What Is Mean Reversion and How Can You Trade It?

What Is Mean Reversion and How Can You Trade It?

Mean reversion is a mathematical concept which holds that over time statistical measurements return to a long-run normal. In investing, mean reversion holds that while a market or an asset may go up and down in the short-term, over time, it returns to its long-term trend.

If traders expect a market to revert to the mean, they can use that expectation to inform their strategy going forward.

Key Points

•   Mean reversion is a mathematical concept that states assets tend to return to their long-term trends over time.

•   Traders may use mean reversion to inform their strategies and expect assets to return to their historical behaviors.

•   Mean reversion applies not only to individual stocks, but also to sectors, commodities, and foreign currencies.

•   Implementing a mean reversion strategy requires identifying patterns and timing the reversion correctly.

•   Mean reversion strategies depend on regularities staying consistent, and there are risks if structural shifts occur in the market or economy.

What Is Mean Reversion?

When stocks revert to the mean, their returns or other characteristics match what they’ve been over a longer period of time than the recent past. This can mean that a stock that becomes highly volatile may revert back to being less volatile; a stock that becomes quite expensive (meaning its price far outpaces its earnings) can become cheap; and, quite importantly, the other way around. Mean reversion can work in both directions.

The mean reversion concept not only applies to individual shares, but also to whole sectors of the economy or of the stock market, like, say, consumer product companies or pharmaceutical companies or any other chunk of the market that shares enough with each other to be classed together. Alternative assets, such as commodities or foreign currencies can also revert to the mean.

The theory applies to more than just prices, the volatility of a given asset can mean revert, which can matter for trading and pricing more exotic financial products like options and other derivatives.


💡 Quick Tip: Before opening any investment account, consider what level of risk you are comfortable with. If you’re not sure, start with more conservative investments, and then adjust your portfolio as you learn more.

Mean Reversion Strategies

With any generality or principle of the market comes the obvious question: Is there a strategy here? Can this be traded? Mean reversion trading is a strategy based on reversion to the mean happening, basically that stocks or some asset will return to its typical, long-run historical behavior.

Actually working out a mean reversion strategy is not as simple as thinking a certain stock is out of whack and waiting for things to get back to normal, it requires the ability to flag patterns to make an educated guess about when mean reversion will happen.

After all, if you just know that a stock is going to revert to the mean, you can still pile up large losses or miss out on big gains if you can’t time the reversion correctly — go too early and you’ll have to eat the stock being the “wrong” price before reversion to the mean happens, go too late and the gains have already evaporated as the change in price or returns has already occurred.

The Risks of Mean Reversion Strategy

Mean reversion strategies depend on statistical and historical regularites staying, well, regular. There are some that are pretty well validated, although with sharp and scary exceptions, like that stocks tend to go up over time and outperform other asset classes. But mean reversion involves certain relationships between stocks and assets staying true over time.

In some cases, mean reversion never occurs. Companies or sectors can have continually growing returns over a long period of time if there’s some kind of structural shift in the economy or market in which they operate. This can mean that returns increase over time or stay quite high.

This can happen for a few reasons. A company could gain or lose a dominant position in a given market, technological changes can advantage certain firms and disadvantage others, such that returns move permanently (or at least close enough to permanently for a given investment strategy) to a higher level and lower to another. Or there could be a global pandemic that permanently changes the way that companies do business, or long-run inflation that impacts profitability.

How to Implement a Mean Reversion Strategy

There are some basic statistical and financial tools to help create mean reversion strategy. As always, active trading and trying to time the market is risky and sometimes the whole market moves up and down and that can swamp whatever strategy you might have for an individual stock or sector.

Part of implementing a mean reversion strategy is getting a sense of stock trends or a trend trading strategy, whether past movement in a stock up or down is indicative of continuing in that direction.

This can involve trying to discern bullish indicators for stocks, giving you a sense of when stock returns are likely to go up. Often traders combine this strategy with forms of technical analysis, including the use of candlestick patterns.

Recommended: Important Candlestick Patterns to Know

Alternatively, you will need to have a sense of when a stock is underperforming in order to profit from buying it before it reverts to the mean upwards.

Factors in Creating a Mean Reversion Strategy

There are many factors that institutional and retail investors need to consider when devising a mean reversion strategy.

Determining the Mean

In this case, you’ll need to think about what period of time you are using to determine a stock or sector’s “normal” or “average” behavior. This matters because it will determine how long you decide to hold a stock or when you plan to sell it before or after the reversion to the mean occurs.

Timing

To execute a mean reversion strategy, you have to know when a stock’s price movement is sufficient to execute the trade. It helps to determine this point in advance.

Recommended: Understanding Pivot Points for New Investors

Determine the Bounds

What is the “normal” behavior, whether it’s price-to-equity ratio, volatility, or some other metric you’re looking at. To determine whether something is far beyond its mean, either high or low, you need a good sense of its normal range.

Recommended: Support and Resistance: A Beginner’s Guide

Qualitative Factors

Mean reversion and trading reversion to the mean is, of course, a quantitative endeavor. You need to compile statistics and make projections going forward in order to implement the strategy. But you also need to know what’s going on in the “real world” beyond the statistics.

If something is driving prices or volatility or some other metric higher or lower that’s likely to persist over time, mean reversion may not be a great bet. If, however, there’s something truly transient that’s the catalyst for large moves up and down that will then revert to the mean, then maybe the strategy is more likely to work.

Exit Strategy

As with most investments, it’s helpful to have an exit strategy determined ahead of time. This can help you limit your losses in the case that the asset ultimately does not revert to the mean.


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The Takeaway

Mean reversion refers to an asset’s tendency to stick to typical value increases over time. Again, while volatility may play a role in short-term price or value changes, most assets will follow a long-term appreciation line, and despite short-term rises or falls in price, they’ll likely revert to the mean.

Traders who follow mean reversion strategies assume that a specific stock or sector will return to its long-term characteristics. The strategy can be helpful when determining an investing strategy for either individual assets or for a market, overall.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.


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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
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Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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What Is Mark to Market and How Does It Work?

Mark to Market Definition and Uses in Account & Investing

The term “mark to market” refers to an accounting method used to measure the value of assets based on current market conditions. Mark to market accounting seeks to determine the real value of assets based on what they could be sold for right now.

That can be useful in a business setting when a company is trying to gauge its financial health or get a valuation estimate ahead of a merger or acquisition. Aside from accounting, mark to market also has applications in investing when trading stocks, futures contracts, and mutual funds. For traders and investors, it can be important to understand how this concept works.

Key Points

•   Mark to market is an accounting method used to determine the current value of assets based on market conditions.

•   It is used in business to assess financial health and valuation, as well as in investing for trading stocks, futures contracts, and mutual funds.

•   Mark to market accounting adjusts asset values based on current market conditions to estimate their potential sale value.

•   Pros of mark to market accounting include accurate valuations for asset liquidation, value investing, and establishing collateral value for loans.

•   Cons include potential inaccuracies, volatility skewing valuations, and the risk of devaluing assets in an economic downturn.

What Is Mark to Market?

Mark to market is, in simple terms, an accounting method that’s used to calculate the current or real value of a company’s assets, as noted. Mark to market can tell you what an asset is worth based on its fair market value.

Mark to market accounting is meant to create an accurate estimate of a company’s financial status and value year over year. This accounting method can tell you whether a company’s assets have increased or declined in value. When liabilities are factored in, mark to market can give you an idea of a company’s net worth.


💡 Quick Tip: The best stock trading app? That’s a personal preference, of course. Generally speaking, though, a great app is one with an intuitive interface and powerful features to help make trades quickly and easily.

How Mark to Market Accounting Works

Mark to market accounting works by adjusting the value of assets based on current market conditions. The idea is to determine how much an asset — whether it be a piece of equipment or an investment — could be worth if it were to be sold immediately.

If a company were in a cash crunch, for example, and wanted to sell off some of its assets, mark to market accounting could give an idea of how much capital it might be able to raise. The company would try to determine as accurately as possible what its marketable assets are worth.

In stock trading, mark to market value is determined for securities by looking at volatility and market performance. Specifically, you’re looking at a security’s current trading price then making adjustments to value based on the trading price at the end of the trading day.

There are other ways mark to market can be used beyond valuing company assets or securities. In insurance, for example, the mark to market method is used to calculate the replacement value of personal property. Calculating net worth, an important personal finance ratio, is also a simple form of mark to market accounting.

Mark-to-Market Accounting: Pros and Cons

Mark to market accounting can be useful when evaluating how much a company’s assets are worth or determining value when trading securities. But it’s not an entirely foolproof accounting method.

Mark to Market Pros Mark to Market Cons

•   Can help establish accurate valuations when companies need to liquidate assets

•   Useful for value investors when making investment decisions

•   May make it easier for lenders to establish the value of collateral when extending loans

•   Valuations are not always 100% accurate since they’re based on current market conditions

•   Increased volatility may skew valuations of company assets

•   Companies may devalue their assets in an economic downturn, which can result in losses

Pros of Mark to Market Accounting

There are a few advantages of mark to market accounting:

•   It can help generate an accurate valuation of company assets. This may be important if a company needs to liquidate assets or it’s attempting to secure financing. Lenders can use the mark to market value of assets to determine whether a company has sufficient collateral to secure a loan.

•   It can help mitigate risk. If a value investor is looking for new companies to invest in, for example, having an accurate valuation is critical for avoiding value traps. Investors who rely on a fundamental approach can also use mark to market value when examining key financial ratios, such as price to earnings (P/E) or return on equity (ROE).

•   It may make it easier for lenders to establish the value of collateral when extending loans. Mark to market may provide more accurate guidance in terms of collateral value.

Cons of Mark to Market Accounting

There are also some potential disadvantages of using mark to market accounting:

•   It may not be 100% accurate. Fair market value is determined based on what you expect someone to pay for an asset that you have to sell. That doesn’t necessarily guarantee you would get that amount if you were to sell the asset.

•   It can be problematic during periods of increased economic volatility. It may be more difficult to estimate the value of a company’s assets or net worth when the market is experiencing uncertainty or overall momentum is trending toward an economic downturn.

•   Companies may inadvertently devalue their assets in a downturn. If the market’s perception of a company, industry, or sector turns negative, it could spur a sell-off of assets. Companies may end up devaluing their assets if they’re liquidating in a panic. This can have a boomerang effect and drive further economic decline, as it did in the 1930s when banks marked down assets following the 1929 stock market crash.

Mark to Market in Investing

In investing, mark to market is used to measure the current value of securities, portfolios or trading accounts. This is most often used in instances where investors are trading futures or other securities in margin accounts.

Futures are derivative financial contracts, in which there’s an agreement to buy or sell a particular security at a specific price on a future date. Margin trading involves borrowing money from a brokerage in order to increase purchasing power.

Understanding mark to market is important for meeting margin requirements to continue trading. Investors typically have to deposit cash or have marginable securities of $2,000 or 50% of the securities purchased. The maintenance margin reflects the amount that must be in the margin account at all times to avoid a margin call.

In simple terms, margin calls are requests for more money. FINRA rules require the maintenance margin to be at least 25% of the total value of margin securities. If an investor is subject to a margin call, they’ll have to sell assets or deposit more money to reach their maintenance margin and continue trading.

In futures trading, mark to market is used to price contracts at the end of the trading day. Adjustments are made to reflect the day’s profits or losses, based on the closing price at settlement. These adjustments affect the cash balance showing in a futures account, which in turn may affect an investor’s ability to meet margin maintenance requirements.


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Mark to Market Example

Futures markets follow an official daily settlement price that’s established by the exchange. In a futures contract transaction you have a long trader and a short trader. The amount of value gained or lost in the futures contract at the end of the day is reflected in the values of the accounts belonging to the short and long trader.

So, assume a farmer takes a short position in 10 soybean futures contracts to hedge against the possibility of falling commodities prices. Each contract represents 5,000 bushels of soybeans and is priced at $5 each. The farmer’s account balance is $250,000. This account balance will change daily as the mark to market value is recalculated. Here’s what that might look like over a five-day period.

Day

Futures Price Change in Value Gain/Loss Cumulative Gain/Loss Account Balance
1 $5 $250,00
2 $5.05 +0.05 -2,500 -2,500 $247,500
3 $5.03 -0.02 +1,000 -1,500 $248,500
4 $4.97 -0.06 +3,000 +1,500 $251,500
5 $4.90 -0.07 +3,500 +5,000 $255,000

Since the farmer took a short position, a decline in the value of the futures contract results in a positive gain for their account value. This daily pattern of mark to market will continue until the futures contract expires.

Conversely, the trader who holds a long position in the same contract will see their account balance move in the opposite direction as each new gain or loss is posted.

Mark to Market in Recent History

Mark to market accounting can become problematic if an asset’s market value and true value are out of sync. For example, during the financial crisis of 2008-09, mortgage-backed securities (MBS) became a trouble spot for banks. As the housing market soared, banks raised valuations for mortgage-backed securities. To increase borrowing and sell more loans, credit standards were relaxed. This meant banks were carrying a substantial amount of subprime loans.

As asset prices began to fall, banks began pulling back on loans to keep their liabilities in balance with assets. The end result was a housing bubble which sparked a housing crisis. During this time, the U.S. economy would enter one of the worst recessions in recent history.

The U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) eased rules regarding the use of mark to market accounting in 2009. This permitted banks to keep the values of mortgage-backed securities on their balance sheets when the value of those securities had dropped significantly. The measure meant banks were not forced to mark the value of those securities down.

Can You Mark Assets to Market?

The FASB oversees mark to market accounting standards. These standards, along with other accounting and financial reporting rules, apply to corporate entities and nonprofit organizations in the U.S. But it’s possible to use mark to market principles when making trades.

If you’re trading futures contracts, for instance, mark to market adjustments are made to your cash balance daily, based on the settlement price of the securities you hold. Your cash balance will increase or decrease based on the gains or losses reported for that day.

If the market moves in your favor, your account’s value would increase. But if the market moves against you and your futures contracts drop in value, your cash balance would adjust accordingly. You’d have to pay attention to maintenance margin requirements in order to avoid a margin call.

Which Assets Are Marked to Market?

Generally, the types of assets that are marked to market are ones that are bought and sold for cash relatively quickly — otherwise known as marketable securities. Assets that can be marked to market include stocks, futures, and mutual funds. These are assets for which it’s possible to determine a fair market value based on current market conditions.

When measuring the value of tangible and intangible assets, companies may not use the mark to market method. In the case of equipment, for example, they may use historical cost accounting which considers the original price paid for an asset and its subsequent depreciation. Meanwhile, different valuation methods may be necessary to determine the worth of intellectual property or a company’s brand reputation, which are intangible assets.

Mark to Market Losses

Mark to market losses occur when the value of an asset falls from one day to the next. A mark to market loss is unrealized since it only reflects the change in valuation of asset, not any capital losses associated with the sale of an asset for less than its purchase price. The loss happens when the value of the asset or security in question is adjusted to reflect its new market value.

Mark to Market Losses During Crises

Mark to market losses can be amplified during a financial crisis when it’s difficult to accurately determine the fair market value of an asset or security. When the stock market crashed, for instance, in 1929, banks were moved to devalue assets based on mark to market accounting rules. This helped turn what could have been a temporary recession into the Great Depression, one of the most significant economic events in stock market history.

Mark to Market Losses in 2008

During the 2008 financial crisis, mark to market accounting practices were a target of criticism as the housing market crashed. The market for mortgage-backed securities vanished, meaning the value of those securities took a nosedive.

Banks couldn’t sell those assets, and under mark to market accounting rules they had to be revalued. As a result banks collectively reported around $2 trillion in total mark to market losses.

The Takeaway

Mark to market is, as discussed, an accounting method that’s used to calculate the current or real value of a company’s assets. Mark to market is a helpful principle to understand, especially if you’re interested in futures trading.

When trading futures or trading on margin, it’s important to understand how mark to market calculations could affect your returns and your potential to be subject to a margin call. As always, if you feel like you’re in the weeds, it can be beneficial to speak with a financial professional for guidance.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

Is mark to market accounting legal?

Mark to market account is a legal accounting practice, and is overseen by the FASB. Though it has been used in the past to cover financial losses, it remains a legal and viable method.

Is mark to market accounting still used?

Yes, mark to market accounting is still used both by businesses and individuals for investments and personal finance needs. In some sectors of the economy, it may even remain as one of the primary accounting methods.

What are mark to market losses?

Mark to market losses are losses that are generated as a result of an accounting entry, as opposed to a loss generated by the sale of an asset. The loss is incurred, under mark to market accounting, when the value of an asset declines, not when it is sold for less than it was purchased.


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SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Claw Promotion: Customer must fund their Active Invest account with at least $25 within 30 days of opening the account. Probability of customer receiving $1,000 is 0.028%. See full terms and conditions.

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Guide to Calculating EPS and Why It Matters

Earnings per share (EPS) tells investors a company’s ability to produce income for shareholders, and relates to its profitability. To calculate EPS, investors can use a ratio that takes a company’s quarterly or annual net income and divide it by the number of outstanding shares of stock on the market.

Knowing a stock’s earnings per share can be a valuable portfolio benchmarking tool. Think of EPS as GPS for where a public company is on the value map, based on how profitable it has been. Further, knowing an investment’s EPS gives investors — and portfolio managers — a good indicator of a stock’s performance over a specific period of time and its potential share price performance in the near future.

Key Points

•   Earnings per share (EPS) is a ratio that measures a company’s ability to generate income for shareholders.

•   EPS is calculated by dividing a company’s net income by the number of outstanding shares of stock.

•   EPS is a valuable tool for benchmarking a company’s profitability and assessing its potential share price performance.

•   Basic EPS includes all outstanding stock shares, while diluted EPS considers additional assets like convertible securities.

•   EPS may help investors evaluate a company’s financial health, make investment decisions, and assess risk.

What Is Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

The starting point for any conversation about the EPS ratio is the earnings report companies issue to regulators, shareholders, and potential investors. Earnings reports play a major role, if not the starring role, during earnings season.

Publicly traded companies must, by law, report their earnings quarterly and annually. Earnings represent the net income a company generates (after taxes and after expenses are deducted), along with an estimate of what profits or losses can be expected going forward.

Typically, investment analysts, money managers and investors look at earnings as a major component of a company’s profit potential, with earnings per share a particularly useful measurement tool when gauging a company’s financial prospects.

While a company’s earnings call represents a publicly traded company’s revenues, minus operating expenses, earnings per share is different.

EPS indicates a firm’s earnings for investors, divided by the company’s number of remaining shares. Earnings per share is perhaps most optimal when comparing EPS rates of publicly traded firms operating in the same industry.

It is likely not, however, the only investment measurement tool when researching stocks and funds. Other key indicators, like share price, market share, market capitalization, dividend growth, and historical performance may also be added to the investment assessment mix. In all, though, it’s an important tool that can help determine the investing risk at play when making investing decisions.

If you’re wondering how to find earnings per share, investors can find a company’s quarterly and yearly EPS by visiting the firm’s investor relations page on its website or by plugging in the stock’s ticker symbol on major business and finance media platforms.


💡 Quick Tip: Before opening an investment account, know your investment objectives, time horizon, and risk tolerance. These fundamentals will help keep your strategy on track and with the aim of meeting your goals.

Basic and Diluted EPS

When companies report earnings per share, they may do so in two forms: basic EPS or diluted EPS. Each has key distinctions that investors should know about. Basic EPS is a good barometer of a firm’s financial health, while diluted EPS represents a deeper dive into a company’s financial metrics and its use of alternative assets like convertible securities.

Basic

Basic earnings per share, or basic EPS, includes all of a publicly traded company’s outstanding stock shares.

Diluted

Diluted earnings per share, or diluted eps, includes all of a company’s outstanding stock shares, plus its investable assets, like stock options, stock warrants, and other forms of convertible investments tied to a company’s financial performance that could become common stocks one day.

One big takeaway for both EPS models is that any major deviation between basic and diluted EPS calculations should be considered a warning sign to investors, as it indicates that a company’s use of convertible securities is complicated and still in flux.

That scenario may indicate that the company isn’t in an ideal position to provide accurate share value to the investing public at a given time.

Why Is EPS Important to Investors

EPS calculations are not only a snapshot of a company’s profit performance, but they can also be used to evaluate a company’s stock price going forward. Even a moderate increase in EPS may indicate that a company’s profit potential is on the upside, and investors may take that as a sign to buy the company’s stock.

Conversely, a small decrease in a company’s EPS from quarter to quarter may trigger a red flag among investors, who could view a downward EPS trend as a larger profit issue and shy away from buying the company’s stock.

In short, the higher the EPS, the more attractive that company’s stock generally is to investors. But the higher a stock’s EPS, the more expensive its shares are likely to be.

Once investors have an accurate EPS figure, they can decide if a stock is priced fairly and make an appropriate investment decision.

What Is Considered a Good EPS Ratio?

There’s no hard and fast figure to point to when trying to determine a good EPS ratio. It’s perhaps better practice to look, in general, for a higher number. Context is important, too, because whether an EPS is good may depend on the expectations surrounding it.

Companies grow at different rates, and some are in different stages of growth than others. With that in mind, you might expect a different EPS for, say, a tech startup than you would for a decades-old auto manufacturer. So, there are differences and contexts to take into consideration.

But again, it may be best to look for a high number — or, to do some research to figure out what analysts and experts are looking for in terms of a specific company’s EPS. Again, this can all help you determine whether a stock is right for your portfolio and strategy in accordance with your tolerance for risk.


💡 Quick Tip: How to manage potential risk factors in a self directed investment account? Doing your research and employing strategies like dollar-cost averaging and diversification may help mitigate financial risk when trading stocks.

Earnings Per Share Ratio Considerations

Investors should prepare to dig deeper and examine what factors influence EPS figures. These factors are at the top of that list:

•   EPS numbers can rise or fall significantly based on earnings’ rise or fall, or as the number of company shares rises or falls.

•   A company’s earnings may rise because sales are surging faster than expenses, or if company managers succeed in curbing operations costs. Additionally, investors may get a “false read” on EPS if too many company expenses are shed from the EPS calculation.

•   A company’s number of outstanding shares may fall if a company engages in significant stock share buybacks. Correspondingly, shares outstanding may jump when a firm issues new stock shares.

•   A company’s profit margins are also a big influencer on EPS. A company that is losing money usually has a negative EPS number. (Then again, that may send a wrong signal to investors. The company could be on the path to profits, and that trend may not show up in an EPS calculation.)

•   A price to earnings ratio is another highly useful metric to evaluate a stock’s share growth potential. Investors can find a P/E ratio through a proper calculation of EPS (“P” is the price per share; “E” refers to EPS), though it’s easy to look up a P/E ratio on any site that aggregates stock information.

EPS can be reported for each quarter or fiscal year, or it can be projected into the future with a forward EPS.

How to Calculate EPS

The EPS formula is fairly simple, and it can be used in a couple of different methods, too. The most common way to accurately gauge an EPS figure is through an end-of-period calculation.

EPS Formula

The EPS formula is a company’s net income, minus its preferred dividends, divided by the number of shares outstanding. It looks like this:

EPS = (net income – preferred dividends) / outstanding shares

EPS is perhaps usually calculated using preferred dividends, but it can be calculated without them, too. Here are a couple of examples:

Example With Preferred Dividends

Investors can calculate EPS by subtracting a stock’s total preferred dividends from the company’s net income. Then divide that number by the end-of-period stock shares that are outstanding.

Basic EPS = (net income – preferred dividends) / weighted average number of common shares outstanding

For example, ABC Co. generates a net income of $2 million in a quarter. Simultaneously, the company rolls out $275,000 in preferred dividends and has 12 million outstanding shares of stock. In that calculation, knowing that shares of common stock are equal in value, the company’s earnings per share is $0.14.

(2,000,000 – 275,000) ÷ 12,000,000= 0.14

Example Without Preferred Dividends

For smaller publicly traded companies with no preferred dividends, the EPS calculation is more straightforward.

Basic EPS = net income / weighted average number of common shares outstanding

Let’s say DEF Corp. has generated a net income of $50,000 for the year. As the company has no preferred shares outstanding and has 5,000 weighted average shares on an annual basis, its earnings per share is $10.

50,000 ÷ 5,000= 10

In any EPS calculation, preferred dividends must be severed from net income. That’s because earnings per share is primarily designed to calculate the net income for holders of common stock.

Additionally, in most EPS end-of-period calculations, a company is mostly likely to calculate EPS for end-of-year financial statements. That’s because companies may issue new stock or buy back existing shares of company stock.

In those instances, a weighted average of common stock shares is required for an accurate EPS assessment. (A weighted average of a company’s outstanding shares can provide more clarity because a fixed number at any given time may provide a false EPS outcome, as share prices can be volatile and change quickly on a day-to-day basis.)

The most commonly used EPS share model calculation is the “trailing 12 months” formula, which tracks a company’s earnings per share by totaling its EPS for the previous four quarters.

The Takeaway

Earnings per share (EPS) can be calculated by investors to get a better sense of a company’s ability to produce income for shareholders. To calculate EPS, investors can use a ratio that takes a company’s quarterly or annual net income and divide it by the number of outstanding shares of stock on the market. There are different variations of the calculation, too.

Earnings trends, up or down, make earnings per share one of the most valuable metrics for assessing investments. Four or five years of positive EPS activity is considered an indicator that a company’s long-term financial prospects are robust and that its share growth should continue to rise.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).


For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

How do you calculate EPS by year?

To calculate EPS by year, investors can use the formula that subtracts preferred dividends from net income, and then divide that number by the weighted average of common shares outstanding for the given year.

What is a good EPS ratio?

Each company is different, as is the context surrounding it, so there is no general rule about what makes a “good” EPS ratio for any given stock. Instead, investors should gauge analyst expectations, and consider a company’s age, among other things, to determine if its EPS is good or bad.

What are the two ways to calculate EPS?

Earnings per share (EPS) can be calculated with preferred dividends, or without preferred dividends, depending on the specific company.


SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Claw Promotion: Customer must fund their Active Invest account with at least $25 within 30 days of opening the account. Probability of customer receiving $1,000 is 0.028%. See full terms and conditions.

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Capital Appreciation on Investments

The term capital appreciation refers to an investment’s value rising over time. Theoretically, capital, meaning money or funds, appreciates, or goes up (as opposed to depreciates) after an investor initially purchases it, and that rise in value is what’s referred to as capital appreciation.

Of course, capital can also depreciate, but investors aren’t usually looking for negative returns. This is an important concept for investors to grasp, too, as capital appreciation is likely the main goal of most investors’ overall strategies.

Key Points

•   Capital appreciation refers to the increase in an investment’s value over time.

•   Calculating capital appreciation involves comparing the current market price of an asset to its original purchase price.

•   Factors such as company performance, economic conditions, and monetary policy can influence capital appreciation.

•   Assets like stocks, real estate, mutual funds, ETFs, and commodities are commonly associated with capital appreciation.

•   Capital appreciation is an important component of long-term wealth-building strategies, along with income from dividends and interest.

What Is Capital Appreciation?

As noted, capital appreciation refers to a rise in the price of an investment. Essentially, it is how much the value of an asset has increased since an investor purchased it. Analysts calculate capital appreciation by comparing the asset’s current market price and the original purchase price, also called the cost basis.

Example of Capital Appreciation

Capital appreciation can be understood by analyzing an example from stock market investing.

If an investor purchases 100 shares of Company A for $10 a share, they are buying $1,000 worth of stock. If the price of this investment increases to $12 per share, the initial 100 share investment is now worth $1,200. In this example, the capital appreciation would be $200, or a 20% increase above the initial investment.


💡 Quick Tip: Look for an online brokerage with low trading commissions as well as no account minimum. Higher fees can cut into investment returns over time.

What Causes Capital Appreciation?

The value of assets can rise and fall for various reasons. These include factors specific to individual investments and those affecting the economy and financial world as a whole.

Asset Fundamentals

In the most traditional sense, the price of an asset will increase because of a rise in the fundamental value of the underlying investment. When investors see that a company is doing well and expect it to keep doing well, they will invest in the company’s stock. This activity pushes the stock price up, resulting in capital appreciation if an investor holds shares in the company.

For a real estate asset, the value of a property could go up after a homeowner or landlord renovates a structure. This capital improvement increases the property’s market value.

Macroeconomic Factors

When the economy is booming, it can buoy all kinds of financial assets. In a strong economy, people typically have good jobs and can afford to spend money. This helps many companies’ bottom lines, which causes investors to put money into shares of the company. The opposite of this scenario is also true. When the economy endures a downturn, asset prices may fall.

Recommended: Understanding Economic Indicators

Monetary Policy

Central banks like the Federal Reserve play a significant role in how the financial markets operate. Because of this, the monetary policy set by central banks can play a prominent role in capital appreciation.

For example, when a central bank cuts interest rates, corporations can usually borrow money at a lower cost. Businesses often use this injection of cheap money to invest in and grow their business, which may cause investors to pour into the stock market and push share prices higher. Additionally, companies may take advantage of lower interest loans to borrow money to buy shares of their stock, known as a stock buyback. These moves may push share prices higher, further leading to capital appreciation.

Another monetary policy tool is quantitative easing (QE), which refers to a method of central bank intervention where central banks purchase long-term securities to increase the supply of money and encourage investment and lending. Like a low interest rate policy, this method can lead to rising asset prices because more money is being added to the economy — money that flows into assets, bidding their prices higher.

Speculation

Another potential cause of capital appreciation is speculation. Speculation occurs when many investors perceive the value of a particular asset as being higher than it is and start buying the asset in anticipation of a higher price. This activity may lead to the price of an asset being pushed higher. After a frenzy, the price of the asset eventually drops as investors sell in a panic when they realize there’s no fundamental reason to keep holding the asset. This type of speculation is fueled by investors’ emotions, rather than financial fundamentals.

Assets Designed for Capital Appreciation

There are several categories of assets that are designed for returns through price appreciation. Investors generally hold these investments for the long term hoping that prices will rise. This isn’t an exhaustive list, but it provides a good overview.

Stocks

Stocks are a type of financial security that represents equity ownership in a corporation. They can be thought of as little pieces of a publicly-traded company that investors can purchase on an exchange, with hopes that the price of the shares will go up.

Real Estate

Real estate is a piece of land and anything attached to that land. Many people build wealth through homeownership and capital appreciation, buying a house at a specific price with an expectation that it will appreciate in value by the time they are ready to sell.

Residential real estate is just one area of real estate investment. Investors may also look to put money into commercial, industrial, and agricultural real estate activities. Investors can invest in various real estate investment trusts (REITs) to get exposure to returns on real estate.

Mutual Funds

A mutual fund consists of a pool of money from many investors. The fund might invest in various assets, including stocks, bonds, commodities, or anything else. In the context of a mutual fund, capital appreciation occurs when the value of the assets in the fund rises.

ETFs

Similar to mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are investment vehicles that contain a group of different stocks, bonds, or commodities. ETFs can track stocks in one particular industry, e.g., gold mining stocks, or track all the stocks in an entire index such as the S&P 500. As the name suggests, ETFs are bought and sold on exchanges just like stocks.

Commodities

Commodities are an investment that has a tangible economic value. This means that the market values these raw materials because of their different use cases. For example, commodities like oil and wheat are desired because they can power automobiles and be used for food, respectively. Commodities markets can be highly volatile, but many investors take advantage of the volatility to see the capital appreciation on both a short-term and long-term time horizon.


💡 Quick Tip: Distributing your money across a range of assets — also known as diversification — can be beneficial for long-term investors. When you put your eggs in many baskets, it may be beneficial if a single asset class goes down.

Capital Appreciation Bonds

Capital appreciation bonds are municipal securities backed by local government agencies. With these bonds, investors hope to receive a significant return in the future by investing a small amount upfront.

Like all bonds, capital appreciation bonds yield interest, which is a primary reason that investors buy them. But instead of paying out interest annually, the interest gets compounded regularly until maturity. This gives the investor one lump sum payout at the end of the bond’s lifetime.

Unlike other assets that experience capital appreciation, the price of the capital appreciation bond does not rise. Instead, capital appreciation refers to the compounded interest paid out to the bondholder at maturity.

Capital Appreciation vs Capital Gains

Though the terms are sometimes used interchangeably, there is a difference between capital appreciation and capital gains.

Capital appreciation occurs when the value of an investment rises above the purchase price while the investor owns the asset. In contrast, capital gains are the profit made once an investment is sold. Appreciation is, in effect, an “unrealized” gain. It becomes “realized” once the investment is sold for a profit.

Capital appreciation alone does not have tax implications; an investor doesn’t have to pay taxes on the price growth of an investment when they own it. But when an investor sells an investment and realizes a profit, they must pay capital gains taxes on the windfall.

Capital Appreciation vs Income

Capital appreciation is one piece of the puzzle in an investment strategy. Another critical component to build wealth is investing in assets that pay out dividends, interest, and other income sources.

A dividend is a portion of a company’s earnings paid out to the shareholders. For every share of stock an investor owns, they get paid a portion of the company’s profits.

Interest income is typically earned by investing in bonds, otherwise known as fixed-income investments. The interest payment is determined by the bond’s yield or interest rate. Investors can also be paid interest by putting money into savings accounts or certificates of deposit (CDs).

For real estate investors, rents paid by tenants can also act as a regular income payout.

Investing in assets that pay out regular income can supplement capital appreciation. The combination of capital appreciation with income returns is the total return of an investment.

Risks Associated With This Type of Investment

Assets intended for capital appreciation tend to be riskier than those intended for capital preservation, like many types of bonds.

Investing in stocks for capital appreciation alone is also known as growth investing. This strategy is typically focused on investing in young or small companies that are expected to increase at an above-average rate compared to the overall market.

The returns with a growth investing strategy can be high, but the risk involved is also high. Because they don’t have a long track record, these small and young companies can struggle to grow their business and lead to bankruptcy.

The Takeaway

Capital appreciation refers to the rise in value, or price, of an investment in an investor’s portfolio. It’s paramount to the whole concept of investing, as most investors invest in an effort to generate returns, or appreciation, on their money.

Capital appreciation is one part of a long-term wealth-building strategy. Along with income from dividends, interest, and rent, capital appreciation is part of the total return of an investment that investors need to consider.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

What is the difference between capital growth and capital appreciation?

The difference between the terms capital growth and capital appreciation is merely semantics. Both terms refer to an increase in value of an investment over time, and effectively mean the same thing.

How much tax do you pay on capital appreciation?

Investors do not pay taxes on capital appreciation, as an investment gaining value does not trigger a taxable event. They do pay taxes on capital gains, which are realized when an investor sells an asset.

What is the difference between dividend and capital appreciation?

A dividend is a payout to shareholders from a company’s profits. Capital appreciation is the rise in market value of an investment or asset, so they are two completely different things.


SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Claw Promotion: Customer must fund their Active Invest account with at least $25 within 30 days of opening the account. Probability of customer receiving $1,000 is 0.028%. See full terms and conditions.

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Wash Trading: What Is It? Is It Legal?

Wash Trading: What Is It and How Does It Work?

Wash trading is a practice which involves entering into securities transactions for the express purpose of giving the appearance that a trade has taken place although their portfolio has not substantially changed. Also referred to as round-trip trading, wash trading is a prohibited activity under the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) and the Securities Exchange Act of 1934.

In some cases, wash trading is a direct attempt at market manipulation. In others, wash trading may result from a lack of investor knowledge. This may be the case with wash sales, in which an investor sells one financial instrument then replaces it with a similar one right away. It’s important to understand the implications of making a wash trade and what one looks like in action.

Key Points

•   Wash trading involves investors engaging in the simultaneous buying and selling of securities to create the illusion of trading activity.

•   Wash trading involves the simultaneous buying and selling of the same or similar securities.

•   This practice can be a form of market manipulation or result from a lack of investor knowledge.

•   The goal of wash trading is to influence pricing or trading activity, often through collaboration between investors and brokers.

•   Wash trading is illegal and can result in penalties, including the disallowance of tax deductions for losses.

What Is Wash Trading?

Wash trading occurs when an investor buys and sells the same or a similar security investment at the same time. The Internal Revenue Service (IRS) also refers to this as a wash sale, since buying the same security cancels out the sale of that security. It’s also called round-trip trading, since you’re essentially ending where you began — with shares of the same security in your portfolio.

Wash trades can be used as a form of market manipulation. Investors can buy and sell the same securities in an attempt to influence pricing or trading activity. The goal may be to spur buying activity to send prices up or encourage selling to drive prices down.

Investors and brokers might work together to influence trading volume, usually for the financial benefit of both sides. The broker, for example, may benefit from collecting commissions from other investors who want to purchase a stock being targeted for wash trading. The investor, on the other hand, may realize gains from the sale of securities through price manipulation.

Wash trading can be a subset of insider trading, which requires the parties involved to have some special knowledge about a security that the general public doesn’t. If an investor or broker possesses insider knowledge they can use it to complete wash trades.

How Does Wash Trading Work?

On the surface level, a wash trade means an investor is buying and selling shares of the same security at the same time. But the definition of wash trades goes one step further and takes the investor’s intent (and that of the broker they may be working with) into account. There are generally two conditions that must be met for a wash trade to exist:

•   Intent. The intent of the parties involved in a wash trade (i.e. the broker or the investor) must be that at least one individual involved in the transaction must have entered into it specifically for that purpose.

•   Result. The result of the transaction must be a wash trade, meaning the investors bought and sold the same asset was bought and sold at the same time or within a relatively short time span for accounts with the same or common beneficial ownership.

Beneficial ownership means accounts that are owned by the same individual or entity. Trades made between accounts with common beneficial ownership may draw the eye of financial regulators, as they can suggest wash trading activity is at work.

A telling indicator of wash trading activity is the level of risk conveyed to the investor. If a trade doesn’t change their overall market position in the security or expose them to any type of market risk, then it could be considered a wash.

Wash trades don’t necessarily have to involve actual trades, however. They can also happen if investors and traders appear to make a trade on paper without any assets changing hands.

💡 Quick Tip: How to manage potential risk factors in a self-directed investment account? Doing your research and employing strategies like dollar-cost averaging and diversification may help mitigate financial risk when trading stocks.

Example of a Wash Trade

Here’s a simple wash trade example:

Say an investor who’s actively involved in day trading owns 100 shares of ABC stock and sells those shares at a $5,000 loss on September 1. On September 5, they purchase 100 shares of the same stock, then resell them for a $10,000 gain. This could be considered a wash trade if the investor engaged in the trading activity with the intent to manipulate the market or to unfairly claim a tax deduction for the loss.

Is Wash Trading Illegal?

Yes. The Commodity Exchange Act prohibits wash trading. Prior to the passage of the Act, traders commonly used wash trading to manipulate markets and stock prices. The Commodity Futures Trade Commission (CFTC) also enforces regulations regarding wash trading, including guidelines that bar brokers from profiting from wash trade activity.

The IRS has rules of its own regarding wash trades. The rules disallow investors from deducting capital losses on their taxes from sales or trades of stocks or other securities that are the result of a wash sale. Under the IRS rules, a wash sale occurs when you sell or trade stocks at a loss and within 30 days before or after the sale you:

•   Purchase substantially identical stock or securities

•   Acquire substantially identical stock or securities in a fully taxable trade

•   Acquire a contract or option to buy substantially identical stock or securities, or

•   Acquire substantially identical stock for your individual retirement arrangement (IRA) or Roth IRA

Wash sale rules also apply if you sell stock and your spouse or a corporation you control buys substantially identical stock. When a wash sale occurs, you’re no longer able to claim a tax deduction for those losses.

So, in short, yes, wash trading is illegal.

Difference Between Wash Trading & Market Making

Market making and wash trading are not the same thing. A market maker is a firm or individual that buys or sells securities at publicly quoted prices on-demand, and a market maker provides liquidity and facilitates trades between buyers and sellers. For example, if you’re trading through an online broker you’re using a market maker to complete the sale or purchase of securities.

Recommended: What Is a Brokerage Account?

Market making is not market manipulation. A market maker is, effectively, a middleman between investors and the markets. While they do profit from their role by maintaining spreads on the stocks they cover, this is secondary to fulfilling their purpose of keeping shares and capital moving. Without market makers, trades would take longer to execute and the markets could become sluggish.

How to Detect & Avoid Wash Trading

The simplest way to avoid wash trading as an investor is to be aware of what constitutes a wash trade or sale. Again, this can mean the intent to manipulate the markets by placing similar trades within a short time frame, or it can mean inadvertently executing a wash sale because you’re not familiar with the rules.

In the latter case, you can avoid wash trading or wash sales by being mindful of the securities you’re buying and selling and the time frame in which those transactions are completed. So selling XYZ stock at a loss, then buying it again 10 days later to sell it for a profit would likely constitute a wash sale, if you executed the trade in an attempt to be able to deduct the initial loss.

It’s also important to understand how the 30 days period works for timing wash sales. The 30 day rule extends to the 30 days prior to the sale and 30 days after the sale. So effectively, you could avoid the wash sale rule by waiting 61 days to replace assets that you sold in your portfolio to be on the safe side.

💡 Quick Tip: Look for an online brokerage with low trading commissions as well as no account minimum. Higher fees can cut into investment returns over time.

Wash Trading in Crypto Trading

Cryptocurrency can be a target for wash-trading activity. In the EOS case, wash trades were suspected of being used as a means of driving up investor interest surrounding the cryptocurrency during its initial offering. High-frequency trading has also been a target of scrutiny, as some believe it enables wash trading in the crypto markets. Whether wash trading rules and regulations specifically apply to crypto, however, is a bit murky.

The Takeaway

Wash trading involves selling certain securities and then replacing them in a portfolio with identical or very similar securities within a certain time period. This is done so as to avoid making substantial changes in your portfolio. Wash trading is illegal in practice but it’s also avoidable if you’re investing consciously and with a strategy in place.

Understanding when wash sale rules apply can help you to stay out of trouble with the IRS. If you’re unclear about it, you can consult with a financial professional for guidance.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

Photo credit: iStock/mapodile


SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Claw Promotion: Customer must fund their Active Invest account with at least $25 within 30 days of opening the account. Probability of customer receiving $1,000 is 0.028%. See full terms and conditions.

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