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Jul

2023

What’s the Reflation Trade?

By Matthew Zeitlin | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

The reflation trade is a bet that certain sectors of the market perform well immediately after a recession or economic crisis. Essentially, it’s a bet on cyclical stocks at the beginning of a market recovery.

Reflation is the inflation that typically comes immediately after a low-point in the economic cycle — often after economic stimulus, and the reflation trade is the purchase of specific stocks or sectors believed to outperform in that type of environment.

Reflation vs Inflation

While both reflation and inflation are characterized by rising prices, they are not the same thing.

Reflation is a recovery of prices lost during an economic downturn along with employment growth, and many economists see reflation as a healthy sign of an improving economy. It often accompanies economic stimulus, and may reflect monetary policy designed to stimulate spending and halt deflation.

Inflation, on the other hand, does not look at employment or any other economic factors. It is the rise in prices beyond their “normal” range, and poses a threat to economic recovery, since it can reduce the purchasing power of consumers and make it more expensive to borrow money.

Reflation is also different from what happens during stagflation, in which prices go up but wages don’t follow.

💡 Quick Tip: If you’re opening a brokerage account for the first time, consider starting with an amount of money you’re prepared to lose. Investing always includes the risk of loss, and until you’ve gained some experience, it’s probably wise to start small.

Understanding Reflation Trade Opportunities

Reflation doesn’t just mean that the market as a whole will rise as economic activity returns to normal or even higher levels. Instead there’s a focus on certain sectors as they reflate after a decline.

For example, some investors might see reflationary dynamics in sectors like hospitality or dining during a pandemic, along with travel and tourism. It may also be noticeable, under those circumstances, in more indirectly affected sectors like energy and materials.

Again, assuming an economy suffers a pandemic, part of the reflation trade could be a switch from purchases of goods to services, as people go out more, whether it’s movie theaters, restaurant meals, theme parks and hotels. These are the sectors that would perform well if the reflation thesis turned out to be true.

Investors interested in the reflation trade can invest in individual stocks, or get more diversified exposure by investing in sector-specific exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or index funds.

Reflation Trade Sectors

While hospitality stocks might make sense for investors considering a reflation trade, there are other sectors that typically perform well in most deflationary environments. Here’s a look at a few of them:

Financial Stocks

Banks and other financial institutions tend to do well after an economic recession, since they can benefit from both higher interest rates and ramped up consumer spending.

Value Investing

Companies that deliver steady, long-term growth often get undervalued during economic downtimes, meaning that they’re poised for better performance as the market begins to improve. That’s the logic behind value investing.

Bonds

When interest rates are rising–in either the short- or the long-term — investing in bonds may benefit from a reflationary market.

Commodities

Since commodities tend to perform well during both periods of inflation and periods of economic growth, they’re a favored investment among those looking for a reflationary trade. As such, commodities trading could be an attractive area in a reflationary market.

Small Cap Stocks

Investments in small cap stocks tend to increase in value after recessions or during periods of growth, making them another asset that investors might consider in a reflationary market.

💡 Quick Tip: It’s smart to invest in a range of assets so that you’re not overly reliant on any one company or market to do well. For example, by investing in different sectors you can add diversification to your portfolio, which may help mitigate some risk factors over time.

The Takeaway

The reflationary trade is a bet on specific sectors of the economy or certain types of asset classes in the aftermath of an economic downturn. If you’re interested in incorporating the reflation trade into your portfolio, you could do so either via individual stocks or by buying sector-specific exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or mutual funds.

But note that the economy is a complicated thing, and that there are cycles it naturally takes, but it’s also susceptible to all sorts of other events. That includes natural disasters, political changes, or even pandemics and other global crises. With that in mind, it can be difficult to be sure of what sort of environment the economy is in, exactly, at any given time.

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Jul

2023

What Is the Average Retirement Age?

By MP Dunleavey | Budgeting & Goals, invest, Preparing for Retirement | Comments Off

The average retirement age in the US is age 65 for men and age 62 for women, but those numbers don’t reveal the extremely wide range of ages at which people can and do retire.

Some people retire in their 50s, some in their 70s; some people find ways to keep pursuing their profession and thus never completely “retire” from the workforce. The age at which someone retires depends on a host of factors, including how much they’ve saved, their overall state of health, and their desire to keep working versus taking on other commitments.

Still, having some idea of the average age of retirement can be helpful as a general benchmark for your own retirement plans.

What Is the Average Age of Retirement in the US?

Overall, the average retirement age in the U.S. is 64.

Age 65 may be what most of us think of as the best age to retire, but not all regions of America are hitting this goal. According to the U.S. Census Bureau’s American Community Survey, the average U.S. retirement age in:

• Hawaii, Massachusetts, and South Dakota is 66.

• Washington, D.C., is 67.

• Residents of Alaska and West Virginia it’s 61.

A lower cost of living may be what’s helping West Virginia residents retire so young. West Virginia was one of the 10 most states in the country with the lowest costs of living, according to a 2023 study by Consumer Affairs.

Recommended: Cost of Living by State

While those previously mentioned states give a look at two ends of the average retirement age spectrum in the United States, many states have an average retirement age that falls closer to what one might expect.

Colorado, Connecticut, Iowa, Kansas, Maryland, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New Jersey, North Dakota, Rhode Island, Texas, Utah, Vermont, and Virginia all have an average retirement age of 65.

¹Terms and conditions apply. Roll over a minimum of $20K to receive the 1% match offer. Matches on contributions are made up to the annual limits.

Expectations vs Reality

Expectations can lead to disappointment. Any kid with an overly ambitious wishlist for Santa Claus knows that.

Now imagine a person spending most of their adult life expecting to retire at 65 and then realizing their retirement savings just isn’t enough. Ideally, that won’t happen, but it has happened to many.

According to The Employee Benefit Research Institute’s Retirement Confidence Survey Summary Report, the expected average age of retirement in 2023 was 65. However, as noted previously, the Census places the average retirement age in the US at 64. Retiring earlier than planned could lead to not having enough money to retire comfortably.

How to Know When to Retire

Not everyone retires early by choice. More than four in 10 people retired earlier than they expected, mostly because of health problems, disabilities, or changes within their organizations.

It can be difficult for workers to exactly predict at what age they will retire due to circumstances that may be out of their control.

In order to bridge any financial gap caused by not having enough retirement savings, 51% of pre-retirees expect they will earn an income during their retirement by working either full time or part time.

While the survey found that respondents are aware of what they need their retirement savings to look like, there is a gap between their expectations and their actions.

Seventy-nine percent of pre-retirees reported that they agree they should be doing more to prepare for their retirement. However, only 48% reported having a strong retirement plan in place, with 19% of Gen Xers and 31% of millennials admitting to not saving for retirement at all.

A lack of awareness seems to be leading to a lack of preparedness: 25% of pre-retirees surveyed said they aren’t sure how much money they are currently saving for retirement.

💡 Quick Tip: Before opening any investment account, consider what level of risk you are comfortable with. If you’re not sure, start with more conservative investments, and then adjust your portfolio as you learn more.

How Much You Should Have Saved for Retirement?

To retire comfortably, the IRS recommends that individuals have up to 80% of their current annual income saved for each year of retirement. With the average Social Security monthly payment being $1,177, retirees may need to do a decent amount of saving to cover the rest of their future expenses.

This is something to keep in mind when choosing a retirement date.

It’s Never Too Early to Start Saving for Retirement

Retirement can last 30 years or more. As lovely as that sounds, financial security is key to enjoying a relaxing retirement.

Any day is a good day to start saving, but saving for retirement while a person is young could help put them on the path toward a more secure retirement. The more years their savings have to grow, the better.

“A very helpful habit,” explains Brian Walsh, CFP® at SoFi, “Is truly automating what you need to do. Recurring contributions. Saving towards your goals. Automatically increasing those contributions. That way you can save now and save even more in the future.”

The Department of Labor (DOL) estimates that for every 10 years a person waits to begin saving for retirement, they will have to save three times as much every month to play catch-up.

3 Steps to Start Preparing for Retirement

It’s not enough to have an idea of the best time to retire. To really reach that goal, it’s important to have a financial plan in place. These steps break down how to prepare for retirement.

Step 1: Estimate how much money you’ll need

One of the first steps a person could take toward their retirement saving journey is to estimate how much money they need to save. There is a retirement savings formula that can help you estimate: Start with your current income, subtract your estimated Social Security benefits, and divide by 0.04. That’s the target number of retirement savings per year you’ll need.

Step 2: Set up retirement saving goals

It might be worth considering what retirement savings plans are available, whether that is an employer-sponsored 401(k), an IRA, or a simple savings account. Contributing regularly is key, even if big contributions can’t be made to retirement savings right now.

Making small additions to savings can add up, especially if extra money from finishing car payments, getting a holiday bonus, or earning a raise can be diverted to a retirement savings account.

If an employer offers a 401(k) match, it might be beneficial to take advantage of that feature and contribute as much as the employer is willing to match.

Along with receiving free money from an employer, there are also tax benefits of contributing to a 401(k). Contributions to a 401(k) happen pre-tax — that lowers taxable income, which means paying less in income taxes on each paycheck.

In addition, 401(k) contributions aren’t taxed when deposited, but they are taxed upon withdrawal. Withdrawing money early, before age 59 ½, also adds a 10% penalty.

Step 3: Open a Retirement Account

If access to an employer-sponsored 401(k) plan isn’t available — or even if it is — investors might want to consider opening an IRA account. For investors who need a little help sticking to a retirement savings plan, they could consider setting up an automatic monthly deposit from a checking or savings account into an IRA.

In 2023, IRAs allow investors to put up to $6,500 a year into their account ($7,500 if they’re older than 50). There are two options for opening an IRA — a traditional IRA or a Roth IRA, both of which have different tax advantages.

Traditional IRA

Any contributions made to a traditional IRA can be either fully or partially tax-deductible, and typically, earnings and gains of an IRA aren’t taxed until distribution.

Roth IRA

For Roth IRAs, earnings are not taxable once distributed if they are “qualified”—which means they meet certain requirements for an untaxed distribution.

Late to the Retirement Savings Game?

Starting to save for retirement late is better than not starting at all. In fact, the government allows catch-up contributions for those over the age of 50. Catch-up contributions of up to $7,500 in 2023 are allowed on a 401(k), 403(b), SARSEP, or governmental 457(b).

A catch-up contribution is a contribution to a retirement savings account that is made beyond the regular contribution maximum. Catch-up contributions can be made on either a pre-tax or after-tax basis.

As retirement gets closer, future retirees can plan their savings around their estimated Social Security payments. The official Retirement Estimator tool provided by the U.S. Social Security office could help by basing the estimate on an individual’s actual Social Security earnings record.

While this estimate is not a guarantee, it might give a retiree — or anyone planning when to retire — an idea of how much they might consider saving to supplement these earnings.

Social Security benefits can begin at age 62, which is considered the Social Security retirement age minimum. However, full benefits won’t be earned until full retirement age, which is 65 to 67 years old, depending on birth year.

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FAQ

Does the average retirement age matter?

The age at which you retire affects your Social Security benefit. For instance, if you retire at age 62, your benefit will be about 30% lower than if you wait until age 67.

What is the full retirement age for Social Security?

The full age of retirement is 67 for anyone born in 1960 or later. Before that, the full retirement age is 66 for those born from 1943 to 1954. And for those born between 1955 to 1959, the age increases gradually to 67.

How long will my retirement savings last?

One strategy you could use to help determine how long your retirement savings might last is the 4% rule. The idea behind the rule is that you withdraw 4% of your retirement savings during your first year of retirement, then adjust the amount each year after that for inflation. By doing this, ideally, your money could last for about 30 years in retirement. However, your personal circumstances and market fluctuations may affect this number, which means it could vary. It’s best to use the 4% rule only as a general guideline.

SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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Jul

2023

ETFs vs Mutual Funds: Learning the Difference

By Samuel Becker | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | No Comments

Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) and mutual funds are both SEC-registered investment vehicles that offer investors a convenient way to build a diversified portfolio. Both are professionally managed and offer investors slices of the portfolio. Both can hold hundreds or thousands of securities. Both are not FDIC insured, which means an individual can lose their money.

For decades, ETFs and mutual funds have provided retail and institutional investors an efficient way to invest in stocks, bonds and other asset classes. Yet there are key differences.

Differences Between ETFs and Mutual Funds

While there are plenty of similarities between ETFs and mutual funds, let’s start with some key differences.

How to Buy Mutual Funds and ETFs

The biggest difference between mutual funds and ETFs is how they’re purchased and sold. Mutual funds transact once per day, with all investors selling or buying shares at the same closing price. ETFs trade throughout the day on public exchanges, with many shares exchanging hands at various prices as buyers and sellers react to changes in the market.

Data on Holdings

Mutual funds are required to report the total value of their portfolio once per day after the stock markets close. The fund then figures out how many shares they have and what each share is worth based on the total value. This is what is referred to in the industry as the Net Asset Value, or NAV. When investors buy or sell a share of the mutual fund, they transact at that NAV at the end of the day.

Meanwhile, ETFs have to report their holdings on a daily basis. The price of the ETF fluctuates throughout the day based on market conditions and the value of the ETF’s underlying holdings.

Passive vs Active

ETFs tend to be considered “passive investments.” That’s because investors are not necessarily making active trades but rather tracking an underlying index. However, actively managed ETFs have also cropped up, since the first ETF was launched in 1993.

Meanwhile, with mutual funds, it’s common to find an active fund manager who makes decisions on which holdings to buy and sell.

Fee Differences Between ETFs vs Mutual Funds

Mutual funds tend to charge different types of fees to cover their business costs. ETFs generally charge lower fees. Compared to active investing, passive investing usually incurs lower fees since they track a particular index, like the S&P 500 Index.

Tax Implications of ETFs vs Mutual Funds

You may get better tax efficiency with ETFs, because you are not buying or selling as much with them. There are fewer transactions to tax and ETFs are generally tax efficient given their unique creation and redemption mechanism that they employ.

You’ll have to pay capital gains taxes and dividend income taxes, but ETFs have a lower tax requirement than mutual funds. Due to the unique structure of ETFs, they’re often able to reduce the amount of capital gains they distribute each year relative to a comparable mutual fund.

Lower Initial Investment

As a general rule, mutual funds tend to require a higher initial investment. ETFs, on the other hand, allow investors to invest in as little as a single share. In some cases, brokerage firms allow investors to even buy ETF fractional shares, slices of a whole stock in an ETF.

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Types of Mutual Funds

The first mutual fund was launched in the 1970s by the late Jack Bogle of Vanguard. Since then the investment type has steadily increased in popularity. They account for tens of trillions of dollars.

Here are some of the different types of mutual funds:

Load Mutual Funds

Load mutual funds charge a sales commission that’s paid to a financial professional or broker who helped the investor decide on which mutual fund to purchase.

There are typically two types of load mutual funds: Front-end load funds, which means the fee is paid when the mutual fund is purchased, and back-end load funds, which means the fee is paid when the mutual fund purchase is redeemed. Generally, back-end load funds charge higher fees.

No-Load Mutual Funds

Investors could look for a “no-load” mutual fund, which means the shares are bought and sold without charging commissions.

This plan may be best for investors who plan to do a lot of trading. If investors have to pay a commission charge every time they buy or sell a security, frequent trading will reduce returns. However, the expense ratios for no-load mutual funds are often higher.

Active vs Passive Mutual Funds

Most mutual funds are actively navigated by experienced money managers who steer the fund and invest in companies they believe will lead to outperformance. However, there are also passive mutual funds that track indices, similar to the way ETFs do.

Open-Ended Funds

Purchases and sales of fund shares typically happen directly between an investor and the fund company. As more investors buy into the fund, more shares are added, which means that the number of eventual fund shares can be nearly unlimited.

However, the fund must undergo a daily valuation by law, which is called marking to market (see a deeper dive on this below). The result of this process is a new per-share price, which has been adjusted to sync with any changes in the value of the fund’s holdings. An investor’s share value is not affected by the quantity of outstanding shares.

Closed-End Funds

Unlike open-ended funds, closed-ended funds (CEFs) are finite and limited. Only a specific number of shares are issued and no further shares are expected to be added.

The prices of close-ended funds are influenced by the NAV of the fund, but are ultimately determined by the demand investors have for the fund. Since the amount of shares is fixed, the shares often trade above or below the NAV. If the fund is trading above the NAV (what it’s really worth), it’s said to be trading at a premium; if trading below the NAV, it’s said to be trading at a discount.

💡 Quick Tip: Before opening an investment account, know your investment objectives, time horizon, and risk tolerance. These fundamentals will help keep your strategy on track and with the aim of meeting your goals.

Different Types of ETFs

ETFs are just one class of funds within the broader exchange-traded product (ETP) universe. Here’s a closer look at the different types of ETPs and ETFs.

Exchange-traded notes (ETNs)

Exchange-traded notes (ETNs) are usually debt instruments issued by banks that seek to track an index.

Leveraged ETFs

Leveraged ETFs use derivatives to amplify returns from a fund. For instance, if an underlying index moves 1% on a trading day, a regular ETF tracking the index would also move 1%. However, a leveraged ETF could move 2% or 3% depending on whether it’s double levered or triple levered.

Inverse ETFs

Inverse ETFs are similar to shorting a stock. Investors can use inverse ETFs to bet that the price of a market or stock sector will go down. So if the underlying goes down 1% on a given day, the inverse ETF will go up 1%.

Thematic ETFs

Thematic ETFs tend to focus on a slice of the stock market and follow a specific trend. Thematic ETFs that have cropped in recent years include those that cover renewable energy, the gig economy, or even pet care.

The major pros and cons of thematic ETFs include capturing a specific trend that appeals to an investor, as well as being too narrowly focused.

The Takeaway

Both ETFs and mutual funds allow investors to pool funds with other investors’ funds to ultimately buy and sell baskets of securities in the market. The aim is portfolio diversification and reducing risk compared to investing in a single company. If a person were to put all of their money into one company instead, their investment isn’t diversified because their fortunes are tied to that single company.

Investing in both ETFs and mutual funds, or a combination of both (or either) will depend on an individual investor’s preferences. Not all investments are right for each portfolio, and some research is necessary to see what’s right for you.

Ready to expand your portfolio's growth potential? Alternative investments, traditionally available to high-net-worth individuals, are accessible to everyday investors on SoFi's easy-to-use platform. Investments in commodities, real estate, venture capital, and more are now within reach. Alternative investments can be high risk, so it's important to consider your portfolio goals and risk tolerance to determine if they're right for you.

Invest in alts to take your portfolio beyond stocks and bonds.

An investor should consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Fund carefully before investing. This and other important information are contained in the Fund’s prospectus. For a current prospectus, please click the Prospectus link on the Fund’s respective page. The prospectus should be read carefully prior to investing.
Alternative investments, including funds that invest in alternative investments, are risky and may not be suitable for all investors. Alternative investments often employ leveraging and other speculative practices that increase an investor's risk of loss to include complete loss of investment, often charge high fees, and can be highly illiquid and volatile. Alternative investments may lack diversification, involve complex tax structures and have delays in reporting important tax information. Registered and unregistered alternative investments are not subject to the same regulatory requirements as mutual funds.
Please note that Interval Funds are illiquid instruments, hence the ability to trade on your timeline may be restricted. Investors should review the fee schedule for Interval Funds via the prospectus.
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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): Investors should carefully consider the information contained in the prospectus, which contains the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other relevant information. You may obtain a prospectus from the Fund company’s website or by email customer service at https://sofi.app.link/investchat. Please read the prospectus carefully prior to investing.
Shares of ETFs must be bought and sold at market price, which can vary significantly from the Fund’s net asset value (NAV). Investment returns are subject to market volatility and shares may be worth more or less their original value when redeemed. The diversification of an ETF will not protect against loss. An ETF may not achieve its stated investment objective. Rebalancing and other activities within the fund may be subject to tax consequences.
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Jul

2023

Why is the U.S. Dollar the World's Reserve Currency?

How the dollar Became the World’s Reserve Currency

By Colin Dodds | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

The U.S. dollar bears a lot of responsibility when it comes to global finance: It’s the currency kept on hand by central banks and other major financial institutions around the world to make transactions and investments, and to repay debts overseas.

The U.S. dollar is also the currency in which the world prices and trades vital commodities like gold and oil. And buyers and sellers in every country have to keep large amounts of U.S. dollars on hand to pay for them.

Historians disagree on exactly when the dollar became the reserve currency of the world. Some say the change took place right after the First World War, others say it happened closer to 1929, at the outset of the Great Depression.

But all are in agreement that as the Second World War drew toward a conclusion in 1944, the U.S. dollar had unseated the British Pound as the world’s undisputed reserve currency.

The Pound vs the dollar

The U.S. dollar as we know it didn’t actually exist until 1913, under the Federal Reserve Act of 1913, which created the Federal Reserve System.

The new central bank was created to set monetary policy and stabilize the U.S. currency, which had been issued based on bank notes issued by a number of individual banks.

At that point, the British pound was the world’s reserve currency. Though the U.S. economy was the largest in the world as World War I started in 1914, Britain remained at the center of the world’s trade, and most international transactions took place in British pounds. Like most countries’ currencies at the time, the British Pound was backed by gold.

Recommended: What Is Monetary Policy?

World War I changed all of that. The fighting was so ferocious, so widespread, and so costly that many countries had to deviate from that gold standard just to pay their armies.

Great Britain took the Pound off the gold standard in 1919, and the pound plummeted — which was catastrophic for international merchants and banks that traded primarily in pounds. Some scholars maintain that that was when the dollar became the world’s reserve currency.

Other historians maintain that global trade, especially international debt offerings, were denominated equally in dollars and Pounds until 1929. They even point to data that shows the British Pound was regaining ground on the dollar as the currency of choice for international trade up until 1939. Then World War II began.

💡 Quick Tip: If you’re opening a brokerage account for the first time, consider starting with an amount of money you’re prepared to lose. Investing always includes the risk of loss, and until you’ve gained some experience, it’s probably wise to start small.

World War II and Bretton Woods

Although Germany didn’t surrender to the Allied nations until 1945, the outcome of World War ll was clear by the middle of 1944. In July of 1944, more than 700 delegates from 44 countries met in Bretton Woods, N.H., to negotiate and come to an agreement on the kind of economy that would emerge from the ashes.

The Bretton Woods conference lasted three weeks, and established the U.S. dollar as the currency par excellence for the world. Attendees agreed upon the Bretton Woods system, which established a number of key global economic points:

• The U.S. agreed that the dollar would be backed by gold, which was priced at $35 an ounce when the agreement took effect.

• The countries who signed the agreement promised that their central banks would establish fixed exchange rates between their own currencies and the U.S. dollar. If their currency weakened, their central bank would buy up the currency until its value stabilized relative to the dollar.

On the other hand, if the country’s currency grew too strong compared with the dollar, their central bank would issue more currency until the price fell and the relationship with the dollar returned to normal.

• Those countries also promised not to lower their currencies to goose trade. But it allowed them to take steps to increase or decrease the value of their currencies for other reasons, like stabilizing their economy, or to help with post-war rebuilding.

💡 Quick Tip: Newbie investors may be tempted to buy into the market based on recent news headlines or other types of hype. That’s rarely a good idea. Making good choices shouldn’t stem from strong emotions, but a solid investment strategy.

The dollar Since Bretton Woods

By 1971, the gold owned by the U.S. government had reached a limit at which it could no longer cover the number of dollars in circulation. That’s when President Richard M. Nixon took the step of reducing the U.S. dollar’s comparative value to gold. This led to the collapse of the Bretton Woods system in 1973.

After the system fell, the countries took a wide range of approaches to how they valued their currency, and what policies their central banks would pursue. But the end of the system led to the creation of the foreign exchange or forex market, now the biggest and most active financial market in the world, with a daily trading volume of $6.6 trillion.

While the U.S. dollar — now considered a fiat currency — goes up and down in relation to other currencies every day, it is still the world’s reserve currency, with 59% of all non-U.S. bank reserves denominated in dollars, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF).

The dollar retains its prominence not because of an international agreement, but because of a broad consensus about the size, strength and stability of the U.S. economy relative to other options. Globally, investors still see U.S. Treasury securities as an extremely safe bet, as is evidenced by their low yields.

The Takeaway

Most of the world’s trade happens in U.S. dollars. But it hasn’t always been that way. And while it’s been preeminent for about a century, the dollar’s status has changed over time.

For investors interested in understanding the world’s currencies, the dollar’s rise to prominence has implications for the U.S. economy, as well as many other world economies.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

Photo credit: iStock/fizkes

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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

Jul

2023

Understanding the Gold/Silver Ratio

By Matthew Warholak | Financial Independence, Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

The gold-to-silver Ratio, also known as the silver-to-gold Ratio or “Mint Ratio,” is a metric that indicates the amount of silver required to buy an ounce of gold. For example, if the silver-gold ratio is 40:1, then it would take 40 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold.

This ratio fluctuates daily as the spot price of an ounce of gold and silver changes. This ratio is used by investors determining whether and how they want to invest in precious metals.

It’s a measurement that’s been around for thousands of years. Understanding how the two assets’ price relationship allows investors, governments, and manufacturers to compare and trade gold and silver in real-time.

Recommended: How to Invest in Precious Metals

How Is the Gold-Silver Ratio Calculated?

Investors calculate the gold-silver ratio by dividing the price of one ounce of gold by the price of one ounce of silver: e.g. how many ounces of silver equal one ounce of gold. For example, if one ounce of silver is $20 and one ounce of gold is $1,600, then the silver-gold ratio would be 80:1.

Unlike other physical items, precious metals are weighed by the Troy Ounce, an historic unit of measurement dating back to the Middle Ages equaling roughly 31.1 grams.

By comparison, the standard ounce equals about 28.35 grams. The price of one Troy Ounce of gold and silver fluctuates daily based on the spot price or current price at which the metal is trading.

Whereas most precious metals and commodities have futures contracts traded on the market, the spot price uses real-time price data. Premiums, or additional seller fees added to the price by metal retailers and merchants do not factor into the spot price or the gold-silver ratio.

💡 Quick Tip: When people talk about investment risk, they mean the risk of losing money. Some investments are higher risk, some are lower. Be sure to bear this in mind when investing online.

What Is the Historical Gold-Silver Ratio?

In modern times, the gold-silver ratio fluctuates daily. Before the 20th century, however, governments set the ratio between the two metals as part of their monetary policy, with many relying on a bi-metallic standard. The U.S. government set a gold-silver ratio of 15:1 with the Coinage Act of 1792, and adjusted the standard to 16:1 in 1834.

During the 20th century, nations started to migrate away from the bi-metallic currency standard and for some off the gold standard entirely to fiat currencies. This created more volatility in the metal prices.

Since then, gold and silver prices have traded independently of one another as alternative assets in the free market, resulting in a fluctuating gold/silver ratio.

When the United States abandoned the gold standard in 1971, the gold/silver ratio was 20.54:1. In 1985, it reached 51.68:1 and hasn’t fallen below that level since. It has climbed steadily upward since 2011, reaching an average 82.73 in mid-2023.

Within each year, however, there is significant day-to-day volatility. The ratio hit a record high of 124:1 in March 2020.

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Why Does the Gold-to-Silver Ratio Matter?

The gold/silver ratio can be useful to both traders and consumers of precious metals.

Traders

Investors focused on commodities or hard assets keep a close eye on the gold/silver ratio. When the gold/silver ratio is higher than expected, this signals to analysts and traders that silver’s price may be undervalued relative to gold. Conversely, an extremely low number could indicate that gold is undervalued.

Movement in the ratio may also shed light on the current demand or market sentiment toward either metal. A tightening of the ratio may indicate higher silver demand or lower gold demand. Investors in precious metals may compare this ratio to the current supply and demand of each asset to determine whether the fundamentals warrant the price change or if the ratio reflects heightened price speculation.

Consumers

For manufacturers purchasing precious metals such as gold and silver en masse to produce electronics and various consumer goods, the gold-silver ratio may help determine whether or not it’s a good time to buy more metal quantities or buy a futures contract that could offer a more favorable price.

This is a common strategy among various industries that rely heavily on imported materials to produce goods. Companies often hire in-house traders, analysts, or outside consultants to determine price forecasts of required commodities and will buy when the market is favorable and hedge when the outlook is less optimistic.

💡 Quick Tip: Distributing your money across a range of assets — also known as diversification — can be beneficial for long-term investors. When you put your eggs in many baskets, it may be beneficial if a single asset class goes down.

Can You Trade the Gold/Silver Ratio?

The gold-silver ratio is used in investing and trading to determine when one metal is undervalued or overvalued and thus a good value investment. However, like any other security, commodities carry some risks for investors.

Sometimes precious metals are extremely volatile and experience wild price swings, and sometimes gold and silver experience long periods of minimal price movement and volatility compared to other types of investments such as equities, commodities, and cryptocurrency. In fact many investors consider precious metals a store of wealth and allocate to it as part of their investors’ long-term investment portfolios.

The Takeaway

Measuring one asset against another is one way to determine an asset’s value, and Understanding the ratio, and the direction it’s moving, can help you make decisions about any precious metals allocations within your portfolio.

The SoFi Invest investment app can help you gain exposure to precious metals like gold and silver. You can use the platform to purchase exchange-traded funds (ETFs) that invest in specific commodities, or buy mining companies that produce such metals.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

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