Pros & Cons of Momentum Trading

Pros & Cons of Momentum Trading

Momentum trading is a type of short-term, high-risk trading strategy that requires a lot of skill and practice. While momentum trades can be held for longer periods when trends continue, the term generally refers to trades that are held for a day or several days, on average.

Momentum traders strive to chase the market by identifying the trend in price action of a specific security and extract profit by predicting its near-term future movement.

Looking for a good entry point when prices fall and then determining a profitable exit point when prices become overbought is the method to momentum trading madness. Momentum trading can also involve using various short strategies to profit from market downturns.

In a sense, this kind of trading is that simple. But of course, things can be much more difficult in practice. If it were easy, then everyone would do it.

The fact of the matter is this—the vast majority of individuals who attempt short-term trading strategies like this are not successful.

History of Momentum Trading

Momentum trading is a relatively new phenomenon. This kind of trading style has been made much more readily accessible with modern technology that makes trading easier in general.

An investor named Richard Driehaus has sometimes been referred to as “the father of momentum trading.” His strategy was at odds with the old stock market mantra of “buy low, sell high.”

Driehaus theorized that more money could be made by buying high and then selling at even higher prices. This idea aligns with the overarching theme of following a trend.

During the late 2000s as computers got faster, many different varieties of this type of trading began to spring up. Some of them were driven by computer models, sometimes trading on very small timeframes.

High-frequency trading algorithms, for example, can execute hundreds of trades per second. With this type of trading, humans don’t actually do anything beyond managing the system. It’s believed that about 90% of all trades that occur on Wall Street today are executed by high-frequency trading bots.

Momentum trading has become more popular in recent years with the advent of digital brokerage accounts. There have also been a number of new investment vehicles created that are well-suited to this style of trading, such as certain exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Ever since the widespread elimination of many commission fees back in Q4 2019, it’s possible that even more retail investors might be inclined to try their hand at momentum trading. Transaction costs and brokerage fees were also a very big disadvantage for short-term traders, as the fees could reduce profits by a wide margin.

Why are some people interested in this kind of trading? The answer is simple.

While the risks are high, so are the potential rewards.

How Momentum Trading Works

In essence, momentum trading involves picking a security (such as a stock or ETF), identifying a trend, and then executing a plan to capitalize on the trend based on the assumption that it will continue in the near-term.

There are many things that can be taken into consideration to this end. Among these are factors like volatility, volume, time, and technical indicators.

Volatility

Volatility refers to the size and frequency of price changes in a particular asset. Short-term traders tend to like volatility because wild market swings can create opportunities for large profits in short amounts of time. Of course, volatility also increases risk. In fact, one of the biggest indications that an asset has high risk is often that it has high volatility.

Recommended: Understanding Stock Volatility

Volume

Volume represents the quantity of units of a particular asset being sold and bought during a certain period (e.g., the number of shares of a stock or ETF). Traders need assets with adequate volume to keep their trades profitable. Without enough volume, traders can fall victim to something known as slippage.

Slippage occurs when there aren’t enough shares being sold at a trader’s price point to fulfill the order all at once. A trade then winds up being executed across multiple orders, each of them being slightly lower than the last, resulting in a smaller profit overall. When volume is high enough, this won’t happen, as most orders can be filled all at once at a single price point.

Time Frame

Having a plan is part of what separates successful traders from unsuccessful ones. As discussed, momentum trading usually takes place on a short time-frame, although not always as short as some day trading strategies. While day traders might hold a position for hours or even minutes, momentum traders might hold positions for a day, several days, or longer.

Technical Indicators

Technical analysis is the art of trying to predict future price movements by analyzing charts. Charting software provides traders with a long list of tools that use different mathematical formulas to indicate how the price of an asset has performed in a specific timeframe. These tools are referred to as technical indicators.

Based on one or more of these indicators, traders try to infer what the near future holds for a security. This process is far from perfect, and technical analysis might best be described as only slightly predictive. Still, it’s an important part of a short-term trader’s arsenal. What do these indicators look like?

One of the simplest technical indicators is called the Relative Strength Index (RSI). This indicator is supposed to chart the recent strength of a stock based on closing prices during a given period.

The RSI provides a simple numerical value on a scale from 0–100. The higher the value, the more overbought a security might be, while a lower value indicates a security might be oversold. In other words, a low RSI can be a buy signal, while a high RSI can be a sell signal.

The topic of technical analysis goes far beyond the scope of what can be covered here in this article. For a more detailed look at the subject, take a look at this SoFi resource.

Advantages of Momentum Trading

The main advantage of momentum trading is that it can be profitable in a relatively short amount of time when executed correctly and consistently.

Whereas buy-and-hold investors tend to wait months, years, or even decades before seeing significant profits, successful momentum traders have the potential to turn out profits on a weekly or daily basis.

While investing for the long-term requires a good understanding of the fundamental factors that go into each investment, momentum trading tends to be focused around technical analysis of charts.

While this method of trying to predict price movements is by no means infallible, it does keep things simple. Traders are focused through a single lens rather than trying to comprehend the bigger picture.

In this sense, momentum trading may be simpler. But compared to long-term investing, short-term trading involves a lot more buying and selling, and that creates additional opportunities to make mistakes.

Disadvantages of Momentum Trading

As mentioned, there are a lot of risks involved in momentum trading. Momentum traders try to make inferences about future price movement based on the recent actions of other market participants. This can work, but it can also be thrown off balance completely by a single press release or fundamental development.

For example, imagine a momentum trader identifies a strong upward trend in a stock of a telecommunications company we will call Company A.

This imaginary trader develops a plan and begins executing it, placing a buy order at a select price point when the stock dips. The plan is to sell once the stock reaches a long-term resistance level that was established months ago, let’s say.

Our hypothetical trader has done this same trade before many times and made a nice profit each time, so she thinks this time will be no different.

But then something unexpected happens. The next trading day, when profits were to be booked on a continued rising price trend, a rival telecommunications company, Company B, issues a press release.

Company B has pulled ahead of Company A, implementing a new technology that will benefit customers greatly. As a result, investors begin selling stock in company A, expecting them to lose customers to competitors like Company B.

In this imaginary case, any trends that might have been identified using technical analysis would have been invalidated quickly. Hypothetical scenarios like this play out every day in the real markets.

Tax Implications to Know

Those interested in momentum trading or other short-term trading strategies may want to review the tax implications associated with this style of trading. It can be worth reviewing how taxes will impact an investor, since they could take a chunk of an investor’s profits.

Know that the IRS makes a distinction between traders and investors, for tax purposes, and it’s important to understand where you fall. A trader is someone considered by law to be in the investment business while an investor is someone buying and selling securities for personal gain.

The IRS also differentiations between short-term and long-term investments when evaluating capital gains and losses. In general, long-term investments are those held for a year or more, while those held for less than a year are considered short-term investments. Long-term investments may benefit from a lower tax rate, while short-term capital gains are taxed at the same rate as ordinary income.

Another rule worth understanding is the wash sale rule . While some capital losses can be taken as a tax deduction, there are certain regulations in place to stop investors from taking advantage of this benefit. The wash sale rule restricts investors from benefiting from selling a security at a loss and then buying a substantially identical security within 30 days. A wash sale occurs if you sell a security and then your spouse or a corporation under our control buys a similar security within the 30 day period following the sale.

Investing With SoFi

Now you have some answers to the question, “what is momentum trading?”

In short, it involves a combination of techniques that attempt to predict and take advantage of short-term market fluctuations. This skill is hard to master, requires a lot of knowledge and experience, and carries high risk. This kind of trading is not for everyone.

No matter what kind of trading you’re into, the SoFi Invest® provides all the tools needed to get started.

Download the SoFi app to keep up with the latest market news and start investing today.


SoFi Invest®
The information provided is not meant to provide investment or financial advice. Investment decisions should be based on an individual’s specific financial needs, goals and risk profile. SoFi can’t guarantee future financial performance. Advisory services offered through SoFi Wealth, LLC. SoFi Securities, LLC, member FINRA / SIPC . The umbrella term “SoFi Invest” refers to the three investment and trading platforms operated by Social Finance, LLC and its affiliates (described below). Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of the platforms below.


Tax Information: This article provides general background information only and is not intended to serve as legal or tax advice or as a substitute for legal counsel. You should consult your own attorney and/or tax advisor if you have a question requiring legal or tax advice.


External Websites: The information and analysis provided through hyperlinks to third-party websites, while believed to be accurate, cannot be guaranteed by SoFi. Links are provided for informational purposes and should not be viewed as an endorsement.

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What is a Gamma Squeeze?

What Is a Gamma Squeeze?

The finance world is chock full of strange terminology. “Gamma squeeze” is a perfect example.

In general, when there’s a “squeeze” in the market, that usually describes an event when investors feel pressure to make a move that they otherwise would not have made. For instance, in “short squeezes,” investors who made bearish bets on a stock–known as short sellers–are forced to buy shares of the stock they’ve actually bet against.

This piece will dig into what a gamma squeeze is, what it has to do with options trading, and what it means for investors.

Overview of Options Trading

It’ll be helpful if we quickly recap how options trading works. Options can be bought and sold, just like stocks. In short, they’re contracts that give purchasers the right (but not the obligation) to buy or sell an asset—i.e., the option to transact.

Options can be used to speculate on price changes. For example, if an investor thinks the price of a stock is going to increase, they can purchase an options contract to put themselves in a position to profit if their prediction were to come true.

There are call and put options to take into account. A call gives purchasers the right to buy an asset at a certain time or price, whereas a put gives them the right to sell it. Buying these types of options allows them to effectively bet on a stock, without outright owning it. Purchasers typically pay a small “premium,” or the price of the contract.

Generally, if an investor thinks a stock’s price will increase, they buy calls. If they think it will decrease, they buy puts.

Recommended: Options Trading Terminology

Gamma Squeeze Definition

A gamma squeeze has to do with buying call options. Remember, purchasers buy calls when they think the price of a stock is going to increase. And as the price of that stock increases, so does the value of the call option. Now, when a stock’s price starts to increase, that can lead to more investors buying calls contracts. There’s a whole lot of call-buying going on.

But on the other side of those calls are the traders or institutions that sold them—remember that options are a contract between two parties, so for an investor betting on a stock price’s increase, there’s another that’s betting that it’ll fall. They’re taking a “short” position, in other words.

Market makers”–the trading firms that are selling the call options–are typically the party on the other side of the trade. They’re essentially “short” those call options that investors in the market are buying. These market makers face a good amount of risk if the price of the underlying stock rises, so they will buy some shares of the stock to hedge some of that risk.

Buying the shares also helps to ensure that they will be able to deliver the stock if they become “due,” or the investor exercises their call options.

However, if investors keep buying more and more calls, and the stock’s price increases, market makers need to buy more and more stock—increasing its price even further, and thus, creating a “squeeze.” The gains in share value cause the market makers to be more exposed, hence they need to hedge even more.

Part of this is also because the stock’s gains brings the options closer to the prices at which calls can be exercised.

Basically, the short positions held by some investors allows a gamma squeeze to happen. And if a stock’s price rises instead of falls, the shorters’ need to start buying the stock, further increasing its price, creating the feedback loop mentioned earlier.

Recommended: Shorting a Stock Explained

What’s Gamma in Options?

Okay, so you may have a grasp on how a gamma squeeze can occur. But we still need to talk about what gamma is, and how it fits into the picture.

Gamma is actually just one of a handful of Greek letters (gamma, delta, theta, and vega) that options traders use to refer to their positions. In a nutshell, “the Greeks” help traders determine if they’re in a good position or not.

For now, we’ll just focus on delta and gamma. Gamma is actually determined by delta. Delta measures the change of an option’s price relative to the change in the underlying stock’s price. For instance, a delta of 0.3 would mean that the option’s price would go up $0.30 for every $1 increase in the underlying stock’s price.

Gamma measures how delta changes based on a stock price’s change. It’s sort of a delta of deltas. In other words, gamma can tell you how much an option’s delta will change when the underlying stock’s price changes. Another way to think of it: If an option is a car, its delta is its speed. Its gamma, then, is its rate of acceleration.

When a gamma squeeze occurs, delta and gamma on options are in a state of flux, creating stock volatility and ultimately, squeezing some market players.

The Takeaway

When investors are making bullish bets on a stock, sometimes they use call options–contracts that allow them to buy a stock at a certain date in the future.

When brokers or market makers sell those call options to the investors, they buy shares of the underlying stock itself in order to try to offset the risk they’re exposing themselves to. This also helps them ensure they can deliver the shares if the options get exercised by the investor holding the call options.

Gamma squeezes occur when there’s rapid buying by the market makers of the stock, causing a dramatic surge in the share price. The sudden increase, in turn, causes greater exposure for the market makers, causing them to hedge themselves more by purchasing additional shares.

Options trading is complex and may not be for everyone. But if you want a simpler investing experience, then an online investing account with SoFi may be a good choice. SoFi Invest allows investors to buy and sell stocks, ETFs and fractional shares without commissions. Users can also start building a portfolio with as little as $5 on the Active Investing platform.

Check out SoFi Invest today.


SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Options involve risks, including substantial risk of loss and the possibility an investor may lose the entire amount invested in a short period of time. Before an investor begins trading options they should familiarize themselves with the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options . Tax considerations with options transactions are unique, investors should consult with their tax advisor to understand the impact to their taxes.
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What is a Covered Call ETF: Strategies & Benefits

Pros and Cons of a Covered Call ETF — and When to Buy

A covered call ETF is an exchange-traded fund that provides investors with additional income by writing options on the securities the ETF holds. These actively-managed ETFs offer investors the benefits of writing call options on stocks, without them having to participate in the options market directly.

The upside is that investors take on less risk and potentially earn income in the form of options contract premiums on top of dividends. The downside is that potential upside profits will be capped because the call options will have to be exercised once the underlying security reaches a certain strike price (one of many options trading terms to know), at which point the shares will be called away from the shareholder.

Basics of the Covered Call Strategy

Covered calls involve buying shares of a stock and then writing call options contracts on some of those shares. A covered call could also be referred to as “call writing” or “writing a call option” on a security.

Other investors can then purchase the call option contract. They pay a small fee to the call writer, known as a premium, for doing so. The contract gives a buyer of the option the right, but not the obligation, to buy shares at a specific price on or before a specified date.

In the case of call options, when the share price of the underlying security rises above the strike price, an option holder can choose to exercise the option, at which point the stock will be called away from the person who wrote the call option.

The option holder then receives shares at a cost lower than current market value. Their profits will equal the difference between the option strike price and where the stock is currently trading minus the premium paid. The higher the stock price rises before the expiry date, the greater the profit for the person holding the call option.

Because the call option writer receives income on the deal in the form of a premium, they want the stock price to either stay flat, fall, or rise only slightly. If the stock rises beyond the strike price of the option, then they’ll receive the premium, but their shares will be called away. The option writer will have a gain or loss depending on the difference of the exercise price and the purchase price of the stock and the premium received.

On the other hand, if the stock doesn’t reach the strike price of the option, then the writer keeps both the premium and the shares. They’re then free to repeat the process as many times as they wish.


💡 Quick Tip: All investments come with some degree of risk — and some are riskier than others. Before investing online, decide on your investment goals and how much risk you want to take.

What Is a Covered Call ETF?

A covered call ETF is an actively-managed exchange-traded fund (ETF) that buys a set of stocks and writes call options on them — engaging in the call-writing process as much as possible in order to maximize returns for investors.

By investing in a covered call ETF, investors have the opportunity to benefit from covered calls without directly participating in the options market on their own. The fund takes care of the covered calls for them.

The ETF covered call strategy usually involves writing short-term (under two-month expiry) calls that are out-of-the-money (OTM), meaning the security’s price is below a call option’s strike price. Using shorter-term options allows investors to take advantage of rapid time decay.

Options like these also serve to create a balance between earning high amounts of premium payments while increasing the odds that the contracts will expire OTM (which, for covered call writers, is a positive outcome).

Writing options OTM serves to make sure that investors can benefit from some amount of the upward price potential of the underlying securities.

When to Buy a Covered Call ETF

It may be a good time to buy a covered call ETF when most of the securities held by the ETF are expected to trade sideways or go down slightly for some time. Beyond that, any time is a good time for investors who find the strategy appealing, want to take the chance of gaining extra income for their portfolios, and don’t mind missing out on outsized gains if the market rips higher.

Covered call ETFs might also be attractive to people nearing retirement, people who are generally more risk-averse, or anyone looking to add some additional income to their portfolio without having to learn how to write and trade options.

If an investor were considering ETFs vs. index funds, they might choose an ETF for the reason that the fund might employ creative strategies like covered calls, whereas index funds merely try to track an index.

When Not to Buy a Covered Call ETF

The one time when it may be advisable not to buy a covered call ETF might be when stocks are generally rising and making new record highs on a regular basis. This is a scenario where covered call ETFs would underperform the rest of the market.

If the underlying securities rise only slightly, and do not exceed the strike prices set for the covered calls, then these ETFs should also perform well. It’s only when stocks rise to the point that the shares get called away from the fund that the fund will almost certainly underperform compared to holding shares directly.

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*Customer must fund their Active Invest account with at least $50 within 30 days of opening the account. Probability of customer receiving $1,000 is 0.028%. See full terms and conditions.

Pros and Cons of a Covered Call ETF

The main benefits that come from taking advantage of an ETF covered call strategy are reduced risk and increased income.

Pros of a Covered Call ETF

Overall, a covered call ETF has largely the same risk profile as holding the underlying securities would. But some investors see these ETFs as less risky than holding individual stocks because the ETF should, in theory, do as well or slightly better than the market in most situations. (The one exception would be during extended, strong bull markets.)

But while covered call ETFs reduce the risk associated with owning a lot of shares while also providing additional income, hedging against downside risk would best be accomplished by using put options.

Cons of a Covered Call ETF

Covered call ETFs are actively managed, which means they tend to have higher expense ratios than passively managed ETFs that track an index. But the extra income may potentially offset that cost.

The Takeaway

A covered call ETF is an actively managed exchange-traded fund that offers investors the benefits of writing call options on stocks, without them having to participate directly in the options market. For investors looking for a simpler approach, this may be beneficial. Covered call ETFs also have two primary benefits in reduced risk and increased income.

That’s not to say that they don’t have downsides, too. Notably, they tend to be actively-managed, which generally means they have higher associated fees. Again, all of this should be taken into consideration before folding any type of security into an investment strategy.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).


Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.


SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs): Investors should carefully consider the information contained in the prospectus, which contains the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, expenses, and other relevant information. You may obtain a prospectus from the Fund company’s website or by email customer service at https://sofi.app.link/investchat. Please read the prospectus carefully prior to investing.
Shares of ETFs must be bought and sold at market price, which can vary significantly from the Fund’s net asset value (NAV). Investment returns are subject to market volatility and shares may be worth more or less their original value when redeemed. The diversification of an ETF will not protect against loss. An ETF may not achieve its stated investment objective. Rebalancing and other activities within the fund may be subject to tax consequences.

Options involve risks, including substantial risk of loss and the possibility an investor may lose the entire amount invested in a short period of time. Before an investor begins trading options they should familiarize themselves with the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options . Tax considerations with options transactions are unique, investors should consult with their tax advisor to understand the impact to their taxes.
Claw Promotion: Customer must fund their Active Invest account with at least $50 within 30 days of opening the account. Probability of customer receiving $1,000 is 0.028%. See full terms and conditions.

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Tail Risk Explained: Woman investing on phone

Tail Risk, Fat Tails, and What They Mean for Investors

Tail risk is the danger of large investment gains or losses because of sudden and unforeseen events. The term “tail risk” refers to the tails on a bell curve: While the fat middle of the bell curve represents the most probable returns, the tails — both positive and negative — represents the least likely outcomes.

When looking at the bell curve that gives the phenomenon its name, investors sometimes also refer to tail risk as “left-tail risk,” as it refers to the very unlikely and very negative outcomes on the curve.

What Is Tail Risk?

Tail risk is defined by a concept called standard deviation. As a metric, standard deviation shows how widely the price of an asset fluctuates above and below its average. For a volatile stock, the standard deviation will be high, while the standard deviation for a stock with a steady value will be low.

Standard deviation is an important number that investors use to understand how historically volatile a stock is, as well as the level of volatility they can project for it in the future. That projection is based on the underlying assumption that the price changes of a stock will follow the pattern of what’s called normal distribution.

Normal distribution is a statistical term used to describe the probability of an event, and it shapes the bell curve. If you flip a coin 10,000 times, how often will it land on heads or tails? Each time, there is a 50% probability it will land on heads or tails, and the curve describes the likelihood that those 10,000 flips will come out 50/50. The fat middle of the curve says it will be close to 50/50, but there are extremely low probabilities at the low (or skinny) ends of the bell curve that it could be more like 80/20 heads or 80/20 tails.

That approach to probability predicts that a stock selling at a mean price of $45 with a $5 standard deviation is 95% certain to sell between $35 and $55 at the close of that day’s market.

“Tail risk” is used to describe the risk that an investment will fall or rise by more than three standard deviations from its mean price. To continue the example, the hypothetical stock $45 stock has entered the domain of tail risk if, at the end of the trading day, it is priced at $30 or below, or at $60 or above.


💡 Quick Tip: Before opening any investment account, consider what level of risk you are comfortable with. If you’re not sure, start with more conservative investments, and then adjust your portfolio as you learn more.

What are Fat Tail Risks?

Unpredictable events are ironically predictable, and happen in the markets on a regular basis. And those markets, such as the one following the onset of the pandemic in early 2020, exhibit much “fatter” tails. Another period characterized by having an extremely fat tail was the 2008 Financial Crisis.

They’re called “fat tails” because the outcomes that had been on the extremes were suddenly happening, instead of the ones previously considered probable. This condition is also called by the mathematical term leptokurtosis. As a general rule, because they deviate so wildly from the expected norm, fat tail events present great risk as well as great opportunities for investors.

Tail Risk Strategy

Financial models such as Harry Markowitz’s modern portfolio theory (MPT) or the Black-Scholes Merton option pricing model, employ the assumption that the returns of a given asset will remain between the mean and three standard deviations.

The assumptions made in these long-term market projections can help with planning. But they’re not realistic about how investors receive their market returns over the long term. Rather, the bulk of their returns, no matter how diversified their portfolio, are largely the result of positive tail events. The power of tail events over long periods is one reason that experts tell investors to stay in the markets during fat-tail periods of volatility, even if it is stressful at the time.

Why Investors Hedge Tail Risks

Left-tail events also have the potential to have an extremely negative impact on portfolios. That’s why many investors hedge their portfolios against these events — aiming to improve long-term results by reducing risk. But these strategies necessarily come with short-term costs.

Downside Protection

One strategy that’s designed to protect against tail risks involves taking short positions that counterbalance the rest of a portfolio, also known as buying downside protection. For example, if an investor is heavily invested in U.S. equities, they may consider investing in derivatives on the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index (VIX), which correlates to the inverse of the S&P 500 index. (Using short strategies is also one way to invest during a bear market.)

Another way to hedge by buying downside protection is to purchase out-of-the-money put options. When the assets connected to these put options go down, the put options become more valuable. Granted, buying those options costs money, but it can be a strategy to consider for investors who believe the markets are likely to be volatile for a while.

Tail Risk Parity

Tail risk parity is a way to structure a portfolio based on the expectations that events that have a negative impact on one asset class will likely be a boon to others. This requires looking at each asset class in terms of how it might fare in the event of a particular crisis, and then finding an asset class that would likely do well in that same circumstance, and then keeping them in balance within your portfolio.

Managed Futures Funds

Other investors who want to trim their exposure to tail risks may invest in managed futures funds. These funds buy long and short futures contracts in equity indexes, and can thrive during times of crisis in the markets.

The Takeaway

A tail risk is the risk that an event with a low likelihood of happening will happen. And it’s something that investors need to keep in mind. There are a few different ways to mitigate the impact of tail risk in an investment portfolio, but for long-term investors, it can be helpful to keep in mind that tail risk is responsible for most returns over time.

Tail risk and fat tails may seem like granular investing terms, but they do play a role in the markets, which means that every investor can benefit from learning about them, and how they can affect a portfolio.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).


Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.


SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.


Investment Risk: Diversification can help reduce some investment risk. It cannot guarantee profit, or fully protect in a down market.

Claw Promotion: Customer must fund their Active Invest account with at least $50 within 30 days of opening the account. Probability of customer receiving $1,000 is 0.028%. See full terms and conditions.

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Intrinsic Value vs Market Value, Explained

Intrinsic value vs. market value refers to the difference between where a stock is currently trading and where it perhaps ought to be, according to its fundamentals. The term “market value” simply refers to the current market price of a security. Intrinsic value represents the price at which investors believe the security should be trading at. Intrinsic value is also known as “fair market value” or simply “fair value.”

When it comes to value vs. growth stocks, value investors look for companies that are out of favor and below their intrinsic value. The idea is that sooner or later stocks return to their intrinsic value. That’s why it can be important to understand the differences and help it inform your strategy.

What Is Market Value?

In a sense, there is only one measure of market value: what price the market assigns to a stock, based on existing demand.

Market value tends to be influenced by public sentiment and macroeconomic factors. Fear and greed are the primary emotions that drive markets. During a stock market crash, for example, fear may grip investors and the market value of many stocks could fall well below their fair market values.

News headlines can drive stock prices above or below their intrinsic value. After reading a company’s annual report that’s positive, investors may pile into a stock. Even though better-than-expected earnings might increase the intrinsic value of a stock to a certain degree, investors can get greedy in the short-term and create overextended gains in the stock price.

The rationale behind value vs price, and behind value investing as a whole, is that stocks tend to overshoot their fair market value to the upside or the downside.

When this leads to a stock being oversold, the idea is that investors could take advantage of the buying opportunity. It’s assumed that the stock will then eventually rise to its intrinsic value.


💡 Quick Tip: All investments come with some degree of risk — and some are riskier than others. Before investing online, decide on your investment goals and how much risk you want to take.

What Is Intrinsic Value?

The factors that can be used to determine intrinsic value are related to the fundamental operations of a company. It can be tricky to figure out how to evaluate a stock. Depending on which factors they examine and how they interpret them, analysts can come to different conclusions about the intrinsic value of a stock.

It’s not easy to come to a reasonable estimation of a company’s valuation. Some of the variables involved have no direct physical, measurable counterpart, like intangible assets. Intangible assets include things like copyrights, patents, reputation, consumer loyalty, and so on. Analysts come to their own conclusions when trying to assign a value to these assets.

Tangible assets include things like cash reserves, corporate bonds, equipment, land, manufacturing capacity, etc. These tend to be easier to value because they can be assigned a numerical value in dollar terms. Things like the company’s business plan, financial statements, and balance sheet have a tangible aspect in that they are objective documents.


💡 Quick Tip: Newbie investors may be tempted to buy into the market based on recent news headlines or other types of hype. That’s rarely a good idea. Making good choices shouldn’t stem from strong emotions, but a solid investment strategy.

Calculating Intrinsic Value vs Market Value

There can be multiple different ways to determine the intrinsic value of an asset. These methods are broadly referred to as valuation methods, or using fundamental analysis on stocks or other securities. The methods vary according to the type of asset and how an investor chooses to look at that asset.

Calculating Intrinsic Value

For dividend-yielding stocks, for example, the dividend discount model provides a mathematical formula that aims to find the intrinsic value of a stock based on its dividend growth over a certain period of time. Dividends are periodic income given to shareholders by a company.

Upon calculating the dividend discount model, an investor could then compare the answer to the current market value of a stock. If market value were to be lower, then the stock could be seen as undervalued and a good buy. If market value were to be higher, then the stock could be seen as overvalued and not worth buying or possibly an opportunity to sell short.

Another method for estimating intrinsic value is discounted cash flow analysis. This method attempts to determine the value of an investment in terms of its projected future cash flows.

While the dividend discount model and discounted cash flow analysis can be seen as objective ways to determine a stock’s value, they also have a large subjective component. Analysts must choose a timeframe to use in their model. Using different timeframes can lead to different conclusions.

Longer timeframes are often thought of as being more accurate because they include more data points. But they could also dilute the significance of more recent trends.

Example Using Dividend Discount Model

For example, if a company had years of steady dividend growth, but recently slashed its dividend by 50%, a dividend discount model analysis based on a long timeframe would show this reduction in dividend payments to be less severe than an analysis based on a shorter time frame.

The longer timeframe would include previous years of dividend growth, which would theoretically outweigh the recent reduction.

The reduction may have come from a large decrease in earnings. If that trend were to continue, the company could be doomed to the point of having to suspend its dividends. So in this hypothetical example, a shorter time frame could actually lead to a more realistic conclusion than a longer one.

Calculating Market Value

The determination of market value is rather simple by comparison. Someone can either simply look at what price a stock is trading at or calculate its current market capitalization. The formula for market capitalization or market cap is:

Total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the current stock price.

Dividing market cap by number of shares also leads to the current stock price.

Sometimes companies engage in “corporate stock buybacks,” whereby they purchase their own shares, which reduces the total number of shares available on the market.

This increases the price of a stock without any fundamental, tangible change taking place. Value investors might say that stocks pumped up by share buybacks are overvalued. This process can lead to extreme valuations in stocks, as can extended periods of market euphoria.

The Takeaway

Intrinsic value and market value describe the values of a security as they’re currently trading versus where their underlying fundamentals suggest they should be trading. Using the intrinsic value vs market value method is likely best suited to a long-term buy-and-hold strategy.

Stock prices can remain elevated or depressed for long periods of time depending on market conditions. Even if an investor’s analysis is spot on, there’s no way to know for sure exactly when any stock will return to its intrinsic value. That’s critical to understand if you hope to utilize intrinsic value vs market value in your own investing strategy.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).


Opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.


SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Claw Promotion: Customer must fund their Active Invest account with at least $50 within 30 days of opening the account. Probability of customer receiving $1,000 is 0.028%. See full terms and conditions.

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