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It’s been more than a decade since the Great Recession. Remember how it brought multibillion-dollar financial corporations to their knees and nearly chased the big American automakers right out of Detroit?

Instead, both industries got a bailout, to the tune of $634 billion, according to ProPublica’s Bailout Tracker.

So if the giants of capitalism got a pass, will the students paying loans to get a bailout as well? Will there be a student debt cancellation plan for you and your former classmates?

A Rising Tide of Student Loan Debt

When you earned your degree, you also most likely earned your way into a not-so-exclusive club. Forty-five million people owe $1.73 trillion in student loans in America. For comparison, that’s $740 billion higher than the outstanding credit card debt in the country.

Student loan borrowers owed about $845 billion in late 2010. This means that in the past decade, student debt has grown by over 100%.

How Many Would Benefit From a Bailout?

Forgiving just $10,000 per person would wipe away the federal student loan debt of 15.3 million borrowers, Insider reported.

Proponents of student loan cancellation say a bailout would:

•  Minimize the wealth gap

•  Inspire the creation of small businesses

•  Encourage homeownership

•  Help people feel more confident starting families

Here are two more things backers argue that student loan forgiveness would do.

Spark an Economic Upswing

Bharat Ramamurti, a member of the COVID-19 Congressional Oversight Commission, tweeted what he sees as benefits of student loan forgiveness: “Broad student loan debt cancellation via executive order is good economics and politics.”

He added, “One study has found that canceling all debt would have a big stimulative effect. Of course, the impact would be less if less debt were canceled, but debt cancellation is one of the relatively few ways to stimulate the economy without Congress.”

Benefit All Federal Student Loan Borrowers

Upper-income households owe almost 60% of the outstanding education debt and make almost three-quarters of the payments, the Brookings Institution noted. Lowell Ricketts, a lead analyst for the Center for Household Financial Stability at the St. Louis Fed, agreed that loan forgiveness would disproportionately benefit affluent graduates .

But he pointed out that forgiving $10,000 of student debt would help many low-balance borrowers as well and resolve the problem of overdue payments that 19% of that group has.

The Price of Student Loan Debt Cancellation

While it might sound like a good idea in the face of high debt balances and delayed dreams, one reason it might not come to fruition is the price tag.

Erasure of $10,000 for all 43 million borrowers would cost $377 billion . Canceling $50,000 for all 43 million would cost over $1 trillion, according to The Conversation, which publishes pieces by academics well-versed in these areas.

Additionally, the optics of a student loan cancellation aren’t necessarily good. For example, law and dental school grads may have high debt balances but also might start lucrative careers immediately.

The issue of wiping out student loan debt may have another fairness factor. Former students who successfully paid off their loans may not appreciate seeing millions of current borrowers let off the hook.

And while you can default on a mortgage or get rid of most credit card debt by filing for bankruptcy, most student loans are owned by the federal government, and are extremely difficult to get discharged except for all but the most extreme circumstances.

Student Loan Cancellation FAQ

Q: Did the Stimulus Bill Forgive Student Loans?

A: No. The $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief bill passed in March 2021 doesn’t forgive student loans, but the legislation does mention them: Any federal or private student loan balance that’s forgiven will be tax-free through 2025.

Before the bill, participants of the Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) Program and income-driven repayment plans were required to pay taxes on any remaining loan balance that was forgiven.

With this change, borrowers who receive any loan forgiveness before Jan. 1, 2026, won’t have to pay taxes on the forgiven loan amount.

It’s unclear if private student loan borrowers will see any gain. Since the only options for repayment aid are refinancing and deferment or forbearance (if offered by the lender), they may not benefit from this bill. However, there has been some buzz about the Biden administration helping private student loan borrowers more.

Q: Are Student Loans Being Forgiven?

A: President Joe Biden had vocalized his support of $10,000 in student loan forgiveness but has not acted on it. The future of student loan forgiveness is still up in the air, as of this writing.

Q: Will They Take Away Stimulus Money for Student Loan Borrowers?

A: Collection agencies can seize stimulus payments for defaulted student loans in some cases.

Paying Down Your Student Loans

Even without a student loan bailout plan, options exist for dealing with your debt.

Federal and Other Programs

If you work in a qualifying public service field or as a teacher and you have federal student loans, you may be able to qualify for the Public Service Loan Forgiveness (PSLF) Program, which is supposed to forgive any remaining loan balance after 120 qualifying monthly payments. Unfortunately, the pool of people qualifying for loan forgiveness has been small.

Specific state and federal loan forgiveness options exist for health care professionals, veterinarians, lawyers, and teachers who work in underserved areas of the country.

In addition to the forgiveness options, qualified federal student loan borrowers may be able to take advantage of delayed payments .

Another way some borrowers seek to ease student loan debt is through income-driven repayment plans. The amount you pay is based on your family size and income, usually 10% of your discretionary income. It’s intended to make the monthly payments more affordable by stretching out the repayment term, which usually results in more interest accumulating over the now-longer life of the loan.

Refinancing

If you refinance your student loans with a private lender, you may qualify for a lower interest rate, which could shave off a significant sum over the life of your loans.

Some lenders refinance both private and federal student loans.

If you decide to refinance, you’ll typically have a choice between a fixed or variable rate, both of which carry their own risks and rewards. A fixed-rate stays the same for the life of the loan, so you always know what your monthly payment will be.

Variable-rate loans can fluctuate as the economy roars or slumps. They’re usually tied to a well-known index, so your payment amount may fluctuate over time. The potential benefit, however, is that initially, the variable rate is sometimes lower than the fixed rate.

You may also have term options if you refinance your student loans. You can shorten your loan term, which can help get you out of debt faster or extend your term, which could ideally lower your monthly payment but, again, means more interest accrues over the life of your loan.

Just know that if you’re refinancing your federal loans into private loans, you’ll be giving up federal benefits and protections such as federal deferral, forgiveness options, and income-driven repayment plans.

Recommended: Student Loan Refinancing Calculator

The Takeaway

Question marks swirl around student debt cancellation. Amid all the noise about the topic, it may be a good idea to take measures of your student loan rates and terms and plot a smart course.

SoFi Student Loan Refinance
SoFi Student Loans are originated by SoFi Bank, N.A. Member FDIC. NMLS #696891. (www.nmlsconsumeraccess.org). SoFi Student Loan Refinance Loans are private loans and do not have the same repayment options that the federal loan program offers, or may become available, such as Public Service Loan Forgiveness, Income-Based Repayment, Income-Contingent Repayment, PAYE or SAVE. Additional terms and conditions apply. Lowest rates reserved for the most creditworthy borrowers. For additional product-specific legal and licensing information, see SoFi.com/legal.

SLR18178

Options are derivative financial instruments that give the buyer the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell an underlying security, such as a stock, within a predetermined time period for a predetermined price, known as the strike price.

Investors like options because they allow the investor to bet on the price increase or decrease of a stock, without owning the stock itself. There are two main types of options: call options and put options. An investor who buys a call option buys the right to buy the option’s underlying asset. An investor who purchases a put option is buying the ability to sell the option’s underlying asset.

Recommended: A Guide to Options Trading

How is an Option Price Determined?

The sellers of an option take many different factors into account to determine the price, or premium, of an option. The most widely known method for determining the value of an option is the Black-Scholes model. But other models – such as the binomial and trinomial options pricing models – are more commonly used to determine stock option prices.

All of those options pricing models are complex, but they all draw on a few primary factors that drive the investment value of an options contract:

• the market price of the stock that underlies the option

• the current intrinsic value of the option

• the time until the option expires

• volatility

Market Price and Intrinsic Value

The first is easy to understand – it’s the price at which the underlying stock is trading. The second – the intrinsic value of the option – is the value of the option would be worth if sold at that moment. This only applies if the price of the underlying stock has moved to where the option is “in the money,” meaning the owner of the option would make a profit by exercising it.

Recommended: Popular Options Trading Terminology to Know

Time Value

The time until expiration is more complex. It represents the possibility that an out-of-the-money option could eventually become profitable. This so-called time value reflects the amount of time an option has until it expires. It’s one part of an option’s value that only goes down – and which goes at an increasingly rapid rate as the options contract approaches expiration. As the expiration date gets closer, the underlying stock must make bigger moves for those price changes to make significant changes in stock options pricing.

Volatility

That time value reflects the volatility of the underlying security, as well as the market’s expectation of that security’s future volatility. As a general rule, stocks with a history of high volatility underlie options that with a higher likelihood to be in-the-money at the time of their expiration.

Volatility, in many pricing models, is represented by beta, which is the volatility of a given stock versus the volatility of the overall market. And options on stocks with higher historic or expected volatility typically cost more than options contracts on stocks that have little reputation for dramatic price swings.

Recommended: Understanding The Greeks in Options Trading

What Are the Different Option Pricing Models?

There are several models that investors and day traders consider when figuring out how to price an option. Here’s a look at a few of the most common:

The Black-Scholes Merton (BSM) Model

The best-known options pricing method is the Black-Scholes model. The model consists of a mathematical formula that can be daunting for people without a math background. That’s why both institutional and retail investors employ online options calculators and analysis tools.

The economists who created the formula published their findings in 1973, and won the 1997 Nobel Prize in economics for this new method for arriving at the value of financial derivatives.

Also known as the Black-Scholes Merton (BSM) model, the Black-Scholes equation takes the following into account:

• the underlying stock’s price

• the option’s strike price

• current interest rates

• the option’s time to expiration

• the underlying stock’s volatility

In its pure form, the Black-Scholes model only works for European options, which investors can not exercise until their expiration date. The model doesn’t work for U.S. options, because U.S. options can be exercised before their expiration date.

The Binomial Option Pricing Model

The Binomial Option Pricing Model is less well-known outside of financial circles, but it’s more widely used. One reason it’s more popular than the Black-Scholes Model is that it can work for U.S. options. Invented in 1979, the binomial model reflects on a very simple assumption – that in any pricing scenario the premium will go one of two ways: up or down.

As a method for calculating an option’s value, the binomial pricing model uses the same basic data inputs as other models, with the ability to update the equation as new information emerges. In comparison with other models, the binomial option pricing model is very simple at first, but it becomes more complex as investors take multiple time periods into account. For a U.S. option, which the owner can exercise at any point before it expires, traders often use the binomial model to decide when to exercise the option.

By using the binomial option pricing model with multiple periods of time, the trader has the advantage of being able to better visualize the change in the price of the underlying asset over time, and then evaluate the option at each point in time. It also allows the trader to update those multi-period equations based on each day’s price movements, and emerging market news.

Recommended: What Is a Straddle in Options Trading?

The Trinomial Option Pricing Model

The trinomial option pricing model is similar to the binomial model but it allows for three possible outcomes for an option’s underlying asset within a given period. Its value can go up, go down, or stay the same. As they do with the binomial model, traders recalculate the trinomial pricing model over the course of an option’s life, as the factors that drive the option’s price change, and as new information comes to light.

Its simplicity and acknowledgement of a static price possibility makes it more widely used than the binomial option pricing model. When pricing exotic options, or any complex option with features that make it harder to calculate than the common calls and puts on an exchange, many investors favor the trinomial model as a more stable and accurate way of understanding what the price of the option should be.

The Takeaway

Understanding how options pricing works is important, whether you’re interested in trading options or not. However, you can also build a more straightforward portfolio that does not use options at all.

A great way to get started is with SoFi’s options trading platform. The platform has an intuitive design where you can trade options on the mobile app or through the web platform. You’ll also have access to educational resources to continue to help guiding you along the way.

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