Feb
28
2025
How to Use the Fear and Greed Index To Your Advantage

Guide to the Fear and Greed Index

By | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off on Guide to the Fear and Greed Index

The Fear and Greed Index is a tool developed by CNN (yes, the news network) to help gauge what factors are driving the stock market at a given time.

If you’ve ever taken a look at how the market is doing on a given day and wondered just what the heck is going on, the Fear and Greed Index may be helpful in deciphering the overall mood of the markets, and what’s behind it.

Key Points

•   The Fear and Greed Index, developed by CNN, measures market emotions.

•   The scale of the index ranges from 0 to 100, with 50 indicating neutral sentiment.

•   Seven stock indicators are used to gauge market sentiment.

•   The purpose is to help investors make informed decisions, and to try to avoid overvaluations or undervaluations.

•   Investors should consider economic growth, company performance, and other sentiment indicators.

What Is the Fear and Greed Index?

CNN’s Fear and Greed Index attempts to track the overriding emotions driving the stock market at any given time — a dynamic that typically toggles between fear and greed.

The Index is based on the premise that fear and greed are the two primary emotional states that influence investment behavior, with investors selling shares of stocks when they’re scared (fear), or buying them when they sense the potential for profit (greed).

CNN explains the Index as a tool to measure market movements and determine whether stocks are priced fairly or accurately, with the logic that fear drives prices down, and greed drives them up, or is used as a signal of when to sell stocks.

There are specific technical indicators used to calculate the Fear and Greed Index (FGI), and strategies that investors can use to inform their investment decisions based on the Index.

Understanding the Fear and Greed Index

The Fear and Greed Index uses a scale of 0 to 100. The higher the reading, the greedier investors are, with 50 signaling that investors are neutral. In other words, 100 signifies maximum greediness, and 0 signifies maximum fear.

To give some historical context, on Sept. 17, 2008, during the height of the financial crisis, the Fear and Greed Index logged a low of 12. On March 12, 2020, as the pandemic recession set in, the FGI hit a low of 2 that year.

Seven different types of stock indicators are used to calculate the Fear and Greed Index.

CNN tracks how much each indicator has veered from its average versus how much it normally veers. Then each indicator is given equal weighting when it comes to the final reading. Here are the seven inputs.

1.    Market Momentum: The S&P 500 versus its 125-day moving average. Looking at this equity benchmark relative to its own history can measure how the index’s 500 companies are being valued.

2.    Stock Price Strength: The number of stocks hitting 52-week highs and lows on the New York Stock Exchange, the largest of the world’s many stock exchanges. Share prices of public companies can signal whether they’re getting overvalued or undervalued.

3.    Stock Price Breadth: The volume of shares trading in stocks on the rise versus those declining. Market breadth can be used to gauge how widespread bullish or bearish sentiment is.

4.    Put and Call Options: The ratio of bullish call options trades versus bearish put options trades. Options give investors the right but not the obligation to buy or sell an asset. Therefore, more trades of calls over puts could indicate investors are feeling optimistic about snapping up shares in the future.

5.    Junk Bond Demand: The spread between yields on investment-grade bonds and junk bonds or high-yield bonds. Bond prices move in the opposite direction of yields. So when yields of higher-quality investment-grade bonds are climbing relative to yields on junkier debt, investors are seeking riskier assets.

6.    Market Volatility: The Cboe Volatility Index, also known as VIX, is designed to track investor expectations for volatility 30 days out. Rising expectations for stock market turbulence could be an indicator of fear.

7.    Safe Haven Demand: The difference in returns from stocks versus Treasuries. How much investors are favoring riskier markets like equities versus relatively safe investments or assets, like U.S. government bonds, can indicate sentiment.

The Fear and Greed Index page on the CNN website breaks down how each indicator is faring at any given time. For instance, whether each measure is showing Extreme Fear, Fear, Neutral, Greed, or Extreme Greed among investors.

“Stock Price Strength” might be showing Extreme Greed even as “Safe Haven Demand” is signaling Extreme Fear.

Tracking the Fear and Greed Index Over Time

The Fear and Greed Index is updated often. CNN says that each component, and the overall Index, are recalculated as soon as new data becomes available and can be implemented.

Looking back over the past several years, the Index has tracked market sentiment with at least some degree of accuracy. For example, prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, the market was seeing a bull run and hitting record levels — the Index, in late 2017, was nearing 100, a signifier that the market was driven by greed at that time.

Conversely, the Index dipped into “fear” territory (below 20) during the fall of 2016, when uncertainty was on the rise due to the U.S. presidential election at that time. Note, too, that midterm elections can also affect market performance.

How Does the Fear and Greed Index Fare Against History?

As mentioned, the Index does appear to capture investor sentiment with some degree of accuracy. The past few years — which have been rife with uncertainty due to the pandemic — have shown pockets of fear. For example, the Index showed “extreme fear” among investors in early 2020. That was right when the pandemic hit U.S. shores, and absolutely devastated the markets.

However, over the course of 2020, and near the end of the year, the Index was scoring at around 90, as the Federal Reserve stepped in and large-scale stimulus programs were implemented to prop up the economy.

Interestingly, the Index then dipped down into the “fear” realm in late 2020, likely due to uncertainty surrounding the outcome of the U.S. presidential election. It likewise saw a fast swing toward “greed” in the subsequent aftermath. Similar dynamics were seen in 2024.

Again, these largely mirror what was happening in the markets at large, and economic sentiment.

How Does the Fear and Greed Index Fare Against Other Indicators?

While the Fear and Greed Index does fold several indicators into its overall calculations, it is more of an emotional barometer than anything. While many financial professionals would likely urge investors to set their emotions aside when making investing decisions, it isn’t always easy — and as such, investors can be unpredictable.

That unpredictability can have an effect on the markets as investors may panic and engage in sell-offs, or conversely start buying stocks and other investments. Ultimately, it’s really hard to predict what people and institutions are going to do, barring some obvious motivating factor.

With that in mind, there are other market sentiment indicators out there, including the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) Sentiment Survey, the Commitment of Traders report published by the CFTC (one of several agencies governing financial institutions), and even the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY), which can be used to measure safe haven demand. They’re all a bit different, but attempt to capture more or less the same thing, often with similar results.

For instance, while the Fear and Greed Index showed a state of fear in mid-March, the AAII Sentiment Survey likewise showed a majority of investors with a “bearish” sentiment as well during the same time frame.

And, of course, there are a number of other economic indicators that you can use to inform your investing decisions, such as GDP readings, unemployment figures, etc.

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Dos and Don’ts of Using the Fear and Greed Index

Why is the Fear and Greed Index useful? The same reason that any sort of measurement or gauge has value. In this case, measuring sentiment can help you determine which move you want to make next as an investor, and help you ride investing trends to potentially bigger returns.

Are you being too greedy? Too fearful? Is now the time to think about herd mentality?

Also generally, some investors often try to be contrarian, so when markets appear frothy and the rest of the herd appears to be overvaluing assets, investors try to sell, and vice versa.

Recommended: Should I Pull My Money Out of the Stock Market?

Dos

Use the Index to realize that investing can be emotional, but it shouldn’t be.

You can also use it to determine when to enter the market. Let’s say, for instance, you’ve been monitoring a stock that becomes further undervalued as investor fear rises, that could be a good time to buy the stock.

Don’ts

Don’t only rely on the Fear and Greed Index or other investor sentiment measures as the sole factor in making investment decisions. Fundamentals — like how much the economy is growing, or how quickly companies in your portfolio are growing revenue and earnings (which will be apparent during earnings season) — are important.

For instance, the FGI may be signaling extreme greed at some point, with all seven metrics indicating a rising market. However, this extreme bullishness may be warranted if the economy is firing on all cylinders, allowing companies to hire and consumers to buy up goods.

Recommended: Using Fundamental Analysis on Stocks

What Is the Crypto Fear and Greed Index?

While CNN publishes and maintains the traditional Fear and Greed Index, there are other websites that publish a similar index for the cryptocurrency markets.

The Crypto Fear and Greed Index operates in much the same way as CNN’s Index, but instead, focuses on sentiment within the crypto markets. The Crypto Fear and Greed Index is published and maintained by Alternative.me.

The Takeaway

The Fear and Greed Index is one of many gauges that tracks investor sentiment, and CNN’s Index focuses on seven specific indicators to measure whether the market is feeling “greedy” or “fearful.” While it’s only one indicator, in recent years, it has served as a somewhat accurate barometer of the markets, particularly regarding major events like elections and the pandemic.

But, as with anything, investors shouldn’t rely solely on the Fear and Greed Index to make decisions, though it can be used as one of many tools at their disposal. As always, it’s best to check with a financial professional if you have questions.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

Is the Fear and Greed Index a good indicator?

It can be a “good” indicator in the sense that it can be helpful when used in conjunction with other indicators to make investing decisions. That said, it shouldn’t be the only indicator investors use, and isn’t necessarily going to be accurate in helping determine what the market will do next.

Where can you find the Fear and Greed Index?

The Fear and Greed Index is published and maintained by CNN, and can be found on CNN’s website.

When does it make sense to buy, based on the Fear and Greed Index?

While you shouldn’t make investing decisions solely based on the Fear and Greed Index’s readings, generally speaking, the market is bullish when the Index produces a higher number (greed), and is bearish when numbers are lower (fear).

Photo credit: iStock/guvendemir

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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
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Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

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Feb
26
2025
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What Is Considered a Good Return on Investment?

By | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | No Comments

A “good” return on investment is subjective, but in a very general sense, a good return on investment could be considered to be about 7% per year, based on the average historic return of the S&P 500 index, and adjusting for inflation. But of course what one investor considers a good return might not be ideal for someone else.

And while getting a “good” return on your investments is important, it’s equally important to know that the average return of the U.S. stock market is just that: an average of the market’s performance, typically going back to the 1920s. On a year-by-year basis, investors can expect returns that might be higher or lower — and they also have to face the potential for outright losses. In addition, the S&P 500 is a barometer of the equity markets, and it only reflects the performance of the 500 biggest companies in the U.S. Most investors will hold other types of securities in addition to equities, which can affect their overall portfolio return.

Key Points

•   A good return on investment is generally considered to be around 7% per year, based on the average historic return of the S&P 500 index, adjusted for inflation.

•   The average return of the U.S. stock market is around 10% per year, adjusted for inflation, dating back to the late 1920s.

•   Different investments, such as CDs, bonds, stocks, and real estate, offer varying rates of return and levels of risk.

•   It’s important to consider factors like diversification and time when investing long-term.

•   Investing in stocks carries higher potential returns but also higher risk, while investments like CDs offer lower returns but are considered lower-risk.

What Is the Historical Average Stock Market Return?

Dating back to the late 1920s, the S&P 500 index has returned, on average, around 10% per year. Adjusted for inflation that’s roughly 7% per year.

Here’s how much a 7% return on investment can earn an individual after 10 years: If an individual starts out by putting in $1,000 into an investment with a 7% average annual return, compounded annually, they would see their money grow to $1,967 after a decade, assuming little or no volatility (which is unlikely in real life). It’s important for investors to have realistic expectations about what type of return they’ll see.

For financial planning purposes however, investors interested in buying stocks should keep in mind that that doesn’t mean the stock market will consistently earn them 7% each year. In fact, S&P 500 share prices have swung violently throughout the years. For instance, the benchmark tumbled 38% in 2008, then completely reversed course the following March to end 2009 up 23%.

Factors such as economic growth, corporate performance, interest rates, and share valuations can affect stock returns. Thus, it can be difficult to say X% or Y% is a good return, as the investing climate varies from year to year.

A better approach is to think about your hoped-for portfolio return in light of a certain goal (e.g. retirement), and focus on the investment strategy that might help you achieve that return.

Line graph: 10 Year Model of S&P 500

Why Your Money Might Lose Value If You Don’t Invest it

It’s helpful to consider what happens to the value of your money if you simply hang on to cash.

Keeping cash can feel like a lower-risk alternative to investing, so it may seem like a good idea to deposit your money into a traditional savings account. But cash slowly loses value over time due to inflation; that is, the cost of goods and services increases with time, meaning that cash has less purchasing power. Inflation can also impact your investments.

Interest rates are important, too. Putting money in a savings account that earns interest at a rate that is lower than the inflation rate guarantees that money will lose value over time. This is why, despite the risks, investing money is often considered a better alternative to simply saving it: The inflation risk is typically lower.

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What Is a Good Rate of Return for Various Investments?

As noted above, determining a good rate of return will also depend on the specific investments you hold, and your asset allocation. You can always calculate the expected rate of return for various securities. Here are different types of securities to consider.

Bonds

Purchasing a bond is basically the same as loaning your money to the bond-issuer, like a government or business. Similar to a CD, a bond is a way of locking up a certain amount of money for a fixed period of time.

Here’s how it works: A bond is purchased for a fixed period of time (the duration), investors receive interest payments over that time, and when the bond matures, the investor receives their initial investment back.

Generally, investors earn higher interest payments when bond issuers are riskier. An example may be a company that’s struggling to stay in business. But interest payments may be lower when the borrower is trustworthy, like the U.S. government, which has never defaulted on its Treasuries.

Stocks

Stocks can be purchased in a number of ways. But the important thing to know is that a stock’s potential return will depend on the specific stock, when it’s purchased, and the risk associated with it. Again, the general idea with stocks is that the riskier the stock, the higher the potential return.

This doesn’t necessarily mean you can put money into the market today and assume you’ll earn a large return on it in the next year. But based on historical precedent, your investment may bear fruit over the long-term. Because the market on average has gone up over time, bringing stock values up with it, but stock investors have to know how to handle a downturn.

As mentioned, the stock market averages a return of roughly 7% per year, adjusted for inflation.

Real Estate

Returns on real estate investing vary widely. It mostly depends on the type of real estate — if you’re purchasing a single house versus a real estate investment trust (REIT), for instance — and where the real estate is located.

As with other investments, it all comes down to risk. The riskier the investment, the higher the chance of greater returns and greater losses. Investors often debate the merit of investing in real estate versus investing in the market.

Likely Return on Investment Assets

For investors who have a high risk tolerance (they’re willing to take big risks to potentially earn high returns), some investments are better than others. So for those who are looking for higher returns, adding riskier investments to a portfolio may be worth considering.

Remember the Principles of Good Investing

Investors focused on seeing huge returns over the short-term may set themselves up for disappointment. Instead, remembering basic tenets of responsible investing can best prepare an investor for long-term success.

First up: diversification. It can be a good idea to invest in a wide variety of assets — stocks, bonds, real estate, etc., and a wide variety of investments within those subgroups. That’s because each type of asset tends to react differently to world events and market forces. Due to that, a diverse portfolio can be a less risky portfolio. Time is another important factor when investing. Investing early for more distant goals, such as retirement, may result in larger returns in the long-term.

Test your understanding of what you just read.

The Takeaway

While every investor wants a “good return” on their investments, there isn’t one way to achieve a good return – and different investments have different rates of return, and different risk levels. Investing in other types of assets tends to deliver lower returns, while stocks (which are more volatile) may deliver higher returns but at much greater risk.

Your own investing strategy and asset allocation will have an influence on the potential returns of your portfolio over time.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
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Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

S&P 500 IndexThe S&P 500 Index is a market-capitalization-weighted index of 500 leading publicly traded companies in the U.S. It is not an investment product, but a measure of U.S. equity performance. Historical performance of the S&P 500 Index does not guarantee similar results in the future. The historical return of the S&P 500 Index shown does not include the reinvestment of dividends or account for investment fees, expenses, or taxes, which would reduce actual returns.
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Feb
26
2025
The Black Scholes Model, Explained

The Black-Scholes Model, Explained

By | Financial Independence, Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off on The Black-Scholes Model, Explained

The Black-Scholes option pricing model is a mathematical formula used to calculate the theoretical price of an option. It’s a commonly-used formula for determining the price of contracts, and as such, can be useful for investors in the options market to know and have in their pocket for use.

But there are some important things to know about it, such as the fact that the model only applies to European options, and more.

Key Points

•   The Black-Scholes model is a mathematical formula used to calculate the theoretical price of an option.

•   It is commonly used for pricing options contracts and helps investors determine the value of options they’re considering trading.

•   The model takes into account factors like the option’s strike price, time until expiration, underlying stock price, interest rates, and volatility.

•   The Black-Scholes model was created by Myron Scholes and Fischer Black in 1973 and is also known as the Black-Scholes-Merton model.

•   While the model has some assumptions and limitations, it is considered an important tool for European options traders.

What Is the Black-Scholes Model?

As mentioned, the Black-Scholes model is one of the most commonly used formulas for pricing options contracts. The model, also known as the Black-Scholes formula, allows investors to determine the value of options they’re considering trading.

The formula takes into account several important factors affecting options in an attempt to arrive at a fair market price for the derivative. The Black-Scholes options pricing model only applies to European options.

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💡 Quick Tip: How do you decide if a certain trading platform or app is right for you? Ideally, the investment platform you choose offers the features that you need for your investment goals or strategy, e.g., an easy-to-use interface, data analysis, educational tools.

The History of the Black-Scholes Model

The Black-Scholes model gets its name from Myron Scholes and Fischer Black, who created the model in 1973. The model is sometimes called the Black-Scholes-Merton model, as Robert Merton also contributed to the model’s development. These three men were professors at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) and University of Chicago.

The model functions as a differential equation that requires five inputs:

•   The option’s strike price

•   The amount of time until the option expires

•   The price of its underlying stock

•   Interest rates

•   Volatility

Modern computing power has made it easier to use this formula and made it more popular among those interested in stock options trading.

The model only works for European options, since American options allow contract holders to exercise at any time between the time of purchase and the expiration date. By contrast, European options come at cheaper prices and only allow the owner to exercise the option on the expiration date. So, while European options only offer a single opportunity to earn profits, American options offer multiple opportunities.

Recommended: American vs European Options: What’s the Difference?

What Does the Black-Scholes Model Tell?

The main goal of the Black-Scholes Formula is to determine the chances that an option will expire in the money. To this end, the model goes deeper than simply looking at the fact that a call option will increase when its underlying stock price rises and incorporates the impact of stock volatility.

The model looks at several variables, each of which impact the value of that option. Greater volatility, for example, could increase the odds the options will wind up being in the money before its expiration. The more time the investor has to exercise the option also increases the likelihood of it winding up in the money and lowers the present value of the exercise price. Interest rates also influence the price of the option, as higher rates make the option more expensive by decreasing the present value of the exercise price.

The Black-Scholes Formula

The Black-Scholes formula expresses the value of a call option by taking the current stock prices multiplied by a probability factor (D1) and subtracting the discounted exercise payment times a second probability factor (D2).

Explaining in exact detail what D1 and D2 represent can be difficult because the original research papers by Black and Scholes didn’t explain or interpret D1 and D2, and neither did the papers published by Merton. Entire research papers have been written on the subject of D1 and D2 alone.


💡 Quick Tip: If you’re an experienced investor and bullish about a stock, buying call options (rather than the stock itself) can allow you to take the same position, with less cash outlay. It is possible to lose money trading options, if the price moves against you.

Why Is the Black-Scholes Model Important?

The Black-Scholes option pricing model is so important that it once won the Nobel Prize in economics. Some even claim that this model is among the most important ideas in financial history.

Some traders consider the Black-Scholes Model one of the best methods for figuring out fair prices of European call options. Since its creation, many scholars have elaborated on and improved this formula. In this sense, Black and Scholes made a significant contribution to the academic world when it comes to math and finance.

Some claim that the Black-Scholes model has made a significant contribution to the efficiency of the options and stock markets. While designed for European options, the Black-Scholes Model can still help investors understand how an option’s price might react to its underlying stock price movements and improve their overall options trading strategies.

This allows investors to optimize their portfolios by hedging accordingly, making the overall markets more efficient. However, others assert that the model has increased volatility in the markets, as more investors constantly try to fine tune their trades according to the formula.

How Accurate Is the Black-Scholes Model?

Some studies have shown the Black-Scholes model to be highly predictive of options prices. This doesn’t mean the formula has no flaws, though.

The model tends to undervalue calls that are deeply in the money and overvalue calls that are deeply out of the money.

That means the model might assign an artificially low value to options that are much higher than the price of their underlying stock, while it may overvalue options that are far beneath the stock’s current value. Options that deal with stocks yielding a high dividend also tend to get mispriced by the model.

Assumptions of the Black-Scholes Model

There are also a few assumptions made by the model that can lead to less-than-perfect predictions. Some of these include:

•   The assumption that volatility and the risk- free rate within a stock remain constant

•   The assumption that stock prices are stable and large price swings don’t happen

•   The assumption that a stock doesn’t pay dividends until after an option expires

Recommended: How Do Dividends Work?

Such assumptions are necessary, even if they may negatively impact results. Relying on assumptions like these make the task possible, as only so many variables can reasonably be calculated.

Over the years, math scholars have elaborated on the work of Black and Scholes and made efforts to compensate for some of the gaps created by the original assumptions.

This leads to another flaw of the Black-Scholes model, unlike other inputs in the model, volatility must be an estimate rather than an objective fact. Interest rates and the amount of time left until the option expires are concrete numbers, while volatility has no direct numerical value.

The best a financial analyst can do is calculate an estimation of volatility by using something like the formula for variance. Variance is a measurement of the variability of an asset, or how much prices change from time to time. One common measurement of volatility is the standard deviation, which is equivalent to the square root of variance.

Test your understanding of what you just read.

The Takeaway

The Black-Scholes option-pricing model is among the most influential mathematical formulas in modern financial history, and it may be the most accurate way to determine the value of a European call option. It’s a complicated formula that has some drawbacks that traders must understand, but it’s a useful tool for European options traders.

Given the Black-Scholes model’s complexity, it’s likely that many investors will never use it. That doesn’t mean it isn’t important to know or understand, of course, but many investors may not get much practical use out of it unless they delve deeper into the world of options trading.

Ready to invest in your goals? It’s easy to get started when you open an investment account with SoFi Invest. You can invest in stocks, exchange-traded funds (ETFs), mutual funds, alternative funds, and more. SoFi doesn’t charge commissions, but other fees apply (full fee disclosure here).

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

Photo credit: iStock/akinbostanci

SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

SoFi Invest encompasses two distinct companies, with various products and services offered to investors as described below: Individual customer accounts may be subject to the terms applicable to one or more of these platforms.
1) Automated Investing and advisory services are provided by SoFi Wealth LLC, an SEC-registered investment adviser (“SoFi Wealth“). Brokerage services are provided to SoFi Wealth LLC by SoFi Securities LLC.
2) Active Investing and brokerage services are provided by SoFi Securities LLC, Member FINRA (www.finra.org)/SIPC(www.sipc.org). Clearing and custody of all securities are provided by APEX Clearing Corporation.
For additional disclosures related to the SoFi Invest platforms described above please visit SoFi.com/legal.
Neither the Investment Advisor Representatives of SoFi Wealth, nor the Registered Representatives of SoFi Securities are compensated for the sale of any product or service sold through any SoFi Invest platform.

Financial Tips & Strategies: The tips provided on this website are of a general nature and do not take into account your specific objectives, financial situation, and needs. You should always consider their appropriateness given your own circumstances.

Options involve risks, including substantial risk of loss and the possibility an investor may lose the entire amount invested in a short period of time. Before an investor begins trading options they should familiarize themselves with the Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options . Tax considerations with options transactions are unique, investors should consult with their tax advisor to understand the impact to their taxes.
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26
2025
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How Much Money Should I Have Saved by 40?

By | Budgeting & Goals, Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Preparing for Retirement | No Comments

By the time you reach 40, your retirement savings should ideally be on track to support a comfortable lifestyle once you stop working. But how do you know if you’re saving enough? Exactly how much should you have for retirement by age 40?

The answer depends on various factors, including your income, current expenses, and long-term financial goals. Below, we’ll walk you through key retirement savings benchmarks, simple ways to calculate your retirement savings target, and how to play catch-up if you’re behind.

Key Points

•   Aim to have three times your annual income saved for retirement by age 40.

•   Prioritize paying off high-interest debt over saving for retirement in your 40s.

•   Maximize contributions to 401(k) and IRA accounts to boost savings.

•   Consider Roth accounts for tax-free withdrawals in retirement.

•   Protect your retirement savings by building an emergency fund with at least six months’ worth of living expenses.

Understanding Your Retirement Savings at 40

Whether you have a full-time job or you’re self-employed, a smart way to save for retirement is in a retirement savings account, such as 401(k) or an individual retirement account (IRA). Unlike regular investment accounts, these accounts give you a tax break on your savings, either upfront or down the line when you withdraw the funds.

In the meantime, your money grows without being taxed.

A general rule of thumb is to save at least 15% to 20% of your income into your retirement fund. However, you may need to adjust this percentage based on your income and current monthly expenses.

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Retirement Savings Benchmarks for 40-Year-Olds

Financial experts provide benchmarks to help gauge whether you’re on track with retirement saving. A common guideline suggests having two to three times your annual salary saved in a 401(l) or IRA by 40. For example, if you earn $80,000 per year, you should aim for $160,000 to $240,000 in retirement savings.

If you haven’t reached this benchmark, however, don’t get discouraged. There are ways to boost retirement savings in your 40s, plus ways to play catch-up later (more on that below).

Analyzing Personal Financial Circumstances

As you enter your 40s, it’s likely that your income is increasing. However, your expenses and financial obligations may also be on the rise. You may be managing mortgage payments, still paying off student loans, and also trying to save for a child’s future college education. Here’s a look at how to balance it all.

Income and Earning Potential

Your income level directly affects how much you can save for retirement. If your income is modest and your expenses are high, it may be difficult to put 10%, let alone 15%, of each paycheck into retirement. The key is to save a consistent percentage of each paycheck, even if it’s small. As your income grows, so will your contributions. As you earn more, you can also gradually bump up the percent you put into retirement savings.

Current Debt and Financial Obligations

In your 40s, you may have debts, which can hinder your ability to save for retirement. Which is wiser — saving for retirement or paying off your debts?

A general rule of thumb is to prioritize paying off high-interest debts, like credit cards, over saving for retirement. This is because your investment returns likely won’t exceed the interest you’re paying on your balances. With other debts, like student loans and a mortgage, however, it’s generally a good idea to balance paying them off while consistently contributing to retirement savings.

Recommended: Money Management Guide

Calculating Your Retirement Savings Target

So how much 401(k) should you have at 40? There are two guidelines financial planners often use to help people determine how much they should have in retirement savings. Here’s a closer look at each.

Salary Multiplier Method

This approach recommends saving a multiple of your salary at different life stages. While this method doesn’t account for any unique lifestyle choices or financial needs, it provides a quick and easy way to assess your savings progress at various ages.

Retirement Savings By:

•  Age 30: 1x your annual income

•  Age 40: 3x your annual income

•  Age 50: 6x your annual income

•  Age 60: 8x your annual income

•  Age 67: 10x your annual income

Income Replacement Ratio Approach

This method focuses on saving enough to replace 75% of your pre-retirement income annually once you stop working. So if you think you’ll be making $100,000 in the last few years before retirement, you would plan on needing $75,000 a year to live on once you stop working.

There are a few reasons you’ll likely need less than your full income after retirement:

•   Your everyday expenses will likely be lower.

•   You’re no longer a portion of your earnings into retirement savings.

•   Your taxes may be lower.

How to Maximize Your Retirement Savings in Your 40s

Maximizing contributions to tax-advantaged accounts such as 401(k)s and IRAs can accelerate your retirement savings in your 40s.

Contribute to Retirement Accounts

If you have access to a 401(k) at work, you ideally want to contribute up to the max allowed by the Internal Revenue Service (IRS). For tax year 2024, the most you can contribute to a 401(k) is $23,000 if you’re under age 50. For 2025, the maximum rises to $23,500.

If you don’t have access to an employer-sponsored retirement plan, you can open an IRA and set-up automatic transfers from your checking account into the IRA each month — ideally up to max allowed for an IRA. For tax years 2024 and 2025, you can contribute up to $7,000 if you’re under age 50.

You can make 2024 IRA contributions until the unextended federal tax deadline.

Take Advantage of 401(k) Matching

Employer-sponsored 401(k) plans often come with matching contributions. If your employer offers this benefit, consider adjusting your contributions to get the full match, since this is essentially free money. Over time, compound returns (which are the returns you earn on your returns) on these extra contributions can lead to substantial growth.

Leverage Catch-Up Contributions

Once you reach age 50, you can make catch-up contributions to your 401(k), which could help you save even more for retirement.

For tax years 2024 and 2025, the 401(k) catch-up contribution is an extra $7,500 on top of the regular $23,000 limit for 2024 (for a total limit of $30,500) and $23,500 for 2025 (for a total limit of $31,000). Those aged 60 to 63 can contribute an additional $11,250 (in place of the $7,500) in 2025, if their plan allows it.

The IRA catch-up contribution is $1,000 for both 2024 and 2025, for a total contribution limit of $8,000 for those age 50 or older.

Expert Strategies to Increase Retirement Savings

There are a number of smart ways to maximize your savings and stay on track for retirement. Here are a few strategies experts advise.

Salary Negotiations and Their Long-Term Impact on Savings

If it’s been a while since you’ve received a raise, this may be a good time to ask for one. By age 40, you’ve probably developed skills that make you valuable to your employer. To increase your chances of success, it can be helpful to research industry standards, highlight your achievements, and demonstrate your value to the company.

Even small salary increases can have a compounding effect on long-term savings. If you need some incentive for negotiating for a higher salary, consider this: Increasing your retirement contributions by just $25 a month for the next 20 years can add an extra $13,023.17 to your retirement fund, assuming a growth rate of 7.00% and monthly compounding.

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Building a Solid Financial Foundation With a Six-Month Emergency Fund

Having an emergency fund that contains at least six months’ worth of living expenses is also critical to your retirement plan.

Why? While retirement is still a long way off if you’re 40, an emergency could happen at any time. For instance, you may get hit with an unexpected medical bill or your heating system might break in the middle of winter and need to be replaced. If you don’t have the emergency funds to cover these things, you might be forced to dip into your retirement fund early (and pay penalties) or run up debt that could limit your ability to save for retirement.

You might open a high-yield savings account for your emergency fund to help it grow. Consider automating your savings to make sure you’re contributing to your emergency fund regularly. Once it’s fully funded, you can allocate the money you had been contributing to the emergency fund to your retirement savings.

Recommended: Emergency Fund Calculator

Why Prioritizing Roth Retirement Accounts Can Pay Off

A Roth IRA or Roth 401(k) is a retirement account that taxes your contributions up front, but your withdrawals in retirement are tax-free, including all your growth. This differs from a traditional IRA, which involves tax-deferred contributions, meaning you’ll pay taxes every time you withdraw money, including on your growth. A Roth IRA or 401 (k) can be especially beneficial if you anticipate being in a higher tax bracket later in life.

Even if you have a 401(k) at work, you can add a Roth IRA to boost your retirement earnings. However, there are contribution and income limits with Roth IRAs that you’ll need to keep in mind.

The Role of Expenses in Retirement Planning

Figuring out how much your retirement living expenses will be is important for calculating how money you’ll need to save. These are some of the things you may want to consider and budget for when figuring out how much to save for retirement.

Planning for Health Care Expenses in Retirement

As people grow older, their health care needs and costs typically increase. For many, health care can be one of the biggest retirement expenses. Fidelity estimates that the average person may need $165,000 to cover health care costs in retirement.

If you have a high-deductible health insurance plan, you might want to set up a health savings account (HSA). An HSA is a tax-advantaged account that can be used to pay for medical expenses. You can invest the money in an HSA, and if you leave it untouched, it will grow and earn interest. When you make withdrawals in retirement, you won’t pay any taxes if you spend the money on qualified health care expenses.

Long-term care insurance is another option to consider for covering health care costs later in life. Researching Medicare options and potential out-of-pocket expenses ahead of time can help you prepare for future medical needs.

Incorporating Home Costs Into Retirement Savings

Housing costs are another major retirement expense. You may have mortgage payments, homeowner’s insurance, and home maintenance and repairs to pay for. If you rent, you’ll have to cover your monthly rental fee plus renters’ insurance.

If you’re planning on a move after you retire, where you choose to live can have a major impact on how much you pay for housing. In general, living on the coasts can be more expensive. You may want to take the cost of living into consideration when you’re thinking about where you want to live in retirement.

Family and Retirement: Balancing the Present and Future

Along with planning for retirement, you may be saving for important family milestones, such as college and a child’s wedding. Fortunately, with proper budgeting and planning, it is possible to help cover these expenses and save for retirement at the same time.

Budgeting for College Savings While Prioritizing Retirement

To help your children with the cost of college, consider opening a 529 plan. You fund this account with after-tax dollars, but your money grows tax-free and withdrawals for qualified education expenses are also tax-free.

Just keep in mind: Financial experts generally recommend that people in their 40s prioritize retirement savings over college savings. The reason? Financial aid can help fill a college funding gap, but there’s no financial aid for retirement, so you’ll want to ensure your retirement contributions remain consistent.

You might funnel extra funds toward college saving. You can also let family members know they can contribute to a child’s 529. For instance, instead of birthday gifts, you might ask loved ones to contribute to your child’s 529 instead.

Weddings and Other Major Family Expenses

If you’d like to help pay for your child’s wedding or first home purchase it’s a good idea to save for those goals separately, so they don’t disrupt your retirement savings progress.

If the wedding or home purchase is coming up in the next few years, you might open a high-yield savings account earmarked for that goal. If these family expenses are well off in the future, you might want to invest in mutual funds or a stock index fund, which could deliver more growth (though returns are not guaranteed).

The Takeaway

While there are several rules of thumb as to how much money you should have saved by 40, the truth is everyone’s path to a comfortable retirement looks different. One piece of advice is universal, however: The sooner you start saving for retirement, the better your chances of being in a financially desirable position later in life.

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