Terminology Archives | Page 40 of 75

Q: What is a Good Asset Turnover Ratio?

In general, the higher the number the better—and a number higher than 1 is ideal. This is because a value greater than 1 means the dollar value generated by assets is greater than the dollar amount that the assets cost. A higher number means a company is generating sales efficiently and not wasting assets. An amount less than 1 means that assets are generating less than the amount of their dollar value. If a company isn’t effective at generating sales with its assets, it most likely wouldn’t be a great investment.

Sep

2023

What Is Asset Turnover Ratio?

By Laurel Tincher | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

Asset turnover ratio is a calculation used to measure the value of a company’s assets relative to its sales or revenue. It’s used to evaluate how well a company is doing at using its assets to generate revenue.

Similar to cash flow, the asset turnover ratio compares the company’s total assets over the course of a year to its sales. In simpler terms, it shows the dollar amount the company is earning in sales compared to the dollar amount of its assets. It can be calculated annually or over a shorter or longer period of time.

Why Is Asset Turnover Ratio Important?

Although having cash on hand is important for growing and maintaining a business, other types of business assets are also important, as is how a company chooses to use them. Liquid assets can include cash, stock, and anything else the company owns that could be easily liquidated into cash. Fixed assets are things the company owns that are not as easily turned into cash. This could include real estate, copyrights, equipment, etc.

For business owners, asset turnover ratio can be important when applying for loans and learning about their company’s cash flow. A higher asset turnover ratio indicates that a company is efficiently generating sales from its assets, while a low ratio indicates that it isn’t. A higher asset turnover ratio also shows that a company’s assets don’t need to be replaced or discarded, that they are still in good condition.

A higher ratio is preferable for investors, as well. Investors can look at the asset turnover ratio when evaluating the risk of investing in a company, or when comparing similar companies to one another. Each industry has different norms for asset turnover ratios, so it’s best to only compare companies within the same sector. For instance, a utility company or construction company is more likely to have a higher number of assets than a retail company.

Know, too, that asset turnover ratio is only one of many calculations that comprise the list of financial ratios that investors can employ.

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Formula for Calculating Asset Turnover Ratio

It’s fairly simple to calculate asset turnover ratio, which is one reason it’s such a useful tool for investors. Asset turnover ratio can be calculated using the following formula, which divides total (net) sales or revenue by average total assets:

Asset turnover = Net Sales / Average Total Assets

Which can also be shown as:

Asset turnover = Net Sales / ((Beginning Assets + Ending Assets) / 2 )

Where:

Net Sales = Gross annual sales minus returns, allowances, and discounts. Total sales can be found on a company’s income statement (typically part of an earnings report).

Beginning Assets = Assets at the beginning of the year

Ending Assets = Assets at the end of the year

Total Assets = Generally a company will include calculated average total assets on their balance sheet. However, sometimes additional calculations will need to be made.

Calculating Total Assets

The value of a company’s total assets includes the value of its fixed assets, current assets, accounts receivable, and liquid assets (cash).

• Accounts receivable are accounts that hold expected revenues that come from when customers use credit to buy goods and services.

• Fixed assets are generally physical items such as equipment or real estate.

• Current assets are things that the company predicts will be converted into cash within the next year, such as inventory or accounts receivable that will be liquidated.

The formula for calculating total assets is:

Total Assets = Cash + Accounts Receivable + Fixed Assets + Current Assets

Example of Calculating Asset Turnover Ratio

To give an example of the ratio calculation, if a company has $2,000,000 in average assets and $500,000 in sales over the course of a year, the calculation of its asset turnover would be:

500,000 / 2,000,000 = 0.25 = 25% asset turnover ratio

Interpreting Asset Turnover

Sticking with the example above, we’ve calculated a 25% asset turnover ratio. What that means, exactly, is that the company’s assets generated 25% of net sales over the course of the year. In other words, every $1 in assets that the company owns generated $0.25 in net sales revenue. Again, this can be helpful when using various business valuation methods and trying to determine whether an investment fits your overall strategy.

Factors that can Cause Low Asset Turnover

There are several reasons why a company might have a low asset turnover. These include:

• More production capacity than is needed

• Inadequate inventory management

• Poor methods of customer money transaction

• Poor use of fixed assets

The ratio can also change significantly from year to year, so just because it’s low one year doesn’t mean it will remain low over time.

What Is a Good Asset Turnover Ratio?

Investors can use the asset turnover ratio as part of comparing and evaluating stocks. But what is considered a good number for asset turnover?

In general, the higher the number the better — and a number higher than 1 is ideal. This is because a value greater than 1 means the dollar value generated by assets is greater than the dollar amount that the assets cost. A higher number means a company is generating sales efficiently and not wasting assets.

Conversely, a number less than 1 means that assets are generating less than the amount of their dollar value. If a company isn’t effective at generating sales with its assets, it most likely wouldn’t be a great investment — which, again, is important to know if you’re building an investment portfolio.

Since each industry has its own standards for a “good” asset turnover ratio, there isn’t one specific number to look for. For companies in the utilities industry, ratios are generally lower than companies in retail.

Companies can work on improving their asset turnover ratio by increasing sales, decreasing manufacturing costs, and improving their inventory management. Other ways they can improve include adding new products and services that don’t require the use of assets, and selling any unsold inventory still on hand.

What Does a High Ratio Imply About a Company?

If you’re using technical analysis techniques to get some clarity around a company as a possible investment target, you’ll want to get down to brass tacks: What, exactly, is a high ratio telling you?

The answer is that a high ratio implies that a company is in good standing. It’s generating value with its assets, which can signal that it may be a solid investment. But, again, there are no guarantees.

Limitations of Using Asset Turnover Ratio

While asset turnover ratio is a useful tool for evaluating companies, like any calculation, it has its limitations. It is useful for comparing similar companies, but isn’t a sufficient tool for doing a complete stock analysis of any particular company.

Also, a company’s asset turnover ratio could vary widely from year to year, making it an unreliable measure for potential long-term investments. Even if the ratio has been similar in years past, this doesn’t mean it will continue to remain consistent. However, investors can look at the long term trendline of the ratio to get a general indication of whether it’s improving or not.

Since asset turnover is typically calculated once a year, if a company made even a few large purchases this could skew their ratio. This is fairly common, as companies might have certain monthly expenses but occasionally need to invest large sums of money into equipment, office renovations, or other common business needs.

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Drawbacks of Asset Turnover Ratio in Stock Analysis

The limitations outlined above play into some of the potential drawbacks of the asset turnover ratio when analyzing stocks, too. Mostly, it comes down to the fact that as a single ratio, which doesn’t reveal the total health or financial picture for a single company. For that reason, it’s probably a good idea to use the ratio in tandem with other analysis tools and methods.

For instance, other ratios that can be used to gain an understanding of a company’s financials are the debt-to-equity ratio, its P/E ratio, and even looking at its net asset value.

The Difference Between Asset Turnover and Fixed Asset Turnover

Fixed asset turnover and asset turnover are two different ratios that can tell you about a company, and for investors, it’s important to understand the difference between the two.

In short, and to recap, asset turnover ratio looks at average total assets of a company — “total,” in this case, being the important qualifier. On the other hand, fixed asset turnover ratio looks at a company’s fixed assets to measure performance.

Investing With SoFi

Knowing how to calculate asset turnover ratio can be useful for investors who are evaluating companies as they start building an investment portfolio. While the formula is simple — Asset turnover = Net Sales / Average Total Assets — it’s important to remember that the calculations work best when comparing companies within one industry, rather than across various industries.

Additionally, there are other metrics by which to evaluate a company or value its stock. The asset turnover ratio can be helpful, but it has its limitations. As always, speak with a financial professional if you feel like you’d benefit from more guidance.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

How can you improve asset turnover ratio?

Some ways that a company can improve its asset turnover ratio include increasing its revenues, selling some of its assets, renting or leasing assets rather than purchasing them, and optimizing its inventory and ordering systems.

Is an asset turnover of 1.5 good?

Yes, an asset turnover ratio of 1.5 is a sign that a company is on solid financial footing. It indicates that a company’s total assets are generating enough revenue from its current assets.

Can asset turnover ratio be negative?

Yes, and a negative asset turnover ratio would be a signal that a company lost money during the year, rather than earned it. A negative number represents that its liabilities or expenditures exceeded its assets.

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Sep

2023

IPO Oversubscription: Definition & Examples

By Kenny Zhu | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

When an IPO is “oversubscribed” that means certain investors have committed to buy more than the available number of shares that were originally set for the initial public offering.

That’s because when new stocks or bonds are issued via initial public offerings (IPOs), they’re issued in limited amounts, based around the new company’s financing needs and desired debt-to-equity structure.

Depending on investor appetite for the new stocks, IPOs can either be under or oversubscribed; this reflects the level of demand investors have for the shares.

In most cases, though, only institutional investors and accredited investors can subscribe to an IPO stock before it actually goes public. Retail investors may hear about an IPO being over- or undersubscribed, but they typically can’t take advantage of it — although knowing the information may aid an individual’s assessment of the opportunity.

Key Points

• Oversubscription for an IPO means that investor demand is higher than the available number of shares.

• Oversubscription can benefit the issuing company by providing additional funding and the underwriting team by generating fees.

• Early investors may benefit from the initial pop in pricing caused by excitement.

• Retail investors should be cautious when investing in IPO shares due to potential overinflation and the possibility of a price tumble.

What Is Oversubscription in an IPO?

Investors interested in IPO investing may be interested in an IPO’s subscription status. If an IPO is oversubscribed, that means there aren’t enough shares of the new stock issued to meet initial investor demand at the listed IPO price.

To compensate for this mismatch in supply and demand, the underwriters selling the IPO can choose to either raise the IPO price to reduce demand, or increase the supply of shares to meet demand.

💡 Quick Tip: Access to IPO shares before they trade on public exchanges has usually been available only to large institutional investors. That’s changing now, and some brokerages offer pre-listing IPO investing to qualified investors.

How Does Oversubscription Work?

Oversubscribed IPOs generate a shortage in shares that usually results in a higher price or additional shares being issued, which can lead to more capital being raised for the now-public company. These funds are also called the IPO proceeds.

This contrasts with “undersubscription” for IPOs. Undersubscribed IPOs are caused by the converse scenario happening, where there’s insufficient investor demand to buy all available shares at the listed IPO price.

What Is Undersubscription?

When an IPO is undersubscribed, it generally signals a lack of enthusiasm for a newly public company and may be the result of either poor marketing, overpricing, or poor company fundamentals.

When an IPO is undersubscribed, underwriters may work to reduce the size of the issue, cut the share price, or pull the IPO offering altogether.

In some cases, as a result of contract terms with the issuing company, underwriters may be forced to “eat” the cost of the IPO and purchase remaining shares at a pre-agreed price themselves. This is generally an undesirable outcome for underwriters as it may force them to hold shares on their books rather than flip them to investors.

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Pros of Oversubscription

Oversubscription can be beneficial to both the issuer and underwriters of new securities, as well as to investors who manage to obtain an allocation of shares around the IPO price.

The issuing company can benefit, as the high demand for IPO shares allows the underwriting team to either reprice the IPO shares higher or offer up additional shares from company reserves to alleviate demand.

In either case, this results in additional funding for the issuing company at more favorable terms while the underwriter generates additional fees.

Early investors to an oversubscribed IPO may benefit from the initial pop in pricing that excitement can generate. This sometimes leads to positive momentum that may continue to push the price upward in the short run.

Cons of Oversubscription

For most average investors, oversubscription ends up being a net negative. First, it’s rare for individual investors to be able to subscribe to an IPO. Typically that’s reserved for large institutional or high-net-worth investors. Then, by the time the average investor can buy the stock, higher pricing may make the IPO opportunity less attractive — with the risk of being overinflated.

If you’re unable to obtain an allocation at the original IPO price, it’s likely that secondary market prices for these securities may be substantially higher due to the high demand for these shares.

While this may not be a concern for long-term investors, this can pose a challenge if initial momentum causes the price of a new security to skyrocket beyond its reasonable fundamental value. This can cause the value of shares to tumble back to lower levels in subsequent months.

This is one of many reasons that retail investors should be cautious about IPO shares. They are a high-risk proposition at best.

Strategies to Maximize the Oversubscription Opportunity

Even if you were one of the lucky few to obtain early IPO shares, there isn’t much you can do to capitalize on an oversubscription opportunity.

If you receive shares from an oversubscribed IPO, you will want to consider both the long-term prospects of the company as well as the short-term prospects for its share price.

Depending on the company and your investment strategy, this will influence whether you intend to hold the security for the long-run or flip the shares for a quick profit.

If you’re unable to obtain an allocation during an IPO, it’s likely that the oversubscribed IPO would see its shares bid up in the secondary market. In this case, it’s not a bad strategy to wait a few weeks, or even months, after the initial IPO to see whether prices come back down — and gauge the company’s prospects from there.

In some instances, shares often decline a few months later after the expiration of the initial lockup period, once insiders are free to sell their shares. However this isn’t always the case, and can vary widely from company to company.

Seek Advice From a Professional

If you’re allocated shares from an IPO and are unsure of what to do with your new holdings, it might be worth consulting with a financial advisor or investment advisor to determine your next steps.

Financial professionals can help inform your decision making on how to proceed with an oversubscribed IPO. However, the final decision will ultimately be up to you and should be made within the context of your overall investment portfolio.

Do Your Research

Regardless of whether you’re able to gain access to the IPO, you should base your investment decisions on your own due diligence and fundamental analysis, i.e. a thorough review of a company’s disclosures, financial statements, and future prospects.

Reviewing the track record of company executives and the board of directors can offer insight into how competent the company’s management may be when it comes to executing on long-term strategies.

Thoroughly reading the prospectus of the new IPO shares can help you understand the core drivers of a firm’s business, its core customer base, key markets, and major risks it might face.

Additionally, there’s a multitude of research out there that follows your stock’s performance on both fundamental and technical grounds; these can go a long-way towards informing your investment actions for new IPOs.

The Takeaway

Oversubscriptions for hot IPOs can sometimes offer opportunities for investors who are able to secure allocation of shares; however, they can also turn into feeding frenzies for retail investors who wish to buy these securities on the secondary market.

The resulting media blitz, and (typically) wide swings in valuations, can easily end with inexperienced investors getting burned on the share price. In short: IPOs can be volatile. To protect yourself, it’s important to understand the drivers of IPO pricing and how it impacts demand.

Whether you’re curious about exploring IPOs, or interested in traditional stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), you can get started by opening an account on the SoFi Invest® brokerage platform. On SoFi Invest, eligible SoFi members have the opportunity to trade IPO shares, and there are no account minimums for those with an Active Investing account. As with any investment, it's wise to consider your overall portfolio goals in order to assess whether IPO investing is right for you, given the risks of volatility and loss.

Invest with as little as $5 with a SoFi Active Investing account.

FAQ

What is the meaning of oversubscription?

Oversubscription, as it pertains to IPOs, refers to a supply and demand mismatch of the newly issued IPO shares. Either the price must adjust upward, the supply of shares issued must be increased, or a combination of the two must occur to meet investor demand.

In the event that the supply of IPO shares is unable to meet all investor orders, shares will typically be issued out to investors on a partial pro rata basis, or in proportion to each investor’s requested order size, subject to minimum block sizings.

In some instances, a lottery system may be implemented to maintain impartiality. Any unfilled orders will be rejected and cash returned to investors.

How can you calculate oversubscription?

At the basic level, IPO oversubscriptions are calculated as a ratio of the aggregate order size for IPO shares relative to the total number of IPO shares available to be distributed.

For example, if there are 1,000,000 shares of new stock available for an IPO pricing, but the underwriters receive an orderbook totaling 3,000,000 shares from investors, this IPO would be considered “3X oversubscribed.”

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For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Investing in an Initial Public Offering (IPO) involves substantial risk, including the risk of loss. Further, there are a variety of risk factors to consider when investing in an IPO, including but not limited to, unproven management, significant debt, and lack of operating history. For a comprehensive discussion of these risks please refer to SoFi Securities’ IPO Risk Disclosure Statement. IPOs offered through SoFi Securities are not a recommendation and investors should carefully read the offering prospectus to determine whether an offering is consistent with their investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation.

New offerings generally have high demand and there are a limited number of shares available for distribution to participants. Many customers may not be allocated shares and share allocations may be significantly smaller than the shares requested in the customer’s initial offer (Indication of Interest). For SoFi’s allocation procedures please refer to IPO Allocation Procedures.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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Sep

2023

Pairs Trading Strategy 101: A Guide for Novice Investors

By Colin Dodds | Financial Independence, Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

Pairs trading is a market-neutral trading tactic that allows investors to use the historical performance of stocks to place long and short bets to make big profits.

Pairs trading was first used in the mid-1980s as a way of using technical and statistical analysis as a way to find potential profits. It remained the province of Wall Street professionals until the internet opened online trading and real-time financial information to the public. Before long, there were seasoned amateur investors using pairs trades to make money, while managing their risk exposure.

What Is Pairs Trading?

Pairs trading is a day trading strategy in which an investor takes a long position and a short position in two securities that have shown a high historical correlation, but which have fallen momentarily out of sync.

The correlation between the two securities refers to the degree that two securities move in relation to one other. More specifically, correlation is a statistical measurement that measures the relationship between the historical performance of two securities.

It’s usually expressed as something called a “correlation coefficient.” This measure falls between -1.0 and +1.0, with negative 1 indicating that two securities move in exactly opposite ways. A correlation coefficient of positive one indicates that the two securities move up and down at exactly the same times under the same conditions.

What Types of Assets Are Traded in Pairs?

Numerous types of financial assets can be traded in pairs, and the list includes stocks, commodities, options, funds, and even currencies. In one sense, the asset or security at the heart of the trade is somewhat irrelevant, as traders are looking to take advantage of the difference in value (and thus, a different investment position) between the two. Again, the whole goal is to try and beat the average stock market return.

Often, though, pairs trading is discussed in relation to stocks, as that may be the asset class that most trading discussions revolve around.

Pros and Cons of Pairs Trading

Pairs trading is something that most investors can take part in, assuming they know the risks of playing the market. That’s to say that there are pros and cons to pairs trading, and investors should review them before engaging in it.

Pros of Pairs Trading

The biggest pro to pairs trading is that there is the potential for profit, or at least bigger returns than investors may have otherwise generated by executing a different investing strategy. There’s also the potential to generate positive returns no matter what the overall market conditions are. Further, pairs trading may actually be a way to mitigate risk when investing in stocks, as there are only two trades involved, and in some ways, the mechanics of the trade setup can benefit the trader — but note that this is not to say that it’s a safe or risk-free strategy.

Cons of Pairs Trading

Cons of pairs trading include the possibility of the trading model failing due to faulty assumptions on the part of a trader — that is, historical correlation between two stocks may not mean that the correlation has continued. Traders should also know that pairs trading involves fast movements, and that there’s a chance trades may not execute at the desired time — this could stymie the strategy’s effectiveness. For traders, it may be worth looking at different stock exchanges and different investment platforms to get a sense of where the strategy may be the most effective.

It may also be helpful to understand the concept of stock volume in order to have a better chance of success with the strategy.

Pairs Trading Example

In a pairs trade, an investor will look for two separate securities that have a historically high correlation, but have fallen out of sync. If “stock Alpha” and “stock Beta” have historically risen and fallen in step, they’d have a very high correlation, maybe as high as positive of 0.95. But, for whatever reason, the two stocks have diverged, with Alpha racking up big gains, while Beta languished. That has knocked the short-term correlation coefficient between the two down to paltry 0.50.

This is the most common scenario for a pairs trade. In it, an investor will take a long position on stock Alpha, which has underperformed. At the same time, they’ll short stock Beta, which has outperformed. What they’re doing in a pairs trade is betting that the relationship between the two stocks will return to their historical norm, either by one security falling, the other one rising, or some combination of the two.

Pairs Trading Strategy: Market Neutral

Pairs trading is considered a “market-neutral” strategy. There are many of these strategies, which share a common aim to profit from both rising and falling security prices, while sidestepping the risks of the broader market.

Many hedge funds will employ market-neutral strategies, because they are paid based on their absolute returns. A common market-neutral trade may involve taking a 50% long and a 50% short position in one industry, sector or market. They usually do so to take advantage of pricing discrepancies within those areas. In addition to earning a return, their main goal is often to hedge out as much systematic risk as possible.

There are also market-neutral mutual funds, which can vary wildly in what they return investors, largely because there are so many market-neutral strategies, and ways to execute them. Interested investors may want to learn the fund’s particular approach to the strategy before jumping in.

How to Successfully Execute a Pairs Trade

For investors who are ready to incorporate pairs trading into their investment strategy, there are several steps they need to take in order to be successful.

Step One: Decide on Trading Criteria

The first step is to decide what securities to consider for the trade, and can be the most time-consuming in the entire process. This involves researching a vast array of possible investment pairs to find ones that have a historically high correlation coefficient but have since drifted apart. Then investors will want to build and test a model for those securities, using those results to arrive at the best possible buy-and-sell guidelines, as well as how long they intend to stay in a trade.

Step Two: Select Specific Securities

After the investor has settled on a process to select candidates for a pairs trade, it’s time to put that process into action and find securities that currently meet that criteria. Some investors may use manual research, while others prefer mathematical models. Regardless, investors need to think of how they want to use a pairs trade.

For investors who want to get in and out of a trade in a matter of hours or days, they’ll need to run their process to find possible trades on a regular basis. But investors whose trades will last for months won’t need to run their research as often.

Step Three: Execute the Trade

Once an investor has confirmed that a trade fits all their criteria, it’s time to execute the trade. With a pairs trade, there are small but important details to consider. For instance, most experienced pairs traders will execute the short side of the trade before making the long side.

Step Four: Manage the Trade

With the trade in place, the investor now has to wait and watch. This means sizing up the activity of the two securities in the trade to see if they’re approaching the criteria that would trigger one of the predetermined buy-and-sell rules. It also means watching the broader market, as well as any news that might have an impact on either security in the trade. Experienced traders will also constantly adjust the trade’s risk/return profile as markets shift and other news emerges.

Managing the trade is as important as setting it up. If a trader has a pairs trade they expect to last a month, but it reaches 50% of its profit objective in the first day after execution, what should they do? They may choose to close out of the trade that day, because the additional return isn’t worth the risk or the opportunity cost. But they also have other options. They might initiate a trailing stop loss level in the two positions as a way of locking in a portion of the profit. The decision isn’t easy, and may involve a host of other considerations.

Step Five: Close the Trade

The final step is to close the trade. But even this can come with questions and challenges, especially with trades that haven’t worked out, and whose predetermined durations are coming to an end. But it can also be the case with trades that have succeeded and are nearing their time limit. The urge to give a trade more time to turn around — or to do just a little better — has the potential to be the undoing of an otherwise successful trader.

That’s why experienced pairs traders often stress discipline as being as important as research, close monitoring and clear rules when it comes to earning consistent profits with the strategy.

History of Pairs Trading

Pairs trading is a somewhat higher-level trading strategy (though relatively simplistic at the same time), and it was actually first developed by technical analyst researchers at Morgan Stanley during the 1980s. Specifically, Nunzio Tartaglia led the charge, who ran the “quant” group at the firm.

It has since been adopted by traders and investors, big and small.

Investing With SoFi

Pairs trading is a trading strategy that involves the simultaneous purchase and sale of securities in anticipation of a price trend. The idea is that the two securities typically have shown a high historical correlation, but have fallen momentarily out of sync. The investor making the pairs trade is betting that the two stocks will return to their historical norm.

Pairs trading is merely one of many trading strategies, and like all others, it has its pros and cons. Prospective traders may benefit from a discussion with a financial professional before trying it out.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

Is pairs trading still profitable?

Yes, pairs trading can be profitable, assuming a trader knows what they’re doing, and the risks involved with using the strategy. As always, there’s no guarantee that it will be profitable, however.

What are the risks of pairs trading?

Risks associated with a pairs trading strategy include the possibility of the trading model failing due to faulty assumptions on the part of a trader — that is, historical correlation between two stocks may not mean that the correlation has continued. Traders should also know that pairs trading involves fast movements, and that there’s a chance trades may not execute at the desired time.

How many pairs should a beginner trade?

It may be wise for a beginner to start with a single pair, until they get the gist or hang of the strategy.

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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

Sep

2023

What Is Yield to Call? Formula & Examples

By Samuel Becker | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

An investor calculating yield to call is getting an idea of how much their overall bond returns will be. Specifically, yield to call refers to the total returns garnered by holding onto a bond until its call date. That doesn’t apply to all bonds, naturally, but can be very important for many investors to understand.

For investors who utilize bonds — callable bonds, in particular — as a part of their investment strategy, having a deep understanding of yield to call can be critical.

What Is Yield to Call?

As mentioned, yield to call (often abbreviated as “YTC”) refers to the overall return earned by an investor who buys an investment bond and holds it until its call date. Yield to call only concerns what are called callable bonds, which are a type of bond option.

With callable bonds, issuers have the option of repaying investors the value of the bond before it matures, potentially allowing them to save on interest payments. Callable bonds come with a call date and a call price, and the call date always comes before the bond itself matures.

A little more background: in a YTC scenario, ”yield” refers to the total amount of income earned over a period of time. In this case, the yield is the total interest a bond purchaser has accrued since purchasing the bond.

How Yield to Call Works

If an investor buys a callable bond, they’ll see interest payments from the bond issuer up until the bond reaches maturity. The callable bond also has a call date, and the investor can choose to hold onto the bond until that date. If the investor does so, then YTC amounts to the total return the investor has received up until that date.

Yield to call is similar to yield to maturity, which is the overall interest accrued by an investor who holds a bond until it matures. But there are some differences, especially when it comes to how YTC is calculated.

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Yield to Call Formula

The raw yield to call calculation formula looks like this:

Yield to Call Formula:

Yield to call = (coupon interest payment + ( The call price – current market value ) ÷ time in years until call date ) ÷ (( call price + market value ) ÷ 2)

An investor should have all of the variables on-hand to do the calculation. Before we run through an example, though, here’s a breakdown of those variables:

• Yield to call: The variable we are trying to solve for!

• Coupon interest payment: How much the bondholder receives in interest payments annually.

• Call price: The predetermined call price of the callable bond in question.

• Current market value: The bond’s current value.

• Time until call date: The number of years until the bond’s first call date arrives

The yield-to-call calculation will tell an investor the returns they’ll receive up until their bond’s call date. A bond’s value is roughly equal to the present value of its future earnings or cash flows — or, the return, at the present moment, that the bond should provide in the future.

How to Calculate Yield to Call

It can be helpful to see how yield to call looks in a hypothetical example to further understand it.

Yield to Call Example

For this example, we’ll say that the current face value of the bond is $950, it has an annual coupon interest payment of $50, and it can be called at $1,000 in four years.

Here’s how the raw formula transforms when we input those variables:

Yield to call = ($50 + ( $1,000 – $950 ) ÷ 4 ) ÷ (( $1,000 + $950 ) ÷ 2)

YTC = $25 ÷ $975

YTC = 0.0256 = 2.56%

Interpreting Yield to Call Results

Once we know that our hypothetical, callable bond has a yield to call of 2.56%, what does that mean, exactly? Well, if you remember back to the beginning, yield to call measures the yield of a bond if the investor holds it until its call date.

The percentage, 2.56%, is the effective return an investor can expect on their bond, assuming it is called before it matures. It’s important to remember, too, that callable bonds can be called by the issuer at any time after the call date. So, just because there is an expected return, that doesn’t necessarily mean that’s what they’ll see.

Yield to call calculations make a couple of big assumptions. First, it’s assumed that the investor will not sell the bond before the call date. And second, the calculation assumes that the bond will actually be called on the call date. Because of these assumptions, calculations can produce a number that may not always be 100% accurate.

Yield to Call Comparisons

Two calculations that are similar to YTC are “yield to maturity,” and “yield to worst.” All three calculations are related and offer different methods for measuring the value that a bond will deliver to an investor.

A different type of yield calculation would be needed if you wanted to try and measure the overall interest you’d earn if you held a bond to maturity. That’s different from measuring the overall interest you’d earn by simply holding the bond until its call date.

Yield to Call vs Yield to Maturity

YTC calculates expected returns to a bond’s call date; yield to maturity calculates expected returns to the bond’s maturity date. Yield to maturity gives investors a look at the total rate of return a bond will earn over its entire life, not merely until its call date (if it has one).

Yield to Call vs Yield to Worst

Yield to worst, or “YTW,” measures the absolute lowest possible yield that a bond can deliver to an investor. Assuming that a bond has multiple call dates, the yield to worst is the lowest expected return for each of those call dates versus the yield to maturity. Essentially, it gives a “worst case” return expectation for bondholders who hold a bond to either its call date or for its entire life.

If a bond has no call date, then the YTW is equal to the yield to maturity — because there are no other possible alternatives.

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The Takeaway

Learning what yield to call is and how to calculate it, can be yet another valuable addition to your investing tool chest. For bond investors, YTC can be helpful in trying to figure out what types of returns you can expect, especially if you’re investing or trading callable bonds.

It may be that you never actually do these calculations, but having a cursory background in what the term yield to call means, and what it tells you, is still helpful information to keep in your back pocket.

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FAQ

What is the advantage of yield to call?

Yield to call helps investors get a better idea of what they can expect in terms of returns from their bond holdings. That can help inform their overall investment strategy.

How do you calculate yield to call in Excel?

Calculating yield to call can be done the old fashioned way, with a pen and paper, or in a spreadsheet software, of which there are several. An internet search should yield results as to how to calculate YTC within any one of those programs.

Is yield to call always lower than yield to maturity?

Generally, an investor would see higher returns if they hold a bond to its full maturity, rather than sell it earlier. For that reason, yield to call is generally lower than yield to maturity.

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Sep

2023

Understanding Diluted EPS

By Brian Nibley | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

Diluted earnings per share (EPS) is a measure of earnings per share that includes a company’s convertible securities. Convertible, or dilutive, securities are stocks or bonds that could potentially become common shares. Basic earnings per share only considers existing common shares.

Diluted EPS, then, includes in its calculation the factor of convertible bondholders, convertible preferred stockholders, and options holders potentially deciding to turn their securities into common shares. If this were to happen, the number of shares outstanding would increase, with earnings staying the same, resulting in lower earnings per share. Diluted EPS will therefore tend to be lower than basic EPS.

Basic vs. Diluted EPS

What is diluted earnings per share, and how does it differ from basic EPS? Simply put, basic EPS tends to be a higher number than diluted EPS. Basic EPS doesn’t factor in the existence of convertible securities of the impact if they were to be converted into common shares.

Instead, the most basic calculation of earnings per share only takes a company’s net income minus any preferred stock dividends and divides that number by the number of shares outstanding. Convertible securities aren’t factored into the equation.

Because of this, sometimes it’s beneficial to look at a calculation of earnings per share that assumes all possible common shares have been brought into being through existing convertible securities. Doing so gives investors a more realistic view of earnings while assuring no future surprises.

Imagine an investor doing all their homework on the fundamental analysis of a company using only basic earnings per share. EPS, which measures the value that a company delivers to individual shareholders, might look high and the stock pays a good dividend, so the investor might decide the stock is a good one to buy.

But then she learns that the company has been issuing convertible bonds to raise capital and giving new employees stock options to make working there more attractive.

All of a sudden, for some reason, bondholders decide to convert their bonds to common shares, and employees decide to exercise their stock options.

Now this investor’s shares have been diluted, since a bunch of new shares have popped into existence practically overnight. As a result, earnings per share have decreased, and dividends likely have done the same (because the same dividends now have to be paid out to additional shareholders).

If our imaginary investor had used diluted EPS in her calculations, she could have prepared for this kind of scenario at some point. But because this make-believe company created the potential for its stock to be diluted by issuing convertible securities, basic EPS did not provide the full picture.

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How to Calculate Diluted EPS

The formula for diluted EPS is a company’s net income minus any preferred stock dividends, divided by the company’s average outstanding shares minus its dilutive shares. Or:

Diluted EPS = (Net Income – Preferred Stock Dividends)/(Average Outstanding Shares – Dilutive Shares)

The diluted EPS formula is calculating the amount of earnings per share there would be if dilutive shares were to become common shares. The formula is exactly the same as that of calculating basic EPS, but with one important extra step – adding the number of dilutive shares to the number of average outstanding shares (in the bottom half of the equation).

The sum of both existing common shares and the possible dilutive shares creates a larger number on the bottom half of the equation, while the top half remains the same.

Therefore, diluted EPS tends to be lower than basic EPS, as the company’s net income (minus preferred stock dividends) is being divided by a larger number of shares.

For example, let’s say a company makes $1,000,000 in net income and pays no dividend. There are 800,000 common shares outstanding, 100,000 call options, and 100,000 convertible preferred shares.

The diluted EPS formula would yield a result of $1.00 per share in this example, as we would be dividing 1,000,000 dollars in net income by 1,000,000 total potential shares.

Basic EPS, on the other hand, would be calculated as $1,000,000 divided by the 800,000 current shares, yielding a result of $1.25 per share.

While it’s not difficult to calculate EPS and diluted EPS, many companies share the figures with investors in their earnings reports.

Why Is Diluted EPS Important?

Diluted EPS reveals what a company’s earnings per share could look like if holders of convertible securities were to decide to exercise their right to hold common shares, and it’s an important consideration during an investor’s analysis of a stock.

Since companies often issue convertible securities like stock options, convertible bonds, convertible preferred shares, a company’s earnings per share could appear higher than reality when not factoring in the potential for dilution.

Convertible securities might be held by people inside or outside of the company, and they may not be turned into shares anytime soon. But what happens when everyone decides to turn in their convertible securities for shares?

For example, if a company’s stock were to rise in price suddenly, and the company had paid several of its employees bonuses in the form of stock options, those employees might choose to exercise those options.

Now there are more common shares than before, but earnings have not increased. Therefore, in a theoretical example like this, earnings per share will have decreased.

A company issuing employee stock options isn’t always a negative thing, however. If the options keep high-quality employees, the result could be positive for the company over the long run. Using options also reduces expenses that come from paying employee salaries, which could free up capital to help the company grow.

Diluted EPS provides a more conservative earnings per share number since it shows what EPS would be in the event of more new shares coming into existence. Basic EPS could appear to be deceivingly high because it doesn’t calculate for this possibility, so it could be a less reliable indicator of when to buy, sell, or hold a stock.

Of course, there might also be times when diluted EPS is unnecessary. Young companies that are still small and growing might not have had the chance to issue any convertible securities yet, so earnings per share might look the same either way.

The Takeaway

Diluted EPS is a measurement of earnings per share that factors in the potential stock dilution that occurs when convertible securities are converted to common shares. Understanding diluted EPS is important so that investors don’t get caught off guard in the event of new common shares being created through the conversion of securities such as stock options, stock warrants, convertible bonds and convertible preferred shares.

When this happens, earnings per share decline, and those who had only been looking at basic EPS in an attempt to determine the profitability of a company will find they made a miscalculation. In some cases, the difference between basic and diluted EPS might not be that different. If a company hasn’t issued convertible securities, or has issued very few convertible securities, then not much dilution would be possible.

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