Testing the Waters: What It Means in an IPO

Testing the Waters: What It Means in an IPO

Testing the waters in the initial public offering (IPO) process allows companies and related parties that are looking at going public to gauge how successful their prospective IPO would be — without going through the actual process of going public.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) voted in 2019 to adopt a new rule to allow companies interested in going public to test the waters (TTW). Specifically, the SEC formally rolled out Rule 163B under the Securities Act on December 3, 2019.

The IPO process can be long, costly, and risky for some companies, and thus some companies can be reluctant to try going public. But the ability to test the waters by communicating with potential investors, gauging their interest, and examining how an IPO would be received, is valuable before having to go all-in on a public offering.

Key Points

•   Testing the Waters (TTW) is an SEC rule that allows companies to gauge the success of a prospective IPO without going through the actual process.

•   The JOBS Act of 2012 allowed small businesses to communicate with Qualified Institutional Buyers (QIBs) and Institutional Accredited Investors (IAIs).

•   Testing the Waters allows companies to assess investor interest, explain the direction of the company, and strengthen areas of weakness.

•   The expanded rule for all issuers allows for greater transparency and communication between IPO-hopeful and the markets, as well as investors.

•   Investors have access to additional information about a company’s expected IPO and more time to decide whether to invest.

Testing the Waters During the IPO Process

Starting in 2012, testing the waters was available only for emerging growth companies, also known as EGCs. In 2019, testing the waters was extended to all issuers to increase the chance of a company successfully completing an initial public offering (IPO), and to encourage issuers to enter the public equity markets.

So, what does testing the waters mean, and how does it work? In effect, testing the waters is a way for issuers to dip their toes in the water, so to speak, and gauge the temperature before fully jumping into the IPO process.

When the new SEC rule was proposed and adopted in September 2019, Chairman Jay Clayton said, “Investors and companies alike will benefit from test-the-waters communications, including increasing the likelihood of successful public securities offerings.”

Details of the TTW rule

The TTW rule allows issuers to assess market interest in a possible IPO (or other registered securities offering) by being able to discuss the IPO with certain institutional investors before, or after, the filing of a registration statement.

Generally, issuers set up TWW meetings with investors after the issuer has filed with the SEC. They could potentially speak with specific issuers before filing with the SEC, but issuers typically want to align on the first round of SEC comments and then have a clear direction when speaking with potential investors.

Example of Testing the Waters

In late spring of 2022, a tech company that created a platform for grocery delivery, decided to test the waters for a potential IPO.

There were good reasons for the company to be cautious. The market had seen a steep drop since the beginning of the year, and investors had largely cooled on tech stocks, with IPOs taking a noticeable hit year-over-year.

Thanks to taking this step, the company was projected to IPO by the end of 2022, using the interim period to adjust their valuation and their path forward, given the competition in the space.

To sum it up, testing the waters allows companies to see what investors say, answer questions, and potentially identify areas of weakness that could be strengthened.

💡 Quick Tip: Access to IPO shares before they trade on public exchanges has usually been available only to large institutional investors. That’s changing now, and some brokerages offer pre-listing IPO investing to qualified investors.

Purpose of Testing the Waters

Testing the waters has two chief aims: The first is communicating with potential investors to explain the direction of the company and gathering their feedback. The second is to evaluate the market before having to invest large sums in an actual IPO.


💡Quick Tip: How do you decide if a certain trading platform or app is right for you? Ideally, the investment platform you choose offers the features that you need for your investment goals or strategy, e.g., an easy-to-use interface, data analysis, educational tools.

Communication with Potential Investors

In addition to giving issuers a chance to see whether their offering will be successful, TWW allows companies to communicate highly specific information.

Some industries call for greater detail of information from investors, which makes testing the waters ever more critical.

For example, in the life sciences industry, testing the waters is popular because issuers tend to have a shorter operating history and also need to communicate detailed scientific information to their potential investors. For these types of industries and issuers, testing the waters is highly beneficial.

Cost-Effective Market Evaluation

Testing the waters allows issuers to determine whether it makes sense for them to devote the time and resources to filing an IPO. Before the TWW rule, many companies avoided the IPO process because of the cost and not having clarity around investor demand.

Testing the waters takes away some of those risks and provides more information as a company enters the IPO. In a sense, it allows for a company to evaluate the market, and for the market, in turn, to evaluate the company exploring an IPO.

What the JOBS Act Meant for Testing the Waters

In 2012, Congress under President Obama passed the Jumpstart Our Business Startups Act (also known as the JOBS Act) to revitalize the small business sector. The JOBS Act, which created Section 5(d) of the Securities Act, made it easier for small businesses, also known as emerging growth companies or EGCs, to gain access to funding. It removed certain barriers to capital and reduced regulation.

The enactment of the JOBS Act also allowed small businesses to communicate with potential investors — qualified institutional buyers (also known as QIBs) and institutional accredited investors (or IAIs). By communicating with potential investors before or after filing a registration statement, EGCs were given the ability to get a sense for interest in a potential offering.

With the expansion of that rule in 2019 to include all issuers, not just EGCs, more opportunity opened up for a range of businesses.

What Does This Mean for Investors?

While it makes good business sense to expand regulations and allow all businesses considering an IPO to test the waters, just what does this all mean for the average retail investor?

First, the expanded test-the-waters rule for all issuers allows companies more flexibility when determining whether to move forward with an IPO. So for investors, the expanded rule means that they have access to communication from issuers regarding upcoming IPOs. They also have more time to determine whether it’s the right investment for them.

This can be valuable for retail investors, who may benefit from having additional information about a company’s expected IPO. Investing in IPO stock can be highly risky, as IPO shares are typically quite volatile.

In short: Testing the waters gives more flexibility to both issuers and investors.

Investing in IPO Stocks

IPOs have been popular among investors and certain IPOs can generate excitement in the investor community. Prices on the day of an IPO and immediately afterward tend to produce volatile price movements, which can produce large gains or losses. Luckily, the 2019 SEC rule that allows any company to test the waters before committing to the IPO process is a boon to businesses as well as investors.

TTW, as the rule is known, allows for greater transparency and communication between the IPO-hopeful and the markets, as well as investors, prior to the full-blown IPO process. This enables companies to adjust their strategy for the IPO, and it allows investors to assess whether they want to invest.

Whether you’re curious about exploring IPOs, or interested in traditional stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), you can get started by opening an account on the SoFi Invest® brokerage platform. On SoFi Invest, eligible SoFi members have the opportunity to trade IPO shares, and there are no account minimums for those with an Active Investing account. As with any investment, it's wise to consider your overall portfolio goals in order to assess whether IPO investing is right for you, given the risks of volatility and loss.


Invest with as little as $5 with a SoFi Active Investing account.

FAQ

Is testing the waters an offer?

No, testing the waters is not an offer. Testing the waters in the IPO process allows issuers, which are corporations, investment trusts, etc., to gauge interest and investor demand for a potential IPO without actually having to go public.

What is the post-IPO quiet period?

The quiet period is a set amount of time when the company cannot share promotional publicity, forecasting, or expressing opinions about the value of the company. In an IPO, the quiet period begins when a company files registration with U.S. regulators for 25 days after the stock starts trading — and sometimes longer.

What is an analyst day in an IPO?

When planning to go public, the issuer or company meets with syndicate analysts who do not work for the issuer or the company going public. This type of meeting, also called an “analyst day,” is important because analysts create their own opinion about the issuer. They then help educate the market about the company once the transaction has launched.


Photo credit: iStock/LumiNola

SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Investing in an Initial Public Offering (IPO) involves substantial risk, including the risk of loss. Further, there are a variety of risk factors to consider when investing in an IPO, including but not limited to, unproven management, significant debt, and lack of operating history. For a comprehensive discussion of these risks please refer to SoFi Securities’ IPO Risk Disclosure Statement. IPOs offered through SoFi Securities are not a recommendation and investors should carefully read the offering prospectus to determine whether an offering is consistent with their investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation.

New offerings generally have high demand and there are a limited number of shares available for distribution to participants. Many customers may not be allocated shares and share allocations may be significantly smaller than the shares requested in the customer’s initial offer (Indication of Interest). For SoFi’s allocation procedures please refer to IPO Allocation Procedures.


Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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How to Find Upcoming IPO Stocks Before Listing Day

How to Find Upcoming IPO Stocks Before Listing Day

Accessing and purchasing a stock at its initial public offering (IPO) can seem like a VIP invite to a party. In addition to the cache of being “in the know” about potential opportunities, IPOOwing to the excitement that can accompany news of an upcoming initial public stock offering (or IPO), many investors seek ways to learn more about these companies prior to the listing day. Fortunately, there are many resources and services that track upcoming IPOs.

Using these IPO trackers, it’s possible to learn more about the status of various public offerings.

For investors interested in buying IPO stock prior to its actual public offering day, that can be more complicated. If a company launches an IPO, it means that it’s only had private investors, such as angel investors, up to that point but it’s now ready to let other investors purchase shares.

Key Points

•   It’s possible to find upcoming IPO stocks before listing day with the use of resources such as media outlets, exchanges, brokerages and financial institutions.

•   When people talk about getting IPO stock at IPO prices, they may be referring to the offer price available to a limited group of people, or the price available to all investors once the company goes public.

•   Investors who plan to wait until the unlisted stock debuts may find themselves frustrated that there is little prep time before the stock appears on the market.

•   When considering investing in a company as it goes public, investors should thoroughly vet the company and its financials and ask themselves questions such as whether they understand the business and the potential investment risks.

•   While investing in IPOs can be exciting, they can also be risky and require active management and quick decisions regarding holding or selling.

When IPOs Are Offered to People Prior to Listing Day

When people talk about getting IPO stock at IPO prices, they may be talking about two things:

•   The IPO offering price. This is a fixed price available to a limited group of people. This may include employees who were offered stock options as part of their compensation package, as well as certain investors who get access to the IPO fixed rate. This may be less than the share price set when the company goes public. All of these sales occur before trading day and can be tricky to navigate.

•   The price of new IPO stocks once the company goes public. This is the price that is available to all investors and fluctuates based on market conditions.

Buying IPOs at their offer price can take some navigation, but that does not mean it’s impossible. Typically, offer prices may be offered only to certain brokerages.

One way that buying IPOs at offer prices differs from buying stocks already in the market: Only a certain number of shares are available to each brokerage, and they may be accessible to investors who have the highest account balances or meet other suitability requirements for trading IPO shares.

The trading process is also different: Instead of simply buying the shares, an eligible investor submits an indication of interest (IOI) letter. An investor’s ultimate buy order may be limited due to availability.

In part, this system evolved to protect investors who may be interested in IPO shares because of the headlines about fortunes made overnight. In reality, many investors have lost their fortunes when the IPO has not panned out.

💡 Quick Tip: IPO stocks can get a lot of media hype. But savvy investors know that where there’s buzz there can also be higher-than-warranted valuations. IPO shares might spike or plunge (or both), so investing in IPOs may not be suitable for investors with short time horizons.

How Do You Find Upcoming IPO Stocks Before Listing Day?

Investors who plan to wait until the unlisted stock debuts may find themselves frustrated that there is little prep time before the stock appears on the market.

The secrecy prior to an initial public offering reflects several factors: One is the registration process with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The company can not publicly sell or trade its stock until the SEC deems the registration statement effective.

Once the company has filed its registration, the company enters what’s known as a “quiet period” where it must adhere to restrictions on what and how much it communicates to the public.

Any “gun jumping” or public communication that nods or hints at an upcoming IPO may violate the Securities Act. But once a company registers with the SEC investors and stock market analysts will keep an eye out for the IPO.

Recommended: What Is the IPO Process? 7 Steps to Going Public

So, beyond combing through the SEC database, how can an investor find new companies going public? There are many resources:

Media Outlets

Media outlets often report on upcoming and rumored IPOs. Reading through market news can be valuable for new and experienced investors alike, allowing them to have an enhanced perspective on how the market is evolving and which companies may be poised to IPO.

Exchanges

Exchanges, such as Nasdaq, also have trackers on upcoming IPOs, although these are IPOs likely to debut within the next several days.

Brokerage News

Brokerages and financial institutions may also report on industry news and trends and may publish IPO tracking.

Vetting Upcoming IPOs

With a range of IPOs taking place in some years, qualified investors will need to vet any potential offering before they decide to add it to their portfolio. If you’re considering investing in a company as it goes public, you’ll want to comb through all of its public documents to see whether its financials look sustainable. Then, ask yourself the following questions:

•   Do I understand the business and the potential investment risks?

•   Is the IPO underwriter a well respected, major investment firm?

•   How are other companies in this space performing?

•   Do the financials justify the IPO price and company valuation?

Recommended: How to Value a Stock

The Pros and Cons of Investing in IPOs

Access to IPO investing can be exciting. It can make an investor feel like they’re investing in dynamic companies that may be shaping the way we live and work. But they can also be risky. Some companies that may get a lot of media attention may fail to live up to investor expectations. Other companies may hit bumps in the road as they adjust to being a public company facing investor scrutiny.


💡 Quick Tip: Investment fees are assessed in different ways, including trading costs, account management fees, and possibly broker commissions. When you set up an investment account, be sure to get the exact breakdown of your “all-in costs” so you know what you’re paying.

Pros of Investing in an IPO

•   It can be exciting.

•   There’s potential for significant profits.

•   It can allow investors to put their money behind a company they may value, believe in, or otherwise want to be a part of in some small way.

Cons of Investing in an IPO

•   While there’s potential for reward, there’s also risk potential that the IPO may flop.

•   Market fluctuations may require active management and quick decisions when it comes to holding or selling.

•   The volatility of investing in an IPO may require portfolio calibration so that other investments are less volatile.

The Takeaway

While it may be possible to find upcoming IPO stock before listing day (more here), these shares are usually available only in certain circumstances to qualified investors. That’s partly owing to the careful regulation of the initial public offering process, but it also helps to protect eager investors from getting caught up in media hype and making a potentially risky investment on the spur of the moment.

Whether you’re curious about exploring IPOs, or interested in traditional stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), you can get started by opening an account on the SoFi Invest® brokerage platform. On SoFi Invest, eligible SoFi members have the opportunity to trade IPO shares, and there are no account minimums for those with an Active Investing account. As with any investment, it's wise to consider your overall portfolio goals in order to assess whether IPO investing is right for you, given the risks of volatility and loss.

Invest with as little as $5 with a SoFi Active Investing account.


Photo credit: iStock/solidcolours

SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Investing in an Initial Public Offering (IPO) involves substantial risk, including the risk of loss. Further, there are a variety of risk factors to consider when investing in an IPO, including but not limited to, unproven management, significant debt, and lack of operating history. For a comprehensive discussion of these risks please refer to SoFi Securities’ IPO Risk Disclosure Statement. IPOs offered through SoFi Securities are not a recommendation and investors should carefully read the offering prospectus to determine whether an offering is consistent with their investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation.

New offerings generally have high demand and there are a limited number of shares available for distribution to participants. Many customers may not be allocated shares and share allocations may be significantly smaller than the shares requested in the customer’s initial offer (Indication of Interest). For SoFi’s allocation procedures please refer to IPO Allocation Procedures.


Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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Shorting an IPO: When Can You Do It?

Shorting an IPO: When Can You Do It?

IPO stocks can be sold short once they are trading on public markets, known as the secondary market.

While traders can sell short IPO shares, investors allocated IPO shares may have to wait for a lock-up period to expire before they can sell.

Selling short an IPO on the listing day also has extra challenges you should know about. This article will cover how it works, when to do it, and any possible complications you might encounter in the process.

Key Points

•   It’s possible to short an IPO once it starts trading on the public market, with some limitations.

•   IPO stocks are heavily regulated and it can be difficult to borrow the shares needed to do a short sale.

•   Investors should do their due diligence before investing in any kind of stock, as there are no guarantees.

Can You Short an IPO?

IPO stocks can be sold short once they are trading on public markets, known as the secondary market. Shorting IPO shares on the listing day can be done, though there are some challenges.

Shorting a Stock

Shorting a stock is a strategy traders use to profit from a decline in the price of a stock. Any stock available for trading can be shorted. It is risky considering that the stock price can only go to zero — in which case a profit of 100% is realized (not including taxes and commissions). The risk is that the stock price increases. There is no theoretical limit to how high a share price can go.

A short sale happens when you borrow a stock and repay it in the future. The goal is to see the stock drop in value. When you sell short, you buy the shares, immediately sell them, then buy them back later. You want to buy the shares back at a price less than at which you lent them.

There is a fee for borrowing when selling shares short. That cost can be as low as 0.3% (on an annualized basis) for stocks with very little short interest, but it can soar to 30% for hot stocks with extremely high short interest. You might also be required to post collateral to sell short.

For example, let’s say you want to sell short shares of XYZ stock that currently trade at $100 per share. You enter an order to sell short the shares and you receive $100 per share. A month later, the stock price has dropped to $80, and you decide to close your short position by repurchasing the shares in the market. You buy back the shares for $80. Your profit on those stocks is $100 – $80 = $20.


💡 Quick Tip: Investment fees are assessed in different ways, including trading costs, account management fees, and possibly broker commissions. When you set up an investment account, be sure to get the exact breakdown of your “all-in costs” so you know what you’re paying.

Challenges of Shorting an IPO

While shorting an IPO on listing day is allowed, there are practical limitations that could make it difficult.

A critical facet to shorting IPO shares is being able to borrow the shares from a brokerage firm. A broker needs an inventory of stock from which to lend and a company often only takes a small part of the company public, which can limit shorting opportunities. On IPO day, the two primary entities holding an inventory of shares are the underwriting banks and investors (both institutional and retail).

The IPO underwriters cannot lend shares for short sale for 30 days, per U.S. SEC rules. Investors can lend out their shares to investors seeking to short the IPO stock. That said, some shareholders might be unwilling to lend their shares.

IPO stocks are considered high-risk investments, and while some companies may present an opportunity for growth, there are no guarantees. Like investing in any other type of stock, it’s essential for investors to do their due diligence.

The Takeaway

You can short an IPO once it starts trading on the public market. But it’s worth remembering that shorting carries risk and there might be a high cost to borrow shares. In addition, IPO stocks are heavily regulated, which can make it difficult to borrow the shares needed to do a short sale.

Whether you’re curious about exploring IPOs, or interested in traditional stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), you can get started by opening an account on the SoFi Invest® brokerage platform. On SoFi Invest, eligible SoFi members have the opportunity to trade IPO shares, and there are no account minimums for those with an Active Investing account. As with any investment, it's wise to consider your overall portfolio goals in order to assess whether IPO investing is right for you, given the risks of volatility and loss.

Invest with as little as $5 with a SoFi Active Investing account.

FAQ

How soon can you short an IPO?

You can short an IPO once it begins trading on the public stock market. The IPO lock-up period typically lasts from 90 to 180 days. It is intended to prevent too many shares from flooding the market in the early days of the IPO. A high supply of shares could drive down the price of the IPO stock.

Can you sell an IPO immediately?

An investor who purchases shares on the secondary market can sell shares immediately. Investors who were allocated IPO shares have a lock-up period before they can sell. Learn more about selling an IPO.

How long until you can sell an IPO?

A company founder, a longtime employee holding company stock, or an investor allocated IPO shares must wait for the lock-up period to elapse before selling their shares. The IPO lock-up period might last anywhere from 90 to 180 days after the IPO. There might be multiple lock-up periods that end on different dates, too.


Photo credit: iStock/MarsBars

SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Investing in an Initial Public Offering (IPO) involves substantial risk, including the risk of loss. Further, there are a variety of risk factors to consider when investing in an IPO, including but not limited to, unproven management, significant debt, and lack of operating history. For a comprehensive discussion of these risks please refer to SoFi Securities’ IPO Risk Disclosure Statement. IPOs offered through SoFi Securities are not a recommendation and investors should carefully read the offering prospectus to determine whether an offering is consistent with their investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation.

New offerings generally have high demand and there are a limited number of shares available for distribution to participants. Many customers may not be allocated shares and share allocations may be significantly smaller than the shares requested in the customer’s initial offer (Indication of Interest). For SoFi’s allocation procedures please refer to IPO Allocation Procedures.


Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

SOIN0623077

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IPO Pop & IPO Trends

What Is an IPO Pop?

An IPO pop occurs after a company goes public, when its stock price jumps higher on the first day of trading.

No matter how much preparation they’ve done, company executives and shareholders never really know how a stock will perform once it hits the market through its initial public offering (IPO).

While they of course hope to see some increase in price, a big spike — or IPO pop — could indicate that the underwriters underpriced the IPO.

Key Points

•   An IPO pop occurs when a company’s stock spikes on its first day of trading and may indicate that underwriters didn’t properly price retail investor demand into the IPO price.

•   In 2021, IPOs saw increases of 40% on average on the first trading day, but in the second quarter, companies were pricing below their expected ranges.

•   Direct listings are an alternative to IPOs that may help avoid an IPO pop, but they aren’t as efficient at raising capital.

•   Buying IPO stocks can be profitable, but it’s important to research the company before investing and to consider broad market trends.

•   IPO pops are relatively common, and larger companies tend to have larger pops since they are in high demand.

IPO Pop Defined

An IPO pop occurs when a company’s stock spikes on its first day of trading. An IPO pop may be a sign that underwriters did not properly price retail investor demand into the IPO price.

For instance, if a company prices its shares at $47 in its IPO and the price goes to $48 or $50, that would be considered a normal and positive IPO increase. But if the stock jumped to $60, both the company and its early investors might believe an error occurred in the IPO pricing.

This is one of the reasons that IPO shares are considered highly risky. In many cases, historically, that initial price jump hasn’t lasted, and investors who bought on the way up have taken a hit on the way down.

Recommended: What Is an IPO?

Problems Indicated by an IPO Pop

Many different factors go into pricing an IPO, including revenue, private investment amounts, public and institutional interest in investing. IPO underwriters try to find a share price that institutional investors will buy.

If the public thinks a company’s shares are more valuable than what early investors, underwriters, and executives thought, that means the company could have raised more money, increasing their own profit. Or they could have raised the same amount of money but with less dilution.

Also, when bankers price an IPO too low, that means their customers benefit — while company founders and VCs miss out on more profits.

If the share price soars on the first day, some investors will be happy, but it means the company could have raised more money if they had priced the stock higher from the start. It also means that existing investors could have given up a smaller percentage of their ownership for the same price.


💡 Quick Tip: Before opening an investment account, know your investment objectives, time horizon, and risk tolerance. These fundamentals will help keep your strategy on track and with the aim of meeting your goals.

IPO Trends

In the past, some companies have seen significant IPO pops occur on their first trading day. But in many cases the market cooled down after the first quarter, with some high-profile companies seeing declines on their first day.

Take 2021 as an example; in that year there were a record number of IPOs in the market.

In the first quarter of 2021 many companies were pricing their IPOs at the top of their expected range, due to increased demand, an improving economy, and a strong stock market. Even after that, IPOs still saw increases of 40% on average on the first trading day.

But in the second quarter, companies were pricing below their expected ranges and some weren’t even reaching those prices on the first trading day. This made the public less eager to buy into IPOs. This type of volatility is common to IPOs, and another reason why investors should be cautious when investing in them.

There was also a boom in special-purpose acquisition corporations (SPACs), IPOs of shell companies that go public with the sole purpose of acquiring other companies.


💡 Quick Tip: Access to IPO shares before they trade on public exchanges has usually been available only to large institutional investors. That’s changing now, and some brokerages offer pre-listing IPO investing to qualified investors.

Direct Listings

Some companies have turned to direct listings as a way to try to avoid an IPO pop. In a direct listing, the company doesn’t have an IPO, they just list their stock and it starts trading in the market. There is a reference price set by a market maker for the stock in a direct listing, but it isn’t nearly as important as the price of a stock in an IPO. Although this can help avoid an IPO pop, it is not as efficient as an IPO as a means of raising capital.

Setting a price for an IPO is a key part of that fundraising strategy. A newer strategy companies are trying is raising a large amount of private capital just before going public, and then doing a direct listing instead of an IPO. The process gives a valuation to the stock price but in a different way from pricing shares for an IPO.

A third strategy is to direct list, and then do a fundraising round some time after the listing, giving the public a chance to establish the market price for the stock.

Do IPOs Usually Go Up or Down?

Although stocks increase an average of 18.4% on their first day of trading, 31% of IPOs decrease when they start to trade. Calculations of IPO profits show that almost 50% of IPOs decrease from their day-one trading price on their second day of trading. While IPO investing may seem like a great investment opportunity, IPOs remain a risky and unpredictable asset class.

Average IPO First Day Return

IPO pops are relatively common. Sometimes average first day returns increase significantly, such as during the dot-com bubble when the average pop was 60%. Larger companies generally have larger pops, since they are in high demand.

Determining the Right IPOs to Invest In

Buying IPO stocks can be profitable, but it also has risks. Just because a company is well known or there is a lot of publicity around its IPO doesn’t mean the IPO will be profitable. As with any investment, it’s important to research the market and each company before deciding to invest.

It’s also important to be patient and flexible, as individual investors don’t always have the ability to trade IPO shares. Or investors may have access at some point after the actual IPO. In addition, IPO shares can be limited.

If you’re interested in upcoming IPOs, it’s important to keep in mind that IPOs increase in price on the first day but quickly decrease again, and almost a third of IPOs decrease on their first listing day. Popular IPOs are more likely to increase, but they are also crowded with investors, so investors might not see their orders fulfilled.

When investing in IPOs through your brokerage account, it’s important to look at broad market trends in addition to individual company fundamentals. When the market is strong, IPOs tend to perform better. Also, when high-profile companies have unsuccessful IPOs, investors may become more wary about investing in upcoming IPOs.

Each sector has different trends and averages. Generally tech companies have higher first day returns than other types of companies, even though they’re also often unprofitable. Investors still want in on these IPOs because they may have strong future earnings potential.

Historically, some of the most successful tech stocks started out with negative earnings, so low earnings are not a strong indicator of future success or failure.

The Takeaway

As exciting as an IPO pop can be, it’s another example of how hard it is for individual investors to time the market. First, there’s no way to predict if a newly minted stock will have a spike after the IPO. Sometimes there is a pop and then the price plunges. This is one reason why IPOs are considered high-risk events.

Investors who find IPOs compelling may want to assess company fundamentals and other market conditions before investing in IPO stock.

Whether you’re curious about exploring IPOs, or interested in traditional stocks and exchange-traded funds (ETFs), you can get started by opening an account on the SoFi Invest® brokerage platform. On SoFi Invest, eligible SoFi members have the opportunity to trade IPO shares, and there are no account minimums for those with an Active Investing account. As with any investment, it's wise to consider your overall portfolio goals in order to assess whether IPO investing is right for you, given the risks of volatility and loss.

Invest with as little as $5 with a SoFi Active Investing account.


Photo credit: iStock/Olemedia

SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.

Investing in an Initial Public Offering (IPO) involves substantial risk, including the risk of loss. Further, there are a variety of risk factors to consider when investing in an IPO, including but not limited to, unproven management, significant debt, and lack of operating history. For a comprehensive discussion of these risks please refer to SoFi Securities’ IPO Risk Disclosure Statement. IPOs offered through SoFi Securities are not a recommendation and investors should carefully read the offering prospectus to determine whether an offering is consistent with their investment objectives, risk tolerance, and financial situation.

New offerings generally have high demand and there are a limited number of shares available for distribution to participants. Many customers may not be allocated shares and share allocations may be significantly smaller than the shares requested in the customer’s initial offer (Indication of Interest). For SoFi’s allocation procedures please refer to IPO Allocation Procedures.


Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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Why Invest in Bankrupt Companies?

Why Invest in Bankrupt Companies?

Investors put their cash in the market in order to make more money, not lose it. So it can be befuddling, then, that some people are interested in bankruptcy investing—or, buying stock in Chapter 11 (bankrupt) companies.

While bankruptcy investing is a type of investment that may appeal to some, it’s a high-risk strategy that may not be the best route for most investors. Read on to learn about bankruptcy investing, and why investors might be interested in buying stock in Chapter 11 companies.

Different Types of Bankruptcy

Bankruptcy is a complex, legal process that companies, municipalities, and individuals undergo when they’re unable to pay their debts. It’s important to know that just because a company declares bankruptcy doesn’t mean that it’s no longer an operating business.

There are six different types of bankruptcy, known as chapters, with Chapters 7 and 11 applying to businesses.

Chapter 7 Bankruptcy

Chapter 7 bankruptcy means that a company is ceasing operations and liquidating its assets. If a company declares Chapter 7 bankruptcy, assets are sold off for cash, and used to pay off its debts in an order determined by bankruptcy laws. Often investment bankers head the valuation process and help companies sell various assets during the bankruptcy process.

Then, bondholders and investors get their share of any assets left. When all is said and done, the company will no longer exist, and any assets it had will have new owners.

Chapter 11 Bankruptcy

Chapter 11 bankruptcy, or “reorganization,” is different from Chapter 7. Companies often file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy as a defensive move when their debt payments become untenable.

Under Chapter 11 protections, companies focus on restructuring and getting their debt under control, increasing revenues, and cutting costs. During the bankruptcy reorganization, companies can often renegotiate interest rates or eliminate some debt payments entirely.

These companies are basically calling a time-out so that they can revise their gameplan. Companies often keep operating under Chapter 11 bankruptcy. Ultimately, the goal is to use Chapter 11 protections to buy some time, put together a plan to emerge from bankruptcy, and return to profitability.

What Happens To Stock When A Company Goes Bankrupt?

Under Chapter 7 bankruptcy, investors’ shares are effectively dead, since the company is going out of business.

If a company files for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection, a few things could happen. Shares could continue trading as normal, with little or no effect (other than price fluctuations) for investors. The stock may get delisted from major stock exchanges, but can still be traded over-the-counter (OTC). But be aware: The company may also cancel shares, making some investors’ holdings worthless.

Why Invest in a Bankrupt Company?


A company declaring bankruptcy sends a pretty clear message to investors that it’s in trouble, which can cause share prices to fall. For some investors, falling prices present an opportunity to buy—an attractive one, especially if they believe that those companies will return to profitability in the future.

At its core, bankruptcy investing is all about perceived opportunity. Many large companies with recognizable names have declared bankruptcy in recent years (examples include GNC, Hertz, Gold’s Gym, JCPenney, and Pier 1 Imports), and buying big-name stocks at rock-bottom prices can be very appetizing to investors.

There’s a chance that these companies can and will emerge from bankruptcy with streamlined operations that can quickly start driving revenue, causing share prices to increase in value. But it’s also possible that a bankrupt company is too far gone, and won’t be able to return to profitability. Investing in bankrupt companies is speculative and risky, but the potential of big rewards is enticing to some investors.


💡 Quick Tip: All investments come with some degree of risk — and some are riskier than others. Before investing online, decide on your investment goals and how much risk you want to take.

Research to Do Before Investing in Bankrupt Companies

When investing in any stock (not just bankruptcy companies), it’s important to do your research, or due diligence on the company. For many investors, that means doing more than just looking at the price fluctuations over the past few days—it involves digging into the nitty-gritty details. Often, those processes can include fundamental and technical analyses.

Fundamental analysis of stocks involves taking a look at, well, the fundamentals of a company. That could include evaluating a company’s profits and growth, or metrics like earnings per share or cash flow. Investors are generally looking for strong companies to invest in, and generally, analyzing a company’s performance will give a sense as to whether or not it’s worth investing in.

Stock technical analysis, on the other hand, is a little more…technical. It involves looking at a stock’s patterns and trends in order to try and predict what it will do next. Essentially, it’s a method of forecasting a stock’s future performance based on its historical performance.

Recommended: 5 Ways to Analyze A Stock

Of course, if a company is bankrupt, both fundamental and technical analyses will likely provide some less-than-inspiring data, such as an unsustainably high leverage ratio. These companies have gone bankrupt, after all—so, investing in a bankrupt company will also require a leap of faith and research into their industry and their plan to return to profitability.

The Takeaway

Investing in bankrupt companies is a risky endeavor. While it may hold the potential for rewards for those who do their research and are willing to take the risk, it may not be the best choice for most investors.

There are many other ways to invest for those who are looking for a less risky, more sustainable, long-term investment strategy.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

Invest with as little as $5 with a SoFi Active Investing account.

Photo credit: iStock/Rocco-Herrmann


SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.
For a full listing of the fees associated with Sofi Invest please view our fee schedule.


Third-Party Brand Mentions: No brands, products, or companies mentioned are affiliated with SoFi, nor do they endorse or sponsor this article. Third-party trademarks referenced herein are property of their respective owners.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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