest rates rise, new bonds are likely to be issued with higher coupon rates, making the new bonds more attractive. So bonds with lower coupon payments would be less attractive, and likely sell for a lower price. So, higher rates generally mean lower prices for existing bonds.

The same logic applies when interest rates are lower; the price of existing bonds tends to increase, because their higher coupons are now more attractive and investors may be willing to pay a premium for bonds with those higher interest payments.

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Is Investing in Bonds Right for You?

Investing in bonds can help diversify a stock portfolio since stocks and bonds trade differently. In general, bonds are seen as less risky than equities since they often provide a predictable stream of income. Investors can consider bonds as an investment, and those with a lower risk tolerance might be better served with a portfolio weighted highly in bonds.

Performing proper bond valuation can be part of a solid research and due diligence process when attempting to find securities for your portfolio. Moreover, different bonds have different risk and return profiles. Some bonds — such as junk bonds and fixed-income securities offered in emerging markets — feature higher potential rates of return with greater risk. “Junk” is a term used to describe high-yield bonds. You can take on higher risk with long-duration bonds and convertible bonds. Some of the safest bonds are short-term Treasury securities.

You can also purchase bond exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and bond mutual funds that own a diversified basket of fixed-income securities.

The Takeaway

Bond valuation is the process of determining the fair value of a bond after it’s been issued. In order to price a bond, you must calculate the present value of a bond’s future interest payments using a reasonable discount rate. By adding the discounted coupon payments, and the bond’s face value, you can arrive at the theoretical fair value of the bond.

A bond can be priced at a discount to its par value or at a premium depending on market conditions and how traders view the issuing company’s prospects. Owning bonds can help diversify your portfolio. Many investors also find bonds appealing because of their steady payments (one reason that bonds are considered fixed-income assets).

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

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Aug

2024

What Is Maintenance Margin? How Margin Maintenance Requirements Work

What Is Maintenance Margin? How Its Requirements Work

By Laurel Tincher | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

Maintenance margin, as it relates to margin accounts and trading, refers to the necessary amount of funds an investor needs to maintain in their brokerage account in order to utilize margin. Margin accounts work differently than other trading accounts. Instead of allowing the trader to do regular trades, the margin account allows leveraged trades.

This means that the trader can buy securities including stocks, bonds, or options for more than the amount that they have in their account, paying only a deposit on the trade. They borrow the rest of the cash needed for the investment from the broker.

Key Points

• Maintenance margin represents the minimum balance required in a trader’s margin account to avoid a margin call and continue leveraged trading.

• The Financial Industry Regulatory Authority mandates a minimum maintenance margin of 25%, but individual brokerage firms often set higher requirements for added security.

• Margin trading carries significant risks, as traders can incur losses exceeding their account balance, leading to margin debt owed to brokers.

• If a trader’s account balance falls below the maintenance margin, the broker can issue a margin call, requiring additional funds or asset liquidation within a specified timeframe.

• Understanding the distinction between maintenance margin and initial margin is crucial, as the initial margin is the upfront deposit required to open a margin account.

Maintenance Margin Definition

In margin trading, the maintenance margin is the minimum amount of funds that a trader must hold in their portfolio to avoid being issued a margin call, for as long as they are actively involved in a trade. If a trade they enter decreases in value, the trader may owe money, which is taken from their account.

Minimum margin requirements for leveraged accounts are regulated by the government. Currently the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) sets the maintenance margin at 25% of the total value of securities that a trader holds in their margin account.

Specific brokerage firms also maintain their own requirements. It is common for brokerage requirements to be higher than the government required amount to provide the firm with greater financial security.

Margin maintenance requirements shift based on various factors, including market liquidity and volatility. And different stocks have differing maintenance requirements: if they are more likely to be volatile, the requirements may be higher.

Does a Maintenance Margin Mitigate Risk?

Maintenance margin doesn’t mitigate risk for traders. Margin investing is risky because traders can lose more money than they have in their account, creating a debt with the broker, called margin debt.

When a trader opens a margin account, they must sign an agreement and deposit a certain amount into the account before they can start trading. To pay off any debt from assets that have lost value, the trader will need to deposit additional funds, deposit securities, or sell off holdings.

Therefore, margin trading isn’t recommended for beginner traders, and it’s important for traders to understand the risks and how it works before trying it out.

💡 Quick Tip: When you’re actively investing in stocks, it’s important to ask what types of fees you might have to pay. For example, brokers may charge a flat fee for trading stocks, or require some commission for every trade. Taking the time to manage investment costs can be beneficial over the long term.

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Maintenance Margin Requirement Examples

Let’s look at an example of how maintenance margin requirements work.

Let’s say a trader wants to purchase 100 shares of Company XYZ at $40 per share. They don’t have sufficient funds to purchase the entire number of shares. The trader can use a margin account which allows them to purchase the entire amount of shares but only deposit a percentage of the total price into the trade and also pay a financing fee. This deposit amount is known as the initial margin requirement.

In this example, the initial maintenance margin requirement is 40% of the purchase price of the trade. For the trader to purchase the full 100 shares, they need to maintain a balance of 40% of the trade purchase amount in their margin account.

When Maintenance Margin Requirements Aren’t Met

If the amount in their account dips below the minimum requirement, their broker will issue a margin call notification. Generally, the trader will have between 2-5 days to either add more funds to their account or sell some of the assets they are invested in to move enough cash funds back into their account.

If the trader doesn’t sell holdings or add funds to their account to meet the margin maintenance requirement, the broker may sell the trader’s securities without notifying them, and they have the right to decide which ones they sell. They are also allowed to charge the trader commissions and even sue the trader for losses.

A margin call can also be sent out if the brokerage firm changes their requirements, which they can do at any time.

Calculating Maintenance Margin

Each brokerage firm has their own maintenance margin requirements. The formula to calculate the maintenance margin is:

Account value = (Margin Loan) / (1 – Maintenance Margin %)

This can be used to determine the stock price that will trigger a margin call.

For example, a trader opens a margin account and deposits $20,000 into it, then borrows $10,000 from the broker in a margin loan in order to purchase 200 shares of stock at a price of $100 each. The broker’s maintenance margin is 30%. Here is what the calculation would be to figure out what account balance would trigger the margin call:

($10,000 Margin Loan) / (1 – 0.30 Maintenance Margin %) = $14,285.71

That means that if the trader’s account dips below $14,285.71, or if the price of the stock falls below $71.43 ($14,285.71 / 200 shares) then the broker will issue a margin call.

Maintenance Margin vs Initial Margin

When traders open a margin account, there is an initial margin amount they are required to deposit before they can start trading. This is set by FINRA, and brokers may also have their own additional requirements. The initial margin required by FINRA is currently $2,000 in cash or securities.

After a trader starts buying on margin, they must meet the maintenance margin on their account — at least 25% of the market value of the securities in their account.

The Takeaway

A maintenance margin is a monetary buffer for traders with margin accounts. The maintenance margin is a minimum balance required to execute leveraged trades. If a trader’s margin account dips below the minimum set by FINRA and the broker, the broker will issue a warning, or margin call, so that the trader can add cash to their account or sell holdings to cover the gap.

Maintenance margins do not mitigate risks for traders, and if an investor is utilizing margin as a part of their investment strategy, they should know what they’re getting into. Margin accounts have their pros and cons, but it’s important to keep the risks in mind.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

What happens if you go below maintenance margin?

Generally, if a trader or investor’s account goes below the maintenance margin, their brokerage will send them a margin call, or otherwise warn them that they need to deposit funds or sell holdings.

What does current maintenance margin mean?

Current maintenance margin refers to the literal current maintenance margin set by financial regulators or by a specific brokerage. For example, it may be 25% of the value of an investor’s total holdings.

What is the difference between maintenance margin and minimum margin?

Minimum margin refers to the minimum amount of collateral needed in a margin account to execute leveraged trades, while maintenance margin is the total capital that needs to remain in the account as the investor continues to utilize a margin account.

Who sets the maintenance margin?

FINRA currently sets the maintenance margin, which is 25%. But specific brokerage firms can set their own beyond that, and often, at a higher threshold.

Why is my maintenance margin so high?

Maintenance margin requirements can be determined by a number of factors beyond regulatory minimums, such as market conditions and volatility, and the specific types of securities an investor is trading.

What does 25% maintenance margin mean?

Twenty-five percent maintenance margin means that an investor must hold 25% of the total value of their holdings in their account. It is the minimum amount of equity that must be maintained in their margin account.

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Aug

2024

What Is an Exponential Moving Average (EMA) in Stock Trading? How Does It Work?

What Is Exponential Moving Average (EMA)?

By Laurel Tincher | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

An exponential moving average (EMA) is a commonly used average price calculation done for a specific time period that places more weight and importance on the most recent price data. Since it is weighted this way it reacts faster to recent price changes than a simple moving average (SMA) which is a type of average price calculation, which equally weights all data points within a time period.

Moving averages are technical analysis trading indicators used by traders to help them understand the direction, market trend, and strength of price movement of an asset. They measure the average price of a security by taking averages of the prices of the security over a specific period of time, and can be used to show traders the location of support and resistance levels. Read on to learn more about the meaning of EMA in stocks, the EMA formula, and how to calculate EMA.

Key Points

• An exponential moving average (EMA) gives more weight to recent price data, making it a useful tool for traders to gauge market trends and price movements.

• The formula for calculating EMA incorporates the current price, the previous EMA, and an exponential smoothing constant, allowing for dynamic adjustments based on market behavior.

• Calculating EMA involves determining the simple moving average first, then applying a weighting multiplier, and finally using the EMA formula to derive values.

• While EMAs can effectively indicate support and resistance levels, they have limitations, such as lagging indicators and the potential for false signals in flat markets.

• Traders often use EMA alongside other indicators to enhance their analysis, helping them make informed decisions about entry and exit points in their trading strategies.

What is EMA?

An EMA, exponentially weighted moving average, is a type of moving average (MA) used by traders to evaluate the potential trajectory of a financial security. Using the EMA calculation, the most recent price data has the greatest impact on the moving average, while older data has a lower impact. The previous EMA value is included in the calculation, so the current value includes all the price data.

As noted, it reacts faster to price changes than a simple moving average, which may be helpful to some investors.

EMA Formula

The formula for calculating EMA is:

EMA = (K x (C – P)) + P

Where:

C = Current Price

P = Previous Period’s EMA (for the first period calculated the SMA is used)

K = Exponential Smoothing Constant (this applies appropriate weight to the most recent security price, using the number of periods specified in the moving average. The most common smoothing constant is 2, but the higher it is the more influence recent data points have on the EMA)

How to Calculate EMA

Technical analysts follow three steps to calculating an EMA.

1. Calculate the simple moving average (SMA) to find the initial EMA data point. The SMA is used as the previous period’s EMA for the first calculated data point of the EMA. To calculate the SMA of the last 20 days, a trader would add the amounts of the last 20 closing prices of the security and then divide that sum by 20.

2. Calculate the weighting multiplier for the number of periods that will be used to calculate the EMA. The number of periods used for the EMA has a significant impact on the value of the weighting multiplier.

The formula for finding the weighting multiplier is:

EMA(current) = ((Price(current) – EMA (prev)) x Multiplier) + EMA(prev)

3. Calculate the EMA using the formula described above.

Some traders also use the open, high, low, or median price instead of the closing price for the EMA calculation.

Example of EMA

Taking the above into consideration and following the three steps to calculate EMA, here’s an example of how it might all come together.

Again, here’s the EMA formula: EMA = (K x (C – P)) + P

We’ll assume that the previous period’s EMA is 50, and that the current price is 60. We’ll also assume that our smoothing constant is 2, for simplicity’s sake.

So: EMA= (2 x (60 – 50)) + 50 = 70

What Does EMA Show You?

An EMA follows prices more closely than a SMA since it puts more weight on recent data points. This is helpful for determining when to enter and exit trades. EMA is a lagging indicator that shows market trends and directions and the strength of price movements. It’s best used in trending markets.

By looking at past trends traders can gain an understanding of what might happen with a security’s price in the future, which may help them identify investment opportunities. Although past performance is no guarantee of future performance.

Limitations of Using EMA

Although EMA is a very useful trading tool, it does have some constraints.

• Spotting trends and directions using EMA is difficult in a flat market.

• The EMA shows present market trends but is not a predictor of future trends and prices. It also doesn’t show exact highs and lows or precise entry and exit points.

• The EMA can show false signals and can show more short term price changes that aren’t trading indicators.

• Even though it is weighted toward recent prices, the EMA does rely on past price movements, so it is a lagging indicator. Because of this the optimal time to enter a trade may have already passed by the time the trend direction shows up in an EMA chart.

How Investors Can Use EMA

Usually traders look at the direction the EMA is going in and they trade in the direction of the trend. In addition to spotting market trends and direction, EMA can also identify spot reversals that occur when a security is overbought or oversold.

The EMA is a fairly accurate tool because stock prices typically only stray so far from the average before returning to test the average, creating support or resistance and continuing to rise or fall. Even beginning investors can use EMA to spot trends and gain an understanding of what direction the market is heading.

Like other indicators, It’s best to use EMA in conjunction with other tools such as relative strength index (RSI) and moving average convergence divergence (MACD) to get a more comprehensive and accurate picture of the market. There are a few ways investors can use EMA:

Trend Trading

Traders can use the EMA to discover and trade primary market trends. When the EMA rises this is a bullish indicator, a trader may buy when the stock price dips to hit the EMA line or just below it. When EMA goes down, a trader might sell their position when the stock price goes up to hit the EMA line or just above. If the stock has a closing price that crosses over the average line, the trader closes out their trade.

Support and Resistance

EMA lines can track support and resistance levels, another useful way to track price movements and trends. If EMA goes up, this is a support indicator, while if it goes down this shows resistance to the security’s price movement.

Buy and Sell Signals

Traders can set up fast and slow moving averages and then find buy and sell signals when the two lines cross each other.

💡 Quick Tip: The best stock trading app? That’s a personal preference, of course. Generally speaking, though, a great app is one with an intuitive interface and powerful features to help make trades quickly and easily.

The Takeaway

EMA is a useful tool for both advanced and beginner traders to understand market trends and directions. It’s a technical indicator that evaluates a stock’s price trend with a greater emphasis on recent price levels.

Whether you’re planning to use in-depth technical analysis or not, a great way to get started building a portfolio is by opening an investment account on the SoFi Invest® stock trading app. It lets you research, track, buy and sell stocks, exchange-traded funds, and other assets right from your phone.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

Which EMA is best?

Day traders often use 8- and 20-day EMA periods, while long-term investors use 50- and 200-day EMA. Indicators such as the moving average convergence divergence (MACD) and percentage price oscillator (PPO) use 12- and 26-day periods. If a security passes over a 200-day EMA this is a technical sign that a trend reversal has occurred.

What’s the difference between EMA and SMA?

Both simple moving average and exponential moving average are used by traders to measure market trends. They both create a graphical line that smoothes out price fluctuations using calculated averages. But they weigh price data differently, and may have different sensitivities to price changes.

What is 5 EMA and 20 EMA?

There are different EMAs referring to different time periods that can identify trends. In that sense, 5 EMA and 20 EMA refers to the 5-day and 20-day EMA, a shorter and longer-term EMA measure.

Photo credit: iStock/South_agency

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Aug

2024

Shorting a Stock Defined and How Short Selling Works

By Brian Nibley | Investing | Comments Off

Shorting a stock, also known as short selling, is one way to potentially profit from a stock’s price decline. When investors think a stock’s price will fall, they can sell borrowed shares, hope to buy them back at a lower price, and pocket the difference as profit. This strategy is popular among savvy, risk-tolerant investors with a knack for market research and predicting trends.

Short selling is one of the strategies that make it possible to make money in the market no matter how it moves — up, down, or sideways. For new investors, the idea of making trades that can be profitable even when the price falls may sound strange. After all, the traditional way to profit in financial markets is a buy-and-hold strategy: purchasing a security, holding it, and selling it later for a higher price. However, by understanding how short selling works, investors can utilize new strategies to bolster their financial portfolios.

Key Points

• Shorting a stock involves borrowing shares to sell at a high price, hoping to repurchase them later at a lower price for profit.

• The strategy can be risky, as potential losses are unlimited if the stock price rises instead of falling.

• A short squeeze occurs when a sudden price increase forces short sellers to buy shares back quickly, further driving up the stock price.

• Alternatives to short selling include purchasing put options, which allow investors to profit from stock price declines without borrowing shares.

• Short selling may serve as a hedge against other investments, but it requires careful consideration due to its high risk and potential costs.

What Is Shorting a Stock?

A trader shorts a stock when they think the stock price will fall. Shorting involves borrowing the stock from a brokerage, selling it, and then buying it when the price is lower than when they sold. The trader then returns the shares to the brokerage and pockets the profit.

Shorting a stock is a way for investors to bet that a particular stock’s future share price will be lower than its current price. It’s the opposite of going long a stock, where an investor buys shares with the expectation that the stock price will increase.

Short selling can be risky because if the stock price goes up instead of down, the investor will have to buy the shares at a higher price and may lose money.

💡 Recommended: Short Position vs Long Position, Explained

Example of Shorting a Stock

Suppose an investor found a company that they think is overvalued, so its share price is likely to decline. They borrow 100 shares of stock in company A from their brokerage and sell the shares for $10 per share for a total of $1,000 (plus any applicable brokerage fees).

In scenario A, the investor made a spot-on prediction, and the price fell to $9 per share. The investor can buy back 100 shares for $9 per share for $900, return the borrowed shares, and pocket the leftover $100 as profit ($1,000 – $900 = $100).

In scenario B, the investor misses the mark, and the price rises to $11 per share. Now the investor has to buy back 100 shares for $11 per share for a total of $1,100, for a loss of $100 ($1,000 – $1,100 = -$100).

Why Short a Stock?

There are various reasons why traders might choose to short a stock. In general, traders might short a stock when they believe that the security’s price will fall in the future. This might be due to several factors, such as an overall bearish outlook on the market or specific concerns about a company’s financial health or prospects.

Some traders might also short a stock to hedge their portfolios. For example, if a trader is long a stock that they think will fall in value, they might short a similar stock to offset potential losses.

Whatever the reason, shorting a stock can be a risky proposition. If the stock price does not fall as expected, the trader will be forced to cover their position at a loss. As such, traders must be cautious when considering whether or not to short a stock.

How to Short a Stock

Before you can short a stock, you will need to set up a margin account with your broker. Margin accounts are brokerage accounts that allow investors to borrow money or shares to make trades.

To short a stock, you will place a sell order for the number of shares you want to short. Your brokerage will often lend you the shares — a practice known as share lending — and allow you to complete the sale on the open market to another investor.

Ideally, when the stock price drops, you will buy back the same number of shares you borrowed, pocketing the difference between the sale and purchase costs, and returning the borrowed shares to the brokerage firm.

However, if the share price increases, you will have to buy the same shares for a higher price, potentially resulting in substantial losses,

In rare cases, the lender may request that you return the shares you borrowed, but it’s far more likely that you will close your position because the short is losing money. A short seller can hang onto their short position for as long as they can pay the required interest fees for borrowing stock and maintaining the margin amounts required by the brokerage firm.

What Are The Risks and Rewards of Short Selling?

Potential Risks of Short Selling

Selling a stock short involves significant risk — far surpassing the risk of “going long” on an investment. When holding a stock, there’s a limit to how low a stock can go, and investors can only lose as much as their initial investment.

If someone buys 10 shares of XYZ company at $10 per share, for example, and the share price goes to zero, they will lose $100. The price can’t go lower than zero, so someone can never lose more than what they had first invested.

However, when someone shorts a stock, they risk infinite losses because there is no upward limit on a stock’s share price. If the price keeps going up, they will keep losing money.

Additionally, there are significant costs associated with shorting a stock. For one, the margin interest in a required margin account can add up over time if an investor keeps the position open for a while. Also, a brokerage firm will charge interest on the borrowed shares, ranging from a few basis points to over 100%, depending on how difficult the shares are to borrow. These costs can make shorting a stock prohibitively expensive.

Potential Benefits of Short Selling

While risky, shorting a stock could be profitable. It’s possible to make a lot of money in a short period of time, as stocks sometimes experience rapid, steep declines.

When investing during a recession, for example, sudden drops in the share prices of many stocks across many different industries can occur. While this might cause many investors’ portfolios to decline, others may be profiting because of their short positions.

Investors might choose to short a stock to hedge against their long positions. The term “hedge” is used to refer to an investment that protects against losses in another asset. So, in this case, an investor may put on a short position to hedge or offset a potential loss in a long position.

What Happens in a Short Squeeze?

A short squeeze refers to the rapid flight of short sellers from a stock in order to limit losses — a situation that leads to a dramatic surge in the stock’s price.

Here’s how they typically occur: a sudden increase in the stock price causes investors to scramble to close their short positions by purchasing shares. This results in further gains in the stock, which in turn causes massive “covering” by other short sellers, bringing about a “squeeze.”

Famous cases include Volkswagen in 2008, after Porsche increased its stake in the German automaker, causing a short squeeze that briefly made Volkswagen the world’s most valuable stock by market cap.

More recently, in January 2021, the gains in GameStop (GME), a brick-and-mortar video-game retailer, were due to a massive short squeeze after retail investors piled into the stock, which hedge funds heavily shorted. Shares of movie-theater operator AMC Entertainment Holdings (AMC) and retailer Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY) underwent similar experiences.

Is Shorting a Stock Wrong?

The practice of short selling is not without controversy. Shorting may have received a bad rap by being associated with the fear that shady investors will spread malicious rumors about a company to influence its share price.

But this kind of trickery can go both ways. There have also been investors who sought to manipulate the price of a stock upward by spreading bullish rumors that turned out to be false. Such tactics are considered market manipulation, and it is illegal. Anyone caught attempting to manipulate markets might be subject to regulatory punishment by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).

Shorting can be a way of handling investing risks. For instance, shorting to hedge a position can be a type of risk management that helps investors minimize their losses, although doing so will also cap their gains.

Alternatives to Shorting a Stock

Shorting a stock is one of the several ways investors can bet on an asset’s price decline.

Put Options

If a brokerage account allows investors to trade options, buying a put option on a stock may allow the buyer to profit when it declines in price.

A put option is an options contract that gives the buyer the right to sell shares of an underlying asset at its strike price up until the option’s expiration date. The put option buyer pays a premium for the contract.

For example, imagine that an investor wants to short a stock that we’ll call ABC company. Shares of ABC are currently selling for $10. The investor believes the company is overvalued and the stock will soon head to $8 or lower.

So, they buy a put option for ABC with a strike price of $10 and an expiration date of three months in the future. The investor pays a $1 premium for the put. If ABC stock falls under $10 during that time, this option holder could exercise the contract to make money on the put option.

Suppose the stock falls below $8, as the put option buyer forecasted. They could sell it for an increased premium to someone else. If an investor were to exercise the option, they’d profit from being able to sell shares for $10 that are worth $8, pocketing the $2 difference, minus the $1 premium, leaving them with $1. Since each option contract is usually worth 100 shares, the total profit would be $100.

Buying put options is just one of the several options trading strategies investors can utilize if they have a bearish outlook on a stock. Options trading strategies can be profitable, but they are risky. Trading them requires more knowledge than trading stocks or exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

💡 For beginners: Options Trading 101: An Introduction to Stock Options

Inverse ETFs

Inverse ETFs are another way to make a bearish trade. These investment vehicles aim to provide returns that are opposite the performance of an underlying index. Investors can buy inverse ETF shares just like ordinary stock.

Investors must understand that inverse ETFs are designed to be held and traded during a single trading day. Kept for longer, inverse ETFs may not achieve the exact -1x return of the underlying index. That’s because of how returns get compounded.

Let’s look at the S&P 500 Index and a hypothetical inverse ETF that tracks it. The S&P 500 is at 2,000 on a given day, while the inverse ETF is trading at $20 a share. If the S&P 400 Index falls 1%, its new level would be 1,980. Meanwhile, the inverse ETF’s price would rise to $20.20 since it’s supposed to move in the opposite direction of the S&P 500.

If the S&P 500 rose 2% the next day, however, the index would climb to 2,019.60. The index’s total gain over the two days would be 0.98%. Meanwhile, prices of the inverse ETF would fall to about $19.796 — so a loss of -1.02% over two days.

While the difference between 0.98% and -1.02% appears small, such discrepancies can add up over time, causing the inverse ETF to deliver returns that aren’t the mirror opposite of its underlying index. Therefore, investors should not assume that just because a market falls 5% in a week, its corresponding inverse ETF will rise 5% in that same period.

The Takeaway

Shorting a stock is when investors bet that the price of a specific stock or ETF will fall. Sophisticated investors with a bearish view of the market will often use short sales to profit from falling share prices. Short positions also help investors mitigate losses during widespread market downturns or hedge losses from another holding.

While shorting can be a useful investment tool, it’s also very risky. That’s because there’s no limit to how high a stock can go, meaning there’s also no limit to the losses a short seller can potentially book. Add to that the risk of a short squeeze — when there’s a massive rush by bearish investors to exit their short positions — and it’s fair to say that shorting can lead to painful losses.

SoFi Invest®️ offers access to financial planners and educational resources in order for investors to make better informed decisions. A SoFi Invest online brokerage account lets investors trade an array of stocks, ETFs or fractional shares. For a limited time, funding an account gives you the opportunity to win up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice. All you have to do is open and fund a SoFi Invest account.

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FAQ

What is naked short selling, and why is it illegal?

Naked short selling is a type of short selling where the seller does not have the borrowed securities in their possession at the time of the sale. This practice is illegal because it creates a potential for manipulation and fraud.

Why do short sellers have to borrow shares?

When a trader wants to sell a stock short, they must first borrow it from somebody else. They have to borrow shares because when you sell something, you have to have it to sell. The trader then hopes to repurchase the stock at a lower price so they can return the shares to the person they borrowed them from and pocket the difference.

Can I sell short in my brokerage account?

Many brokerages allow short selling in a regular account, but some require the investor to have a margin account. Your broker can tell you what kind of account you have and the requirements for short selling.

How is short selling different from regular investing?

Short selling is selling a borrowed security and hoping to repurchase it at a lower price to realize a profit. With regular investing, the investor buys the security and hopes to sell it at a higher price.

What is the opposite of shorting a stock?

The opposite of shorting a stock would be going long on a stock, meaning that the investor would purchase shares of the stock with the hope that the stock price would increase so that they could then sell the shares at a higher price and profit from the difference.

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What happens if you go below maintenance margin?

What does current maintenance margin mean?

What is the difference between maintenance margin and minimum margin?

Who sets the maintenance margin?

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How to Calculate EMA

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FAQ

Which EMA is best?

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Shorting a Stock Defined and How Short Selling Works

What Is Shorting a Stock?

Example of Shorting a Stock

Why Short a Stock?

How to Short a Stock

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What Are The Risks and Rewards of Short Selling?

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