InvestHL Archives | Page 32 of 52

Sep

2023

Averaging Down Stocks: Meaning, Example, Pros & Cons

By AJ Smith | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

Averaging down stocks refers to a strategy of buying more shares of a stock you already own after that stock has lost value — effectively buying the same stock, but at a discount. In other words, it’s a way of lowering the average cost of a stock you already own.

It’s similar to dollar-cost averaging, where you invest the same amount of money in the same securities at steady intervals, regardless of whether the prices are rising or falling.

While this strategy has a potential upside — if the stock price then rises again — it does expose investors to greater risk.

Table of Contents

What Is Averaging Down?
Example of Averaging Down
Why Average Down on Stock
Pros and Cons of Averaging Down
Tips for Averaging Down on Stock
The Takeaway

What Is Averaging Down?

By using the strategy of averaging down and purchasing more of the same stock at a lower price, the investor lowers the average price (or cost basis) for all the shares of that stock in their portfolio.

So if you buy 100 shares at one price, and the price drops 10%, for example, and you decide to buy 100 more shares at the lower price, the average cost of all 200 shares is now lower.

💡 Quick Tip: Look for an online brokerage with low trading commissions as well as no account minimum. Higher fees can cut into investment returns over time.

Example of Averaging Down

Consider this example: Imagine you’ve purchased 100 shares of stock for $70 per share ($7,000 total). Then, the value of the stock falls to $35 per share, a 50% drop.

To average down, you’d purchase 100 shares of the same stock at $35 per share ($3,500). Now, you’d own 200 shares for a total investment of $10,500. This creates an average purchase price of $52.50 per share.

Potential of Gain Averaging Down

If the stock price jumps to $80 per share, your position would be worth $16,000, a $5,500 gain on your initial investment of $10,500. In this case, averaging down helped boost your average return. If you’d simply bought 200 shares at the initial price of $70 ($14,000), you’d only see a gain of $2,000.

Potential Risk of Averaging Down

As with any strategy, there’s risk in averaging down. If, after averaging down, the price of the stock goes up, then your decision to buy more of that stock at a lower price would have been a good one. But the stock continues its downward price trajectory, it would mean you just doubled down on a losing investment.

While averaging down can be successful for long-term investors as part of a buy-and-hold strategy, it can be hard for inexperienced investors to discern the difference between a dip and a warning sign.

Why Average Down on Stock

Some investors may use averaging down stocks as part of other strategies.

1. Value Investing

Value investing is a style of investing that focuses on finding stocks that are trading at a “good value” — in other words, value stocks are typically underpriced. By averaging down, an investor buys more of a stock that they like, at a discount.

But in some cases, a stock may appear undervalued when it’s not. This can lead investors who may not understand how to value stocks into something called a value trap. A value trap is when a company has been trading at low valuation metrics (e.g. the P/E ratio or price-to-book value) for some time.

While it may seem like a bargain, if it’s not a true value proposition the price is likely to decline further.

2. Dollar-Cost Averaging

For some investors, averaging down can be a way to get more money into the market. This is a similar philosophy to the strategy known as dollar-cost averaging, as noted above, where the idea is to invest steadily regardless of whether the market is down or up, to reap the long-term average gains.

3. Loss Mitigation

Some investors turn to this strategy to help dig out of the very hole that the lower price has put them into. That’s because a stock that has lost value has to grow proportionally more than it fell in order to get back to where it started. Again, an example will help:

Let’s say you purchase 100 shares at $75 per share, and the stock drops to $50, that’s a 33% loss. In order to regain that lost value, however, the stock needs to increase by 50% (from $50 to $75) before you can see a profit.

Averaging down can change the math here. If the stock drops to $50 and you buy another 100 shares, the price only needs to increase by 25% to $62.50 for the position to be profitable.

Pros and Cons of Averaging Down

As you can see, averaging down stocks is not a black-and-white strategy; it requires some skill and the ability to weigh the advantages and disadvantages of each situation.

Pros of Averaging Down

The primary benefit to averaging down is that an investor can buy more of a stock that they want to own anyway, at a better price than they paid previously — with the potential for gains.

Whether to average down should as much be a decision about the desire to own a stock over the long-term as it is about the recent price movement. After all, recent price changes are only one part of a stock’s analysis.

If the investor feels committed to the company’s growth and believes that its stock will continue to do well over longer periods, that could justify the purchase. And, if the stock in question ultimately turns positive and enjoys solid growth over time, then the strategy will have been a success.

Cons of Averaging Down

The averaging down strategy requires an investor to buy a stock that is, at the moment, losing value. And it is always possible that this fall is not temporary — and is actually the beginning of a larger decline in the company and/or its stock price. In this scenario, an investor who averages down may have just increased their holding in a losing investment.

Price change alone should not be an investor’s only indication to buy more of any stock. An investor with plans to average down should research the cause of the decline before buying — and even with careful research, projecting the trajectory of a stock can be difficult.

Another potential downside is that the averaging down strategy adds to one particular position, and therefore can affect your asset allocation. It’s always wise to consider the implications of any shift in your portfolio’s allocation, as being overweight in a certain asset class could expose you to greater risk of loss.

💡 Quick Tip: It’s smart to invest in a range of assets so that you’re not overly reliant on any one company or market to do well. For example, by investing in different sectors you can add diversification to your portfolio, which may help mitigate some risk factors over time.

Tips for Averaging Down on Stock

If you are going to average down on a stock you own, be sure to take a few preparatory steps.

• Have an exit strategy. While it may be to your benefit to buy the dip, you want to set a limit should the price continue to fall.

• Do your research. In order to understand whether a stock’s price drop is really an opportunity, you may need to understand more about the company’s fundamentals.

• Keep an eye on the market. Market conditions can impact stock price as well, so it’s wise to know what factors are at play here.

The Takeaway

To recap: What is averaging down in stocks? Simply put, averaging down is a strategy where an investor buys more of a stock they already own after the stock has lost value.

The idea is that by buying a stock you own (and like) at a discount, you lower the average purchase price of your position as a whole, and set yourself up for gains if the price should increase. Of course, the fly in the ointment here is that it can be quite tricky to predict whether a stock price has simply taken a dip or is on a downward trajectory — so there are risks to the averaging down strategy for this reason.

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Sep

2023

Exit Strategy for Investors: Definition and Examples

By Rebecca Lake | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

An exit strategy is a plan to leave an investment, ideally by selling it for more than the price at which it was purchased.

Individual investors, venture capitalists, stock traders, and business owners all use exit strategies that set specific criteria to dictate when they’ll get out of an investment. Every exit strategy plan is unique to its situation, in terms of timing and under which conditions an exit may occur.

What Is an Exit Strategy?

Broadly speaking, the exit strategy definition is a plan for leaving a specific situation. For instance, an employee who’s interested in changing jobs may form an exit strategy for leaving their current employer and moving on to their next one.

What is an exit strategy in a financial setting? In this case, the exit strategy definition is a plan crafted by business owners or investors that cover when they choose to liquidate their position in an investment. To liquidate means to convert securities or other assets to cash. Once this liquidation occurs, the individual or entity that executed the exit strategy no longer has a stake in the investment.

Creating an exit strategy prior to making an investment can be advantageous for managing and minimizing risk. It can also help with defining specific objectives for making an investment in the first place. In other words, formulating your exit strategy beforehand can give you clarity about what you hope to achieve.

Exit strategies often go overlooked, however, as investors, venture capitalists, and business owners may move ahead with an investment with no clear plan for leaving it.

💡 Quick Tip: Look for an online brokerage with low trading commissions as well as no account minimum. Higher fees can cut into investment returns over time.

How Exit Strategies Work

Investors use exit strategies to realize their profit or to mitigate potential losses from an investment or business. When creating an exit strategy, investors will typically define the conditions under which they’ll make their exit.

For instance, an exit strategy plan for investors may be contingent on achieving a certain level of returns when starting to invest in stocks, or reaching a maximum threshold of allowable losses. Once the contingency point is reached, the investor may choose to sell off their shares as dictated by their exit strategy.

A venture capital exit strategy, on the other hand, may have a predetermined time element. Venture capitalists invest money in startups and early stage companies. The exit point for a venture capitalist may be a startup’s IPO or initial public offering.

Again, all exit strategies revolve around a plan. The mechanism by which an individual or entity makes their exit can vary, but the end result is the same: to leave an investment or business.

When Should an Exit Strategy Be Used?

There are different scenarios when an exit strategy may come into play. For example, exit strategies can be useful in these types of situations:

• Creating a succession plan to transfer ownership of a profitable business to someone else.

• Shutting down a business and liquidating its assets.

• Withdrawing from a venture capital investment or angel investment.

• Selling stocks or other securities to minimize losses.

• Giving up control of a company or merging it with another company.

Generally speaking, an exit strategy makes sense for any situation where you need or want to have a plan for getting out.

Exit Strategy Examples

Here are some different exit strategy examples that explain how exit strategies can be useful to investors, business owners, and venture capitalists.

Exit Strategy for Investors

When creating an exit strategy for stocks and investing, including how to buy stocks, there are different metrics you can use to determine when to get out. For example, say you buy 100 shares of XYZ stock. You could plan your exit strategy based on:

• Earning target return from the investment

• Realizing a maximum loss on the investment

• How long you want to stay invested

Say your goal is to earn a 10% return on the 100 shares you purchased. Once you reach that 10% threshold you may decide to exit while the market is up and sell your shares at a profit. Or, you may set your maximum loss threshold at 5%. If the stock dips and hits that 5% mark, you could sell to head off further losses.

You may also use time as your guide for making an exit strategy for stocks. For instance, if you’re 30 years old now and favor a buy-and-hold strategy, you may plan to make your exit years down the line. On the other hand, if you’re interested in short-term gains, you may have a much shorter window in which to complete your exit strategy.

Exit strategies can work for more than just stock investments. For instance, you may have invested in crowdfunding investments, such as real estate crowdfunding or peer-to-peer lending. Both types of investments typically have a set holding period that you can build into your exit plan.

Exit Strategy for Business Owners

An exit strategy for business owners can take different forms, depending on the nature of the business. For instance, if you run a family-owned business then your exit strategy plan might revolve around your eventual retirement. If you have a fixed retirement date in mind your exit plan could specify that you will transfer ownership of the business to your children or sell it to another person or company.

Another possibility for an exit strategy may involve selling off assets and closing the business altogether. This is something a business owner may consider if the business is not turning a profit, and it looks increasingly unlikely that it will. Liquidation can allow a business owner to repay their creditors and walk away from a failed business without having to file bankruptcy.

Exit Strategy for Startups

With startups and larger companies, exit strategies can be more complex. Examples of exit strategy plans may include:

• Launching an IPO to allow one or more founders to make an exit

• A merger or acquisition that allows for a transfer of ownership

• Selling the company

• Liquidating assets and shutting the company down

If a founder is ready to move on to their next project, they can use an IPO to leave the company intact while extricating themselves from it. And angel investors or venture capitalists who invested in the company early on also have an opportunity to sell their shares.

Startup exit strategies can also create possible opportunities for some investors. IPO investing allows investors to buy shares of companies when they go public.

The mechanics of using an IPO as an exit strategy can be complicated, however. There are IPO valuations and regulatory requirements to consider.

It’s important for startup founders to know how to value a business before taking it public to ensure that an IPO is successful. And early-stage investors may have to observe IPO lock-up period restrictions before they can sell their shares.

💡 Quick Tip: IPO stocks can get a lot of media hype. But savvy investors know that where there’s buzz there can also be higher-than-warranted valuations. IPO shares might spike or plunge (or both), so investing in IPOs may not be suitable for investors with short time horizons.

5 Types of Exit Strategies

There are different types of exit strategies depending on whether you’re an investor, a business owner, or a venture capitalist. Some common exit strategies include:

1. Selling Shares of Stock

Investors can use an exit strategy to set a specific goal with their investment (say, 12%), reach a certain level of profit, or determine a point at which they’ll minimize their loss if the investment loses value. Once they reach the target they’ve set, the investor can execute the exit strategy and sell their shares.

2. Mergers and Acquisitions

With this business exit strategy, another business, often a rival, buys out a business and the founder can exit and shareholders may profit. However, there are many regulatory factors to consider, such as antitrust laws.

3. Selling Assets and Closing a Business

If a business is failing, the owner may choose to liquidate all the assets, pay off debts as well as any shareholders, if possible, and then close down the business. A failing business might also declare bankruptcy, but that’s typically a last resort.

4. Transferring Ownership of a Business

This exit strategy may be used with a family-run business. The owner may formulate an exit plan that allows him to transfer the business to a relative or sell it at a particular time so that he or she can retire or do something else.

5. Launching an IPO

By going public with an IPO, the founder of a startup or other company can leave the company if they choose to, while leaving the business intact. As noted, using an IPO as an exit strategy can be quite complicated for business founders and investors because of regulatory requirements, IPO valuations, and lock-up period restrictions.

Why Exit Strategies Are Important

Exit strategies matter because they offer a measure of predictability in a business or investment setting. If you own a business, for example, having an exit strategy in place that allows you to retire on schedule means you’re not having to work longer than you planned or want to.

An exit strategy for investors can help with staying focused on an end goal, rather than following the crowd, succumbing to emotions, or attempting to time the market. For example, if you go into an investment knowing that your exit plan is designed to limit your losses to 5%, you’ll know ahead of time when you should sell.

Using an exit strategy can prevent doubling or tripling losses that could occur when staying in an investment in the hopes that it will eventually turn around. Exit strategies can also keep you from staying invested too long in an investment that’s doing well. The market moves in cycles and what goes up eventually comes down.

If you’re on a winning streak with a particular stock, you may be tempted to stay invested indefinitely. But having an exit strategy and a set end date for cashing out could help you avoid losses if volatility sends the stock’s price spiraling.

How To Develop an Exit Strategy Plan

Developing an exit strategy may look different, depending on whether it involves an investment or business situation. But the fundamentals are the same, in that it’s important to consider:

• What form an exit will take (i.e. liquidation, IPO, selling shares, etc.)

• Whether an exit is results-based or time-based (i.e. realizing a 10% return, reaching your target retirement date, etc.)

• Key risk factors that may influence outcomes

• Reasons and goals for pursuing an exit strategy

If you’re an individual investor, you may need to formulate an exit plan for each investment you own. For instance, how you exit from a stock investment may be different from how you sell off bonds. And if you’re taking on riskier investments, such as cryptocurrency, your exit strategy may need to account for the additional volatility involved.

For business owners and founders, exit strategy planning may be a group discussion that involves partners, members of the board, or other individuals who may have an interest in the sale, transfer, or IPO of a company. In either situation, developing an exit strategy is something that’s best done sooner, rather than later.

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Investing can help you build wealth for the long-term and an exit strategy is an important part of the plan. It allows you to decide ahead of time how and when you’ll get out of an exit, and could help you lock in returns or minimize losses.

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FAQ

What are different exit strategies?

Examples of some different exit strategies include selling shares of a stock once an investor realizes a certain return or profit, transferring ownership of a family business so an owner can retire, or selling all the assets and closing down a failing business.

What are the most common exit strategies?

The most common exit strategies depend on whether you’re an investor, the owner of an established business, or the founder of a startup. For investors, the most common exit strategy is to sell shares of stock once they reach a certain target or profit level. For owners of an established business, the most common exit strategy is mergers and acquisitions, because doing so is often favorable to shareholders. For founders of startups, a common exit strategy is an initial public offering (IPO).

What is the simplest exit strategy?

For an investor, the simplest exit strategy is to sell shares of stock once they reach a certain profit or target level of return. At that point they can sell their shares for more money than they paid for them.

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Sep

2023

What Is Asset Allocation?

By Samuel Becker | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

Asset allocation is the practice of investing across asset classes in a portfolio in order to balance the different potential risks and rewards. The three main asset classes are typically stocks, bonds, and cash.

Asset allocation is closely tied with portfolio diversification. Diversification means spreading one’s money across a range of assets. In a general sense, it’s like taking the age-old advice of not putting all your eggs in one basket. An investor can’t avoid risk entirely, but diversifying their investments can help mitigate the risk that one asset class poses.

In addition to stocks, bonds and cash, some investors also allocate money into real estate, a range of commodities, private-equity or hedge funds, as well as even cryptocurrencies. Determining what kind of asset allocation makes the most sense for you depends on personal goals, time horizon, and risk tolerance.

Here’s a deeper dive on how asset allocation works.

Common Assets

The most common assets you can invest in are:

• Stocks: Stocks can be volatile, with the market going up and down, but they can also offer a higher return than bonds over the long run.

• Bonds: Bonds, such as Treasuries or municipal bonds, can be lower risk because they’re backed by government entities, but they also offer lower returns. There are higher-yield corporate bonds, which have greater returns and risk, but also tend to be less volatile than stocks.

• Cash or cash equivalents :This includes money in savings accounts or money market accounts, as well as certificates of deposit or Treasury bills. Obviously, the returns on these are very low but they’re also very secure. The biggest concern with cash investments is if inflation outpaces the return, then you technically could be losing money (e.g. future purchasing power).

What Factors Determine Your Asset Allocation?

There are three basic factors that will affect your asset allocation — your goals, your risk tolerance, and your time horizon.

• Goals. Your goals may be short term, such as adopting a child, starting a business, or saving for a down payment on a house in the next year or two. Or they may be long term, like planning ahead for that child’s education or saving for your retirement.

• Risk tolerance. Your risk tolerance is how much volatility — or ups and downs in the market — you can tolerate. This factor is important to get right. If you take on more risk than you’re comfortable with, and the market starts to drop, you might panic and sell investments at an inopportune time.

• Time horizon. Finally, your time horizon is the amount of time you have to invest before you need to achieve your goal. This factor can help you determine how much risk you’re comfortable with and influence your portfolio allocation. For example, if you have a long horizon there is more time to ride out the ups and downs in the market, and as a result, your risk tolerance may be higher.

You can see how these three factors come together to determine your asset allocation. If you have a short-term financial goal and will need your money relatively quickly — for example, if you’re about to buy that house you’ve been saving for — your risk tolerance will likely be lower, as you don’t want a market downturn to take a bite out of your investments just when you need to cash them out.

On the other hand, if you have a greater tolerance for risk — and if you think you may need more money for a down payment — you may choose a more aggressive allocation (for instance, tilting toward stocks) — in the hope of seeing more growth.

What’s a Good Asset Allocation Strategy?

The best asset allocation to meet your financial goals depends on a number of factors, most importantly your timeframe and your risk tolerance. For example, if you’re very far away from retirement, then you may be able to handle more risk in your retirement portfolio. But if you’re investing for your teenage kids’ college education, then that’s a shorter time frame and you probably shouldn’t take as many risks.

Your risk tolerance will also affect how you react to ups and downs in the market. Multiple studies have correlated the frequency with which you check your portfolio to losses over time — the more you stress over it, the more likely you are to pull your money out when you should just wait and stick with it.

So if you’re going to be someone who worries about every little blip in your investment portfolio, then you might need less risky investments. No investment is without risk, but you can spread the risk out across different assets and asset classes. But in general, higher-risk investments often have higher returns.

The 100 Rule

A common rule of thumb is known as The 100 Rule: Subtract your age from 100 and that’s the percentage of your portfolio that should be invested in stocks. For example, if you’re 25, then the 100 rule would suggest that 75% of your portfolio be in stocks and 25% in safer investments, like bonds, Treasurys, cash or money market accounts.

Target date funds are funds that more or less follow this style of rule — automatically adjusting the make-up of stocks vs. bonds as you near your target retirement date.

However, there are some caveats to this rule of thumb — people are living longer, every person’s situation may be different, and this is really only an asset allocation suggestion for retirement, not other financial goals you might have. Some financial advisors have even adjusted it to “The 110 or 120 Rule” because of increases in life expectancy.

What Is Risk Tolerance–Based Asset Allocation?

Risk tolerance–based asset allocation involves shaping your portfolio based on the level of risk you’re most comfortable with. For example, if you fit into the aggressive investor risk tolerance profile, that means you may commit a larger share of your portfolio to stocks and other higher-risk investments.

On the other hand, you may have a smaller asset allocation to stocks if you lean more toward the conservative end of the spectrum. The style of investor you are will likely shift throughout your lifetime. As discussed above, different life stages bring new concerns and priorities to mind, and this will naturally change how you view your asset allocation.

One thing that’s important to understand when basing asset allocation on risk tolerance is how that aligns with your risk capacity. Your risk capacity is the amount of risk you must take to achieve your investment goals. This is important to understand for choosing assets based on risk tolerance to find the right portfolio allocation.

If you have a low risk tolerance, but a higher risk capacity is required to achieve the investment goals you’ve set, then you may be at risk of falling short of those goals.

Meanwhile, having a higher risk tolerance but a lower risk capacity could result in taking on more risk than you need to in order to achieve your investment goals. Finding the right balance between the two is key when using a risk tolerance based asset allocation strategy.

How to Rebalance Asset Allocation

The other factor to consider is when to rebalance your portfolio in order to stay in line with your asset allocation goals. Over time, the different assets in your portfolio have different returns, so the amount you have invested in each changes—one stock might have high enough returns that it grows and makes up a significant portion of your stock investments.

If, for example, you’re aiming for 70% in stocks and 30% in bonds, but your stock investments grow faster until they make up 80% of your portfolio, then it might be time to rebalance. Rebalancing just means adjusting your investments to return to your desired portfolio make-up and asset allocation.

There are many rebalancing strategies, but you can choose to rebalance at set times — monthly, quarterly, or annually — or when an asset changes a certain amount from your desired allocation (for example, if any one asset is more then 5% off your target make-up).

In order to rebalance, you simply sell the investments that are more than their target and buy the ones that have fallen under their target until each is back to the weight you want.

The Takeaway

The effect of asset allocation has been studied over the years and while the findings varied, one thing has remained constant—how you allocate your money to different assets is vitally important in determining what kind of returns you see.

However, it’s more than just diversifying within each asset class—it’s also about diversifying your entire investment portfolio across asset classes and styles. In general, for instance, stocks are considered riskier than bonds—though there are also different kinds of bonds.

There are many different kinds of funds with different asset allocation, and a fund doesn’t guarantee diversification—especially if it’s a fund that invests in just one sector or market. That’s why it’s important to understand what you want out of your portfolio and find an asset allocation to meet your goals — which may require professional help.

SoFi Invest® offers Automated Investing for those who need help finding the right mix of assets in their portfolio. Investors who want to pick and choose stocks, ETFs and fractional shares themselves can take advantage of the Active Investing platform.

Get started with a SoFi Invest account today.

FAQ

How often should I review and rebalance my asset allocation?

You can review and rebalance your portfolio and asset allocation at any time, but you may want to set regular check-ins, whether they’re quarterly, biannually, or annually. One general rule to consider is rebalancing your portfolio whenever an asset allocation changes by 5% or more.

What factors should I consider when determining my asset allocation?

There are three main factors that will affect your asset allocation. First are your goals and whether they’re short term like saving for a house, or long term like retirement. Second is your risk tolerance, or how many ups and downs in the market you can live with. Risk tolerance is important because you’ll want to take on only as much risk as you can tolerate. Otherwise, you might panic during a market downturn and sell investments at a loss. The third factor to consider for asset allocation is your time horizon, or the amount of time you have to invest before you need to achieve your goal. This factor can help you determine how much risk you’re comfortable with.

How can I assess my risk tolerance and align it with my asset allocation strategy?

With risk tolerance–based asset allocation, you shape your portfolio based on the level of risk you’re most comfortable with. That said, the type of investor you are will likely change through the decades. Different life stages come with new priorities, and those will influence how you view your asset allocation.

When you base your asset allocation on risk tolerance, it’s important to understand how it aligns with your risk capacity, or the amount of risk you must take to achieve your investment goals. For instance, if you have a low risk tolerance, but a higher risk capacity is required to achieve your investment goals, you might fall short of your goals. Finding the right balance between the two is critical when you’re using a risk tolerance based asset allocation strategy.

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Aug

2023

What Is the VIX Volatility Index? How Investors Can Use It

By Rebecca Lake | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

The Cboe Global Markets Volatility Index, known as the VIX for short, is a tool used to measure implied volatility in the market. In simple terms, the VIX index tells investors how professional investors feel about the market at any given time.

This can be helpful for gauging and assessing risk in order to capitalize on anticipated market movements. Depending on which way the VIX is trending, it may throw off buy or sell signals to investors.

The volatility index is sometimes referred to as the “fear index” or “fear gauge” because traders rely on it as an indicator of the fearfulness of sentiment surrounding the market. While not a crystal ball, understanding the VIX and how it works can provide a useful predictor of investor behavior.

What Is the VIX Index?

The VIX Index is a real-time calculation designed to measure expected volatility in the U.S. stock market. One of the most recognized barometers of fluctuations in financial markets, the VIX measures how much volatility investing experts expect to see in the market over the next 30 days. This measurement reflects real-time quotes of S&P 500 Index (SPX) call option and put option prices.

Stock volatility represents the up and down price movements of various financial instruments that occur over a set period of time. The larger and more frequent price swings, the higher the volatility.

Implied volatility reflects market sentiment and which way it expects a security or financial instrument’s price to move.

💡 Quick Tip: All investments come with some degree of risk — and some are riskier than others. Before investing online, decide on your investment goals and how much risk you want to take.

How Does the VIX Work?

The VIX Index is a forward-looking trend indicator used to quantify expectations for future volatility. Cboe designed the index to estimate expected volatility by aggregating weighted prices of S&P 500 Index puts and calls over a wide range of strike prices.

In options trading, the strike price represents the price at which a trader can exercise an option. Call options give an investor the right to buy shares of an underlying security; put options give them the right to sell shares of an underlying security.

The Cboe Options Exchange (Cboe Options) calculates the VIX Index using standard SPX options and weekly SPX options listed on the exchange. Standard SPX options expire on the third Friday of every month. Weekly SPX options expire on all other Fridays. VIX index calculations include:

• SPX options with Friday expirations

• SPX options with more than 23 days and less than 37 days to their Friday expiration

The index weights these options to establish a constant-maturity, 30-day measure of the amount of volatility the S&P 500 Index is likely to produce. The VIX index works differently from the Black Scholes model, which estimates theoretical value for derivatives and other financial instruments based on a number of factors, including volatility, time, and the price of underlying assets.

The VIX is one of seven inputs used by CNN to determine its Fear and Greed Index.

What Does the VIX Tell You?

In securities trading, the VIX index is a measure of market sentiment. The volatility index has a negative correlation with stock market returns. If the VIX moves up that means investor fear is on the rise. The S&P 500 tends to see price drops in that scenario as investors may begin to sell off securities to hedge against expanded volatility that may be on the horizon.

On the other hand, when the VIX declines, that could signal a decline in investor fear as well. In that situation, the S&P may be experiencing lower levels of volatility and higher prices as investors buy and sell with confidence. This doesn’t necessarily mean that prices will remain high, however, as volatility is fluid and can increase or decrease sharply due to changing market conditions.

The volatility index can be read as a chart, with each day’s reading plotted out. Generally, a reading of 0 to 12 represents low volatility in the markets, while a range of 13 to 19 is normal volatility.

Once the VIX reaches 20 or above, that means you can typically expect volatility to be higher over the coming 30 days. For perspective, the VIX notched a 52-week high of 34.88 and a 52-week low of 12.73 as of August 11, 2023.

Example of VIX in Action

The beginning of 2020 saw a gradual rise in the level of concern surrounding the coronavirus and its potential to become a public health crisis. As more cases appeared in the United States, the financial markets began to react. The VIX index, which had hovered around 20 or below since January 2019, began to climb in the third week of February. By March 16, it had reached a peak of 82.69 and the Dow Jones had dropped 12.93%.

After the market crashed, the VIX began to slowly decline. By early November 2021, the volatility index was once again implying volatility on par with pre-pandemic levels, measuring 18.58 as of November 24.

💡 Quick Tip: When you’re actively investing in stocks, it’s important to ask what types of fees you might have to pay. For example, brokers may charge a flat fee for trading stocks, or require some commission for every trade. Taking the time to manage investment costs can be beneficial over the long term.

How Investors Can Trade the VIX

Investors interested in trading the VIX index have a few options for doing so. Cboe offers both VIX options and VIX futures as a starting point.

VIX options are not exactly the same as traditional stock options. They trade nearly 24 hours a day, five days a week during extended trading hours. Investors can trade a call option or put option to make speculative investments based on anticipated volatility in the markets.

Cboe introduced VIX futures in 2004 to allow investors to trade a liquid volatility product using the VIX index as a guide. The difference between options and futures lies largely in the execution.

With options trading, the investor has the right but not the obligation to buy or sell a particular investment. A futures contract, on the other hand, requires the buyer to purchase shares and the seller to sell them at an agreed-upon price.

With VIX options or VIX futures, you’re making investments based on what you expect to happen in the markets based on how the volatility index is trending. Options and futures are speculative investments that carry more risk than some other types of investments. If you’re looking for another way to trade the VIX, you might look to VIX exchange-traded funds (ETFs) or volatility ETFs instead.

Volatility ETFs

Exchange-traded funds hold a basket of securities but they trade on an exchange like a stock. VIX ETFs and volatility ETFs often hold futures contracts or track the movements of a volatility index.

Choosing volatility or VIX ETFs in lieu of trading VIX options or VIX futures directly doesn’t eliminate risk. But it can help you to spread the risk out over a diverse group of investments. If you’re already trading stocks and other securities through an online brokerage account, VIX or volatility ETFs may be included as an investment option.

The Takeaway

The volatility index or VIX is a highly useful tool for measuring market sentiment. While it’s impossible to predict exactly which way the market will move, the VIX index can help with interpreting implied volatility when making investment decisions.

That’s information you can use whether you’re trading options or less risky investments such as stocks or ETFs.

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Aug

2023

What Is the Ebitda Formula?

By AJ Smith | Growing Wealth, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

EBITDA is an acronym that stands for earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The EBITDA formula is a common way for companies to assess their performance. By looking at earnings without deducting taxes, interest, or other expenses, it’s easier to assess business results and compare them to other companies in the same industry.

The EBITDA formula can also be useful for investors. When investing in the stock market, it’s important to research companies before buying shares of their stock, and EBITDA is a basic measure of profitability that can help investors gauge an organization’s performance.

What Is EBITDA, and How Is EBITDA calculated?

The EBITDA formula is a way of considering a company’s net income — without deducting costs like interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. The idea is to create a more apples-to-apples view of how different companies’ perform. Two similar companies in the same industry could have very different tax rates or different capital structures (which can impact debt, and therefore interest paid), making it hard to compare one to the other.

By not deducting certain expenses that aren’t related to performance, EBITDA helps level the playing field and help investors evaluate companies.

EBITDA is also relatively easy to calculate. The information can be found on a company’s balance sheet and income statement. Here’s a quick breakdown of each letter of the acronym, and why it matters in the EBITDA formula:

Earnings

Earnings are a company’s net income over a specific period of time like a fiscal year or a quarter. This number can be found on the company’s income statement; it’s essentially the bottom line, after subtracting all expenses from total revenue.

Interest

This refers to any interest that the company pays on loans and debts. In some cases interest might include interest income, in which case you’d use the total interest amount (interest income – interest paid). Interest is added back to total earnings in the EBITDA formula because the amount of interest paid depends on the types of loans and funding a company has. This number can muddy the waters, when trying to compare two companies that might have very different financing situations.

Taxes

Federal, state, and local taxes are also added back because tax rates depend on where a company is based geographically, and where they conduct business. Thus, taxes aren’t something that a company has much control over, so they aren’t an indicator of performance.

Depreciation & Amortization

Depreciation calculates the decreasing value of tangible physical assets or capital expenditures over time (e.g., equipment, vehicles, buildings, etc.). Amortization is a way to account for the expenses of non-tangible assets like intellectual property, like patents and copyrights.

Depreciation and amortization are added back to earnings because they are non-cash expenses. As such, they don’t necessarily reflect on a company’s overall performance or profitability.

💡 Quick Tip: Before opening any investment account, consider what level of risk you are comfortable with. If you’re not sure, start with more conservative investments, and then adjust your portfolio as you learn more.

EBITDA Formula and Calculation

EBITDA can be calculated simply by adding a company’s interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization to net income. Another method is to add a company’s operating income — or Earnings Before Interest and Taxes (EBIT) to its non-cash expenses of depreciation and amortization.

Earnings, or net income, can be calculated as follows:

Net income = Revenue – Cost of Goods Sold – Expenses

How to calculate EBITDA

EBITDA = Net Income + Taxes + Interest Expense + Depreciation & Amortization

EBITDA = Operating income (EBIT) + Depreciation & Amortization

For example, if a company has $4,500,000 in revenue and $500,000 in expenses, their operating income (EBIT) is $4,000,000.

If the company’s assets have depreciated by $100,000 and they have an amortization amount of $75,000, the calculation would be as follows:

EBITDA = $4,000,000 (EBIT) + $100,000 (D) + $75,000 (A)

EBITDA = $4,175,000

It’s possible for EBITDA to be negative if a company has significant losses within a particular quarter or year.

A more specific EBITDA formula is LTM EBITDA, or Last Twelve Months EBITDA, also called Trailing Twelve Months EBITDA (TTM). This calculation finds EBITDA for only the past year.

How Does EBITDA Differ From Other Measurements of Income?

There are a number of different ways to view an organization’s income, each with their pros and cons. Depending on which lens you use, or which formula, one metric can provide insights into a company’s performance that another won’t. Here are a few common measurements of company income:

• Cash Flow is an analysis of the amount of money coming into a business versus the amount of money going out. Because of timing issues with sales, you can be profitable without being cash flow positive and vice versa.

• EBIT is also known as operating income, as discussed above. EBIT adds back the expenses related to interest and taxes, but keeps deductions for depreciation and amortization to give a clearer picture of a company’s earnings inclusive of actual operating costs.

• EBT is another variation on EBIT. It allows for interest expenses, but eliminates the impact of taxes — since a company’s tax burden has nothing to do with its performance.

• Net Income appears at the bottom of an income statement, after subtracting all business expenses (including interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) from total revenue.

• Revenue is also called gross income. It specifically refers to the money a company earns from sales. As such, it’s really only a window into one aspect of the business’s performance.

Understanding company performance can be a complex endeavor, and it’s best to use a combination of metrics that are most meaningful for that company or industry.

Why Is EBITDA Important?

The EBITDA formula is useful because it provides a view of company profitability, without the impact of capital expenditures and financing. By using the EBITDA formula, analysts can compare companies within an industry and investors can quickly use a technical analysis to evaluate companies they might want to invest in.

In that way, EBITDA can also be a tool used by financial advisors to help their clients make investment decisions.

It’s also useful for business owners to calculate their EBITDA each year to see how their company is performing. This is especially important if they are looking to take out a loan or seek investment. Business owners can use the EBITDA formula to gain insight into operating performance, how their company stands in relation to others in the same industry, and the company’s ability to meet its obligations and grow.

What Makes a Good EBITDA?

EBITDA is a measure of a company’s performance, so higher EBITDA is better than lower EBITDA when comparing two or more organizations in the same sector. This is important, because companies that vary in size or operate in different sectors can, of course, also vary widely in their financial performance. So one way to determine whether a company has “good” EBIDTA is to compare it to others of a similar size in the same industry.

Here are two other ways to gauge whether a company’s EBIDTA is good or not.

The EBITDA Coverage Ratio

To add more helpful information to the EBITDA calculation, the EBITDA Coverage Ratio compares EBITDA to debt and lease payments.

The EBITDA coverage ratio calculates a company’s ability to pay off lease payments, debts, and other liabilities.

The calculation for the EBITDA coverage ratio is:

EBITDA Coverage Ratio = (EBITDA + Lease Payments) / (Interest Payments + Principal Payments + Lease Payments)

A ratio equal to or greater than 1 indicates that a company will have a better ability to pay off liabilities. If the ratio is lower, a company may not be able to pay off its debts. The higher the ratio, the more solvent a company is. The current average coverage ratio is 2.

💡 Quick Tip: Are self-directed brokerage accounts cost efficient? They can be, because they offer the convenience of being able to buy stocks online without using a traditional full-service broker (and the typical broker fees).

EBITDA Margins

Another EBITDA calculation investors can do to learn about a company’s performance is the EBITDA Margin calculation. This formula compares annual cash profits to sales. It’s a useful indicator to find out if a company’s EBITDA is ‘good’ or not. The EBITDA Margin calculation is:

EBITDA Margin = EBITDA / Total Revenue

The resulting number is a percentage that shows what portion of revenue was able to be converted into profit within a year. The higher this percentage is, the better a company is performing because it means their expenses aren’t eating into their profits. In general, an EBITDA margin of 60% or higher is considered a good number.

Downsides of the EBITDA Formula

Although the EBITDA formula is a useful tool for investors, it also has some drawbacks. For example: EBIDTA is considered a “non-GAAP” measure, meaning it doesn’t fall under generally accepted accounting principles (a set of rules issued by the Financial Accounting Standards Board and procedures commonly followed by many businesses). This also means that the way EBIDTA is calculated isn’t wholly standardized.

Thus, companies also may not include the same information in each report, and they aren’t required to record all information that may be relevant to the equation. For these reasons, it’s best to calculate EBITDA along with other types of evaluations, such as net income and debt payments.

Companies with a low net income may use the EBITDA formula to make themselves look better since the EBITDA number will likely be higher than their income.

Or, because EBITDA tends to obscure the impact of debt and capital investments, a company that’s spending heavily on development costs, or has incurred a lot of debt, may look more robust than it is.

Also, the formula doesn’t work well with certain types of companies, such as companies that have a need to constantly upgrade their equipment.

The Takeaway

Comparing companies you may want to invest in can take a lot of time and technical analysis. If you’re choosing your first stocks, the amount of information and choices can be overwhelming.

EBITDA is one measure of company performance that can be useful, because it takes net income and then removes certain factors that can be confounding: interest paid or earned; federal, state, and local taxes; the impact of capital depreciation and amortization.

For investors interested in learning more about specific companies and building a stock portfolio, opening an online brokerage account can be a good way to get started with investing.

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Averaging Down Stocks: Meaning, Example, Pros & Cons

What Is Averaging Down?

Example of Averaging Down

Potential of Gain Averaging Down

Potential Risk of Averaging Down

Why Average Down on Stock

1. Value Investing

2. Dollar-Cost Averaging

3. Loss Mitigation

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Pros and Cons of Averaging Down

Pros of Averaging Down

Cons of Averaging Down

Tips for Averaging Down on Stock

The Takeaway

Exit Strategy for Investors: Definition and Examples

What Is an Exit Strategy?

How Exit Strategies Work

When Should an Exit Strategy Be Used?

Exit Strategy Examples

Exit Strategy for Investors

Exit Strategy for Business Owners

Exit Strategy for Startups

5 Types of Exit Strategies

1. Selling Shares of Stock

2. Mergers and Acquisitions

3. Selling Assets and Closing a Business

4. Transferring Ownership of a Business

5. Launching an IPO

Why Exit Strategies Are Important

How To Develop an Exit Strategy Plan

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FAQ

What are different exit strategies?

What are the most common exit strategies?

What is the simplest exit strategy?

What Is Asset Allocation?

Common Assets

What Factors Determine Your Asset Allocation?

What’s a Good Asset Allocation Strategy?

The 100 Rule

What Is Risk Tolerance–Based Asset Allocation?

How to Rebalance Asset Allocation

The Takeaway

FAQ

How often should I review and rebalance my asset allocation?

What factors should I consider when determining my asset allocation?

How can I assess my risk tolerance and align it with my asset allocation strategy?

What Is the VIX Volatility Index? How Investors Can Use It

What Is the VIX Index?

How Does the VIX Work?

What Does the VIX Tell You?

Example of VIX in Action

How Investors Can Trade the VIX

Volatility ETFs

The Takeaway

What Is the Ebitda Formula?

What Is EBITDA, and How Is EBITDA calculated?

Earnings

Interest

Taxes

Depreciation & Amortization

EBITDA Formula and Calculation

How to calculate EBITDA

How Does EBITDA Differ From Other Measurements of Income?

Why Is EBITDA Important?

What Makes a Good EBITDA?

The EBITDA Coverage Ratio

EBITDA Margins

Downsides of the EBITDA Formula

The Takeaway

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