MoneyLL Archives | Page 67 of 117

Nov

2023

Understanding Economic Indicators

By Rebecca Lake | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

An economic indicator is a statistic or piece of data that offers insight into an economy. Analysts use economic indicators to gauge where an economic system is in the present moment, and where it might head next. Governments use economic indicators as guideposts when assessing monetary or fiscal policies, and corporations use them to make business decisions. Individual investors can also look to these indicators as they shape their portfolios.

There are different types of economic indicators and understanding how they work can make it easier to interpret them, and fold them into your investing strategy.

What Is an Economic Indicator?

An economic indicator is typically a macroeconomic data point, statistic, or metric used to analyze the health of an individual economy or the global economy at large. Government agencies, universities, and independent organizations can collect and organize economic indicator data.

In the United States, the Census Bureau, Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) are some of the entities that aggregate economic indicator data.

Some of the most recognizable economic indicators examples include:

• Gross domestic product (GDP)

• Personal income and real earnings

• International trade in goods and services

• U.S. import and expert prices

• Consumer prices (as measured by the Consumer Price Index or CPI)

• New residential home sales

• New home construction

• Rental vacancy rates

• Home ownership rates

• Business inventories

• Unemployment rates

• Consumer confidence

Private organizations also regularly collect and share economic data investors and economists may use as indicators. Examples of these indicators include the Fear and Greed Index, existing home sales, and the index of leading economic indicators.

Together, these indicators can provide a comprehensive picture of the state of the economy and shine light on potential opportunities for investors.

How Economic Indicators Work

Economic indicators work by measuring a specific component of the economy over a set time period. An indicator may tell you what patterns are emerging in the economy — or confirm the presence of patterns already believed to be established. In that sense, these indicators can serve as a thermometer of sorts for gauging the temperature of the economic environment or where an economy is in a given economic cycle.

Economic indicators can not predict future economic or market movements with 100% accuracy. But they can be useful when attempting to identify signals about which way the economy (and the markets) might head next.

For example, an investor may study an economic indicator like consumer prices when gauging whether inflation is increasing or decreasing. If the signs point to a steady rise in prices, the investor might then adjust their portfolio to account for higher inflation. As prices rise, purchasing power declines but investors who are conscious of this economic indicator could take action to minimize negative side effects.

Types of Economic Indicators

Economic indicators are not all alike in terms of what they measure and how they do it. Different types of economic indicators can provide valuable information about the state of an economy. Broadly speaking, they can be grouped into one of three categories: Leading, lagging, or coincident.

Leading Indicators

Leading indicators are the closest thing you might get to a crystal ball when studying the markets. These indicators pinpoint changes in economic factors that may precede specific trends.

Examples of leading indicators include:

• Consumer confidence and sentiment

• Jobless claims

• Movements in the yield curve

• Stock market volatility

A leading indicator doesn’t guarantee that a particular trend will take shape, but it does suggest that conditions are ripe for it to do so.

Lagging Indicators

Lagging indicators are the opposite of leading indicators. These economic indicators are backward-looking and highlight economic movements after the fact.

Examples of lagging indicators include:

• Gross national product (GNP)

• Unemployment rates

• Consumer prices

• Corporate profits

Analysts look at lagging indicators to determine whether an economic pattern has been established, though not whether that pattern is likely to continue.

Coincident Indicators

Coincident indicators measure economic activity for a particular area or region. Examples of coincident indicators include:

• Retail sales

• Employment rates

• Real earnings

• Gross domestic product

These indicators reflect economic changes at the same time that they occur. So they can be useful for studying real-time trends or patterns.

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Popular Economic Indicators

There are numerous economic indicators the economists, analysts, institutional and retail investors use to better understand the market and the direction in which the economy may move. The Census Bureau, for example, aggregates data for more than a dozen indicators. But investors tend to study some indicators more closely than others. Here are some of the most popular economic indicators and what they can tell you as an investor.

Gross Domestic Product

Gross domestic product represents the inflation-adjusted value of goods and services produced in the United States. This economic indicator offers a comprehensive view of the country’s economic activity and output. Specifically, gross domestic product can tell you:

• How fast an economy is growing

• Which industries are growing (or declining)

• How the economic activity of individual states compares

The Bureau of Economic Analysis estimates GDP for the country, individual states and for U.S. territories. The government uses GDP numbers to establish spending and tax policy, as well as monetary policy, at the federal levels. States also use gross domestic product numbers in financial decision-making.

Consumer Price Index

The Consumer Price Index or CPI measures the change in price of goods and services consumed by urban households. The types of goods and services the CPI tracks include:

• Food and beverages

• Housing

• Apparel

• Transportation

• Medical care

• Recreation

• Education

• Communications

CPI data comes from 75 urban areas throughout the country and approximately 23,000 retailers and service providers. This economic indicator is the most widely used tool for measuring inflation. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, which compiles the consumer price index, it’s a way to measure a government’s effectiveness in managing economic policy.

Producer Price Index

The Producer Price Index or PPI measures the average change over time in the selling prices received by domestic producers of goods and services. In simpler terms, this metric measures wholesale prices for the sectors of the economy that produce goods, including:

• Mining

• Manufacturing

• Agriculture

• Fishing

• Forestry

• Construction

• Natural gas and electricity

The Producer Price Index can help analysts estimate inflation, as higher prices will show up on the wholesale level first before they get passed on to consumers at the retail level.

Unemployment Rate

The unemployment rate is an economic indicator that tells you the number of people currently unemployed and looking for work. The BLS provides monthly updates on the unemployment rate and nonfarm payroll jobs. Together, the unemployment rate and the number of jobs added or lost each month can indicate the state of the economy.

Higher unemployment, for example, generally means that the economy isn’t creating enough jobs to meet the demand by job seekers. When the number of nonfarm payroll jobs added for the month exceeds expectations, on the other hand, that can send a positive signal that the economy is growing.

Consumer Confidence

The Consumer Confidence Index can provide insight into future economic developments, based on how households are spending and saving money today. This indicator measures how households perceive the economy as a whole and how they view their own personal financial situations, based on the answers they provide to specific questions.

When the indicator is above 100, this suggests consumers have a confident economic outlook, which may make them more inclined to spend and less inclined to save. When the indicator is below 100, the mood is more pessimistic and consumers may begin to curb spending in favor of saving.

The Consumer Confidence Index is separate from the Consumer Sentiment Index, which is also used to gauge how Americans feel about the economy. This index also uses a survey format and can tell you how optimistic or pessimistic households are and what they perceive to be the biggest economic challenges at the moment.

Retail Sales

Retail sales are one of the most popular economic indicators for judging consumer activity. This indicator measures retail trade from month to month. When retail sales are higher, consumers are spending more money. If more spending improves company profits, that could translate to greater investor confidence in those companies, which may drive higher stock prices.

On the other hand, when retail sales lag behind expectations the opposite can happen. When a holiday shopping season proves underwhelming, for example, that can shrink company profits and potentially cause stock prices to drop.

Housing Starts

Census Bureau compiles data on housing starts. This economic indicator can tell you at a glance how many new home construction projects in a given month. This data is collected for single-family homes and multi-family units.

Housing starts can be useful as an economic indicator because they give you a sense of whether the economy is growing or shrinking. In an economic boom, it’s not uncommon to see high figures for new construction. If the boom goes bust, however, new home start activity may dry up.

It’s important to remember that housing starts strongly correlate to mortgage interest rates. If mortgage rates rise in reaction to a change in monetary policy, housing starts may falter, which makes this economic indicator more volatile than others.

Interest Rates

Federal interest rates are an important economic indicator because of the way they’re used to shape monetary policy. The Federal Reserve makes adjustments to the federal funds rate — which is the rate at which commercial banks borrow from one another overnight–based on what’s happening with the economy overall. These adjustments then trickle down to the interest rates banks charge for loans or pay to savers.

For example, when inflation is rising or the economy is growing too quickly, the Fed may choose to raise interest rates. This can have a cooling effect, since borrowing automatically becomes more expensive. Savers can benefit, however, from earning higher rates on deposits.

On the other hand, the Fed may lower rates when the economy is sluggish to encourage borrowing and spending. Low rates make loans less expensive, potentially encouraging consumers to borrow for big-ticket items like homes, vehicles, or home improvements. Consumer spending and borrowing can help to stimulate the economy.

Stock Market

The stock market and the economy are not the same. But some analysts view stock price and trading volume as a leading indicator of economic activity. For example, investors look forward to earnings reports as an indicator of a company’s financial strength and health. They use this information about both individual companies and the markets as a whole to make strategic investment decisions.

If a single company’s earnings report is above or below expectations, that alone doesn’t necessarily suggest where the economy might be headed. But if numerous companies produce earnings reports that are similar, in terms of meeting or beating expectations, that could indicate an economic trend.

If multiple companies come in below earnings expectations, for example, that could hint at not only lower market returns but also a coming recession. On the other hand, if the majority of companies are beating earnings expectations by a mile, that could signal a thriving economy.

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The Takeaway

Economic indicators can provide a significant amount of insight into the economy and the trends that shape the markets. Having a basic understanding of the different types of economic indicators could give you an edge if you’re better able to anticipate market movements when you start investing.

Economic indicators aren’t perfect, and while they can be a helpful part of an investing strategy, investors should always do as much research as they can before making specific moves. Discussing a strategy with a financial professional may be a good idea, too.

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FAQ

What are the leading economic indicators?

There are several leading economic indicators in the U.S., and they include consumer confidence and sentiment, jobless claims, movements in the yield curve, and stock market volatility.

What are the big three macro indicators?

While they may not be “the” big three macro indicators, a few of the key macroeconomic indicators that are often cited are gross domestic product (GDP), the unemployment rate, and the Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Photo credit: iStock/FG Trade

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Nov

2023

What Is Mark to Market and How Does It Work?

Mark to Market Definition and Uses in Account & Investing

By Rebecca Lake | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

The term “mark to market” refers to an accounting method used to measure the value of assets based on current market conditions. Mark to market accounting seeks to determine the real value of assets based on what they could be sold for right now.

That can be useful in a business setting when a company is trying to gauge its financial health or get a valuation estimate ahead of a merger or acquisition. Aside from accounting, mark to market also has applications in investing when trading stocks, futures contracts, and mutual funds. For traders and investors, it can be important to understand how this concept works.

Key Points

• Mark to market is an accounting method used to determine the current value of assets based on market conditions.

• It is used in business to assess financial health and valuation, as well as in investing for trading stocks, futures contracts, and mutual funds.

• Mark to market accounting adjusts asset values based on current market conditions to estimate their potential sale value.

• Pros of mark to market accounting include accurate valuations for asset liquidation, value investing, and establishing collateral value for loans.

• Cons include potential inaccuracies, volatility skewing valuations, and the risk of devaluing assets in an economic downturn.

What Is Mark to Market?

Mark to market is, in simple terms, an accounting method that’s used to calculate the current or real value of a company’s assets, as noted. Mark to market can tell you what an asset is worth based on its fair market value.

Mark to market accounting is meant to create an accurate estimate of a company’s financial status and value year over year. This accounting method can tell you whether a company’s assets have increased or declined in value. When liabilities are factored in, mark to market can give you an idea of a company’s net worth.

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How Mark to Market Accounting Works

Mark to market accounting works by adjusting the value of assets based on current market conditions. The idea is to determine how much an asset — whether it be a piece of equipment or an investment — could be worth if it were to be sold immediately.

If a company were in a cash crunch, for example, and wanted to sell off some of its assets, mark to market accounting could give an idea of how much capital it might be able to raise. The company would try to determine as accurately as possible what its marketable assets are worth.

In stock trading, mark to market value is determined for securities by looking at volatility and market performance. Specifically, you’re looking at a security’s current trading price then making adjustments to value based on the trading price at the end of the trading day.

There are other ways mark to market can be used beyond valuing company assets or securities. In insurance, for example, the mark to market method is used to calculate the replacement value of personal property. Calculating net worth, an important personal finance ratio, is also a simple form of mark to market accounting.

Mark-to-Market Accounting: Pros and Cons

Mark to market accounting can be useful when evaluating how much a company’s assets are worth or determining value when trading securities. But it’s not an entirely foolproof accounting method.

Mark to Market Pros	Mark to Market Cons
• Can help establish accurate valuations when companies need to liquidate assets • Useful for value investors when making investment decisions • May make it easier for lenders to establish the value of collateral when extending loans	• Valuations are not always 100% accurate since they’re based on current market conditions • Increased volatility may skew valuations of company assets • Companies may devalue their assets in an economic downturn, which can result in losses

Mark to Market Pros

Mark to Market Cons

• Can help establish accurate valuations when companies need to liquidate assets

• Useful for value investors when making investment decisions

• May make it easier for lenders to establish the value of collateral when extending loans

• Valuations are not always 100% accurate since they’re based on current market conditions

• Increased volatility may skew valuations of company assets

• Companies may devalue their assets in an economic downturn, which can result in losses

Pros of Mark to Market Accounting

There are a few advantages of mark to market accounting:

• It can help generate an accurate valuation of company assets. This may be important if a company needs to liquidate assets or it’s attempting to secure financing. Lenders can use the mark to market value of assets to determine whether a company has sufficient collateral to secure a loan.

• It can help mitigate risk. If a value investor is looking for new companies to invest in, for example, having an accurate valuation is critical for avoiding value traps. Investors who rely on a fundamental approach can also use mark to market value when examining key financial ratios, such as price to earnings (P/E) or return on equity (ROE).

• It may make it easier for lenders to establish the value of collateral when extending loans. Mark to market may provide more accurate guidance in terms of collateral value.

Cons of Mark to Market Accounting

There are also some potential disadvantages of using mark to market accounting:

• It may not be 100% accurate. Fair market value is determined based on what you expect someone to pay for an asset that you have to sell. That doesn’t necessarily guarantee you would get that amount if you were to sell the asset.

• It can be problematic during periods of increased economic volatility. It may be more difficult to estimate the value of a company’s assets or net worth when the market is experiencing uncertainty or overall momentum is trending toward an economic downturn.

• Companies may inadvertently devalue their assets in a downturn. If the market’s perception of a company, industry, or sector turns negative, it could spur a sell-off of assets. Companies may end up devaluing their assets if they’re liquidating in a panic. This can have a boomerang effect and drive further economic decline, as it did in the 1930s when banks marked down assets following the 1929 stock market crash.

Mark to Market in Investing

In investing, mark to market is used to measure the current value of securities, portfolios or trading accounts. This is most often used in instances where investors are trading futures or other securities in margin accounts.

Futures are derivative financial contracts, in which there’s an agreement to buy or sell a particular security at a specific price on a future date. Margin trading involves borrowing money from a brokerage in order to increase purchasing power.

Understanding mark to market is important for meeting margin requirements to continue trading. Investors typically have to deposit cash or have marginable securities of $2,000 or 50% of the securities purchased. The maintenance margin reflects the amount that must be in the margin account at all times to avoid a margin call.

In simple terms, margin calls are requests for more money. FINRA rules require the maintenance margin to be at least 25% of the total value of margin securities. If an investor is subject to a margin call, they’ll have to sell assets or deposit more money to reach their maintenance margin and continue trading.

In futures trading, mark to market is used to price contracts at the end of the trading day. Adjustments are made to reflect the day’s profits or losses, based on the closing price at settlement. These adjustments affect the cash balance showing in a futures account, which in turn may affect an investor’s ability to meet margin maintenance requirements.

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Mark to Market Example

Futures markets follow an official daily settlement price that’s established by the exchange. In a futures contract transaction you have a long trader and a short trader. The amount of value gained or lost in the futures contract at the end of the day is reflected in the values of the accounts belonging to the short and long trader.

So, assume a farmer takes a short position in 10 soybean futures contracts to hedge against the possibility of falling commodities prices. Each contract represents 5,000 bushels of soybeans and is priced at $5 each. The farmer’s account balance is $250,000. This account balance will change daily as the mark to market value is recalculated. Here’s what that might look like over a five-day period.

Day	Futures Price	Change in Value	Gain/Loss	Cumulative Gain/Loss	Account Balance
1	$5				$250,00
2	$5.05	+0.05	-2,500	-2,500	$247,500
3	$5.03	-0.02	+1,000	-1,500	$248,500
4	$4.97	-0.06	+3,000	+1,500	$251,500
5	$4.90	-0.07	+3,500	+5,000	$255,000

Since the farmer took a short position, a decline in the value of the futures contract results in a positive gain for their account value. This daily pattern of mark to market will continue until the futures contract expires.

Conversely, the trader who holds a long position in the same contract will see their account balance move in the opposite direction as each new gain or loss is posted.

Mark to Market in Recent History

Mark to market accounting can become problematic if an asset’s market value and true value are out of sync. For example, during the financial crisis of 2008-09, mortgage-backed securities (MBS) became a trouble spot for banks. As the housing market soared, banks raised valuations for mortgage-backed securities. To increase borrowing and sell more loans, credit standards were relaxed. This meant banks were carrying a substantial amount of subprime loans.

As asset prices began to fall, banks began pulling back on loans to keep their liabilities in balance with assets. The end result was a housing bubble which sparked a housing crisis. During this time, the U.S. economy would enter one of the worst recessions in recent history.

The U.S. Financial Accounting Standards Board (FASB) eased rules regarding the use of mark to market accounting in 2009. This permitted banks to keep the values of mortgage-backed securities on their balance sheets when the value of those securities had dropped significantly. The measure meant banks were not forced to mark the value of those securities down.

Can You Mark Assets to Market?

The FASB oversees mark to market accounting standards. These standards, along with other accounting and financial reporting rules, apply to corporate entities and nonprofit organizations in the U.S. But it’s possible to use mark to market principles when making trades.

If you’re trading futures contracts, for instance, mark to market adjustments are made to your cash balance daily, based on the settlement price of the securities you hold. Your cash balance will increase or decrease based on the gains or losses reported for that day.

If the market moves in your favor, your account’s value would increase. But if the market moves against you and your futures contracts drop in value, your cash balance would adjust accordingly. You’d have to pay attention to maintenance margin requirements in order to avoid a margin call.

Which Assets Are Marked to Market?

Generally, the types of assets that are marked to market are ones that are bought and sold for cash relatively quickly — otherwise known as marketable securities. Assets that can be marked to market include stocks, futures, and mutual funds. These are assets for which it’s possible to determine a fair market value based on current market conditions.

When measuring the value of tangible and intangible assets, companies may not use the mark to market method. In the case of equipment, for example, they may use historical cost accounting which considers the original price paid for an asset and its subsequent depreciation. Meanwhile, different valuation methods may be necessary to determine the worth of intellectual property or a company’s brand reputation, which are intangible assets.

Mark to Market Losses

Mark to market losses occur when the value of an asset falls from one day to the next. A mark to market loss is unrealized since it only reflects the change in valuation of asset, not any capital losses associated with the sale of an asset for less than its purchase price. The loss happens when the value of the asset or security in question is adjusted to reflect its new market value.

Mark to Market Losses During Crises

Mark to market losses can be amplified during a financial crisis when it’s difficult to accurately determine the fair market value of an asset or security. When the stock market crashed, for instance, in 1929, banks were moved to devalue assets based on mark to market accounting rules. This helped turn what could have been a temporary recession into the Great Depression, one of the most significant economic events in stock market history.

Mark to Market Losses in 2008

During the 2008 financial crisis, mark to market accounting practices were a target of criticism as the housing market crashed. The market for mortgage-backed securities vanished, meaning the value of those securities took a nosedive.

Banks couldn’t sell those assets, and under mark to market accounting rules they had to be revalued. As a result banks collectively reported around $2 trillion in total mark to market losses.

The Takeaway

Mark to market is, as discussed, an accounting method that’s used to calculate the current or real value of a company’s assets. Mark to market is a helpful principle to understand, especially if you’re interested in futures trading.

When trading futures or trading on margin, it’s important to understand how mark to market calculations could affect your returns and your potential to be subject to a margin call. As always, if you feel like you’re in the weeds, it can be beneficial to speak with a financial professional for guidance.

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FAQ

Is mark to market accounting legal?

Mark to market account is a legal accounting practice, and is overseen by the FASB. Though it has been used in the past to cover financial losses, it remains a legal and viable method.

Is mark to market accounting still used?

Yes, mark to market accounting is still used both by businesses and individuals for investments and personal finance needs. In some sectors of the economy, it may even remain as one of the primary accounting methods.

What are mark to market losses?

Mark to market losses are losses that are generated as a result of an accounting entry, as opposed to a loss generated by the sale of an asset. The loss is incurred, under mark to market accounting, when the value of an asset declines, not when it is sold for less than it was purchased.

Photo credit: iStock/Drazen_

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INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

Nov

2023

Guide to Calculating EPS and Why It Matters

By Brian Nibley | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing, Terminology | Comments Off

Earnings per share (EPS) tells investors a company’s ability to produce income for shareholders, and relates to its profitability. To calculate EPS, investors can use a ratio that takes a company’s quarterly or annual net income and divide it by the number of outstanding shares of stock on the market.

Knowing a stock’s earnings per share can be a valuable portfolio benchmarking tool. Think of EPS as GPS for where a public company is on the value map, based on how profitable it has been. Further, knowing an investment’s EPS gives investors — and portfolio managers — a good indicator of a stock’s performance over a specific period of time and its potential share price performance in the near future.

Key Points

• Earnings per share (EPS) is a ratio that measures a company’s ability to generate income for shareholders.

• EPS is calculated by dividing a company’s net income by the number of outstanding shares of stock.

• EPS is a valuable tool for benchmarking a company’s profitability and assessing its potential share price performance.

• Basic EPS includes all outstanding stock shares, while diluted EPS considers additional assets like convertible securities.

• EPS may help investors evaluate a company’s financial health, make investment decisions, and assess risk.

What Is Earnings Per Share (EPS)?

The starting point for any conversation about the EPS ratio is the earnings report companies issue to regulators, shareholders, and potential investors. Earnings reports play a major role, if not the starring role, during earnings season.

Publicly traded companies must, by law, report their earnings quarterly and annually. Earnings represent the net income a company generates (after taxes and after expenses are deducted), along with an estimate of what profits or losses can be expected going forward.

Typically, investment analysts, money managers and investors look at earnings as a major component of a company’s profit potential, with earnings per share a particularly useful measurement tool when gauging a company’s financial prospects.

While a company’s earnings call represents a publicly traded company’s revenues, minus operating expenses, earnings per share is different.

EPS indicates a firm’s earnings for investors, divided by the company’s number of remaining shares. Earnings per share is perhaps most optimal when comparing EPS rates of publicly traded firms operating in the same industry.

It is likely not, however, the only investment measurement tool when researching stocks and funds. Other key indicators, like share price, market share, market capitalization, dividend growth, and historical performance may also be added to the investment assessment mix. In all, though, it’s an important tool that can help determine the investing risk at play when making investing decisions.

If you’re wondering how to find earnings per share, investors can find a company’s quarterly and yearly EPS by visiting the firm’s investor relations page on its website or by plugging in the stock’s ticker symbol on major business and finance media platforms.

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Basic and Diluted EPS

When companies report earnings per share, they may do so in two forms: basic EPS or diluted EPS. Each has key distinctions that investors should know about. Basic EPS is a good barometer of a firm’s financial health, while diluted EPS represents a deeper dive into a company’s financial metrics and its use of alternative assets like convertible securities.

Basic

Basic earnings per share, or basic EPS, includes all of a publicly traded company’s outstanding stock shares.

Diluted

Diluted earnings per share, or diluted eps, includes all of a company’s outstanding stock shares, plus its investable assets, like stock options, stock warrants, and other forms of convertible investments tied to a company’s financial performance that could become common stocks one day.

One big takeaway for both EPS models is that any major deviation between basic and diluted EPS calculations should be considered a warning sign to investors, as it indicates that a company’s use of convertible securities is complicated and still in flux.

That scenario may indicate that the company isn’t in an ideal position to provide accurate share value to the investing public at a given time.

Why Is EPS Important to Investors

EPS calculations are not only a snapshot of a company’s profit performance, but they can also be used to evaluate a company’s stock price going forward. Even a moderate increase in EPS may indicate that a company’s profit potential is on the upside, and investors may take that as a sign to buy the company’s stock.

Conversely, a small decrease in a company’s EPS from quarter to quarter may trigger a red flag among investors, who could view a downward EPS trend as a larger profit issue and shy away from buying the company’s stock.

In short, the higher the EPS, the more attractive that company’s stock generally is to investors. But the higher a stock’s EPS, the more expensive its shares are likely to be.

Once investors have an accurate EPS figure, they can decide if a stock is priced fairly and make an appropriate investment decision.

What Is Considered a Good EPS Ratio?

There’s no hard and fast figure to point to when trying to determine a good EPS ratio. It’s perhaps better practice to look, in general, for a higher number. Context is important, too, because whether an EPS is good may depend on the expectations surrounding it.

Companies grow at different rates, and some are in different stages of growth than others. With that in mind, you might expect a different EPS for, say, a tech startup than you would for a decades-old auto manufacturer. So, there are differences and contexts to take into consideration.

But again, it may be best to look for a high number — or, to do some research to figure out what analysts and experts are looking for in terms of a specific company’s EPS. Again, this can all help you determine whether a stock is right for your portfolio and strategy in accordance with your tolerance for risk.

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Earnings Per Share Ratio Considerations

Investors should prepare to dig deeper and examine what factors influence EPS figures. These factors are at the top of that list:

• EPS numbers can rise or fall significantly based on earnings’ rise or fall, or as the number of company shares rises or falls.

• A company’s earnings may rise because sales are surging faster than expenses, or if company managers succeed in curbing operations costs. Additionally, investors may get a “false read” on EPS if too many company expenses are shed from the EPS calculation.

• A company’s number of outstanding shares may fall if a company engages in significant stock share buybacks. Correspondingly, shares outstanding may jump when a firm issues new stock shares.

• A company’s profit margins are also a big influencer on EPS. A company that is losing money usually has a negative EPS number. (Then again, that may send a wrong signal to investors. The company could be on the path to profits, and that trend may not show up in an EPS calculation.)

• A price to earnings ratio is another highly useful metric to evaluate a stock’s share growth potential. Investors can find a P/E ratio through a proper calculation of EPS (“P” is the price per share; “E” refers to EPS), though it’s easy to look up a P/E ratio on any site that aggregates stock information.

EPS can be reported for each quarter or fiscal year, or it can be projected into the future with a forward EPS.

How to Calculate EPS

The EPS formula is fairly simple, and it can be used in a couple of different methods, too. The most common way to accurately gauge an EPS figure is through an end-of-period calculation.

EPS Formula

The EPS formula is a company’s net income, minus its preferred dividends, divided by the number of shares outstanding. It looks like this:

EPS = (net income – preferred dividends) / outstanding shares

EPS is perhaps usually calculated using preferred dividends, but it can be calculated without them, too. Here are a couple of examples:

Example With Preferred Dividends

Investors can calculate EPS by subtracting a stock’s total preferred dividends from the company’s net income. Then divide that number by the end-of-period stock shares that are outstanding.

Basic EPS = (net income – preferred dividends) / weighted average number of common shares outstanding

For example, ABC Co. generates a net income of $2 million in a quarter. Simultaneously, the company rolls out $275,000 in preferred dividends and has 12 million outstanding shares of stock. In that calculation, knowing that shares of common stock are equal in value, the company’s earnings per share is $0.14.

(2,000,000 – 275,000) ÷ 12,000,000＝ 0.14

Example Without Preferred Dividends

For smaller publicly traded companies with no preferred dividends, the EPS calculation is more straightforward.

Basic EPS = net income / weighted average number of common shares outstanding

Let’s say DEF Corp. has generated a net income of $50,000 for the year. As the company has no preferred shares outstanding and has 5,000 weighted average shares on an annual basis, its earnings per share is $10.

50,000 ÷ 5,000＝ 10

In any EPS calculation, preferred dividends must be severed from net income. That’s because earnings per share is primarily designed to calculate the net income for holders of common stock.

Additionally, in most EPS end-of-period calculations, a company is mostly likely to calculate EPS for end-of-year financial statements. That’s because companies may issue new stock or buy back existing shares of company stock.

In those instances, a weighted average of common stock shares is required for an accurate EPS assessment. (A weighted average of a company’s outstanding shares can provide more clarity because a fixed number at any given time may provide a false EPS outcome, as share prices can be volatile and change quickly on a day-to-day basis.)

The most commonly used EPS share model calculation is the “trailing 12 months” formula, which tracks a company’s earnings per share by totaling its EPS for the previous four quarters.

The Takeaway

Earnings per share (EPS) can be calculated by investors to get a better sense of a company’s ability to produce income for shareholders. To calculate EPS, investors can use a ratio that takes a company’s quarterly or annual net income and divide it by the number of outstanding shares of stock on the market. There are different variations of the calculation, too.

Earnings trends, up or down, make earnings per share one of the most valuable metrics for assessing investments. Four or five years of positive EPS activity is considered an indicator that a company’s long-term financial prospects are robust and that its share growth should continue to rise.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

How do you calculate EPS by year?

To calculate EPS by year, investors can use the formula that subtracts preferred dividends from net income, and then divide that number by the weighted average of common shares outstanding for the given year.

What is a good EPS ratio?

Each company is different, as is the context surrounding it, so there is no general rule about what makes a “good” EPS ratio for any given stock. Instead, investors should gauge analyst expectations, and consider a company’s age, among other things, to determine if its EPS is good or bad.

What are the two ways to calculate EPS?

Earnings per share (EPS) can be calculated with preferred dividends, or without preferred dividends, depending on the specific company.

SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

Nov

2023

Capital Appreciation on Investments

By Michael Flannelly | Growing Wealth, invest, Investing | Comments Off

The term capital appreciation refers to an investment’s value rising over time. Theoretically, capital, meaning money or funds, appreciates, or goes up (as opposed to depreciates) after an investor initially purchases it, and that rise in value is what’s referred to as capital appreciation.

Of course, capital can also depreciate, but investors aren’t usually looking for negative returns. This is an important concept for investors to grasp, too, as capital appreciation is likely the main goal of most investors’ overall strategies.

Key Points

• Capital appreciation refers to the increase in an investment’s value over time.

• Calculating capital appreciation involves comparing the current market price of an asset to its original purchase price.

• Factors such as company performance, economic conditions, and monetary policy can influence capital appreciation.

• Assets like stocks, real estate, mutual funds, ETFs, and commodities are commonly associated with capital appreciation.

• Capital appreciation is an important component of long-term wealth-building strategies, along with income from dividends and interest.

What Is Capital Appreciation?

As noted, capital appreciation refers to a rise in the price of an investment. Essentially, it is how much the value of an asset has increased since an investor purchased it. Analysts calculate capital appreciation by comparing the asset’s current market price and the original purchase price, also called the cost basis.

Example of Capital Appreciation

Capital appreciation can be understood by analyzing an example from stock market investing.

If an investor purchases 100 shares of Company A for $10 a share, they are buying $1,000 worth of stock. If the price of this investment increases to $12 per share, the initial 100 share investment is now worth $1,200. In this example, the capital appreciation would be $200, or a 20% increase above the initial investment.

💡 Quick Tip: Look for an online brokerage with low trading commissions as well as no account minimum. Higher fees can cut into investment returns over time.

What Causes Capital Appreciation?

The value of assets can rise and fall for various reasons. These include factors specific to individual investments and those affecting the economy and financial world as a whole.

Asset Fundamentals

In the most traditional sense, the price of an asset will increase because of a rise in the fundamental value of the underlying investment. When investors see that a company is doing well and expect it to keep doing well, they will invest in the company’s stock. This activity pushes the stock price up, resulting in capital appreciation if an investor holds shares in the company.

For a real estate asset, the value of a property could go up after a homeowner or landlord renovates a structure. This capital improvement increases the property’s market value.

Macroeconomic Factors

When the economy is booming, it can buoy all kinds of financial assets. In a strong economy, people typically have good jobs and can afford to spend money. This helps many companies’ bottom lines, which causes investors to put money into shares of the company. The opposite of this scenario is also true. When the economy endures a downturn, asset prices may fall.

Recommended: Understanding Economic Indicators

Monetary Policy

Central banks like the Federal Reserve play a significant role in how the financial markets operate. Because of this, the monetary policy set by central banks can play a prominent role in capital appreciation.

For example, when a central bank cuts interest rates, corporations can usually borrow money at a lower cost. Businesses often use this injection of cheap money to invest in and grow their business, which may cause investors to pour into the stock market and push share prices higher. Additionally, companies may take advantage of lower interest loans to borrow money to buy shares of their stock, known as a stock buyback. These moves may push share prices higher, further leading to capital appreciation.

Another monetary policy tool is quantitative easing (QE), which refers to a method of central bank intervention where central banks purchase long-term securities to increase the supply of money and encourage investment and lending. Like a low interest rate policy, this method can lead to rising asset prices because more money is being added to the economy — money that flows into assets, bidding their prices higher.

Speculation

Another potential cause of capital appreciation is speculation. Speculation occurs when many investors perceive the value of a particular asset as being higher than it is and start buying the asset in anticipation of a higher price. This activity may lead to the price of an asset being pushed higher. After a frenzy, the price of the asset eventually drops as investors sell in a panic when they realize there’s no fundamental reason to keep holding the asset. This type of speculation is fueled by investors’ emotions, rather than financial fundamentals.

Assets Designed for Capital Appreciation

There are several categories of assets that are designed for returns through price appreciation. Investors generally hold these investments for the long term hoping that prices will rise. This isn’t an exhaustive list, but it provides a good overview.

Stocks

Stocks are a type of financial security that represents equity ownership in a corporation. They can be thought of as little pieces of a publicly-traded company that investors can purchase on an exchange, with hopes that the price of the shares will go up.

Real Estate

Real estate is a piece of land and anything attached to that land. Many people build wealth through homeownership and capital appreciation, buying a house at a specific price with an expectation that it will appreciate in value by the time they are ready to sell.

Residential real estate is just one area of real estate investment. Investors may also look to put money into commercial, industrial, and agricultural real estate activities. Investors can invest in various real estate investment trusts (REITs) to get exposure to returns on real estate.

Mutual Funds

A mutual fund consists of a pool of money from many investors. The fund might invest in various assets, including stocks, bonds, commodities, or anything else. In the context of a mutual fund, capital appreciation occurs when the value of the assets in the fund rises.

ETFs

Similar to mutual funds, exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are investment vehicles that contain a group of different stocks, bonds, or commodities. ETFs can track stocks in one particular industry, e.g., gold mining stocks, or track all the stocks in an entire index such as the S&P 500. As the name suggests, ETFs are bought and sold on exchanges just like stocks.

Commodities

Commodities are an investment that has a tangible economic value. This means that the market values these raw materials because of their different use cases. For example, commodities like oil and wheat are desired because they can power automobiles and be used for food, respectively. Commodities markets can be highly volatile, but many investors take advantage of the volatility to see the capital appreciation on both a short-term and long-term time horizon.

💡 Quick Tip: Distributing your money across a range of assets — also known as diversification — can be beneficial for long-term investors. When you put your eggs in many baskets, it may be beneficial if a single asset class goes down.

Capital Appreciation Bonds

Capital appreciation bonds are municipal securities backed by local government agencies. With these bonds, investors hope to receive a significant return in the future by investing a small amount upfront.

Like all bonds, capital appreciation bonds yield interest, which is a primary reason that investors buy them. But instead of paying out interest annually, the interest gets compounded regularly until maturity. This gives the investor one lump sum payout at the end of the bond’s lifetime.

Unlike other assets that experience capital appreciation, the price of the capital appreciation bond does not rise. Instead, capital appreciation refers to the compounded interest paid out to the bondholder at maturity.

Capital Appreciation vs Capital Gains

Though the terms are sometimes used interchangeably, there is a difference between capital appreciation and capital gains.

Capital appreciation occurs when the value of an investment rises above the purchase price while the investor owns the asset. In contrast, capital gains are the profit made once an investment is sold. Appreciation is, in effect, an “unrealized” gain. It becomes “realized” once the investment is sold for a profit.

Capital appreciation alone does not have tax implications; an investor doesn’t have to pay taxes on the price growth of an investment when they own it. But when an investor sells an investment and realizes a profit, they must pay capital gains taxes on the windfall.

Capital Appreciation vs Income

Capital appreciation is one piece of the puzzle in an investment strategy. Another critical component to build wealth is investing in assets that pay out dividends, interest, and other income sources.

A dividend is a portion of a company’s earnings paid out to the shareholders. For every share of stock an investor owns, they get paid a portion of the company’s profits.

Interest income is typically earned by investing in bonds, otherwise known as fixed-income investments. The interest payment is determined by the bond’s yield or interest rate. Investors can also be paid interest by putting money into savings accounts or certificates of deposit (CDs).

For real estate investors, rents paid by tenants can also act as a regular income payout.

Investing in assets that pay out regular income can supplement capital appreciation. The combination of capital appreciation with income returns is the total return of an investment.

Risks Associated With This Type of Investment

Assets intended for capital appreciation tend to be riskier than those intended for capital preservation, like many types of bonds.

Investing in stocks for capital appreciation alone is also known as growth investing. This strategy is typically focused on investing in young or small companies that are expected to increase at an above-average rate compared to the overall market.

The returns with a growth investing strategy can be high, but the risk involved is also high. Because they don’t have a long track record, these small and young companies can struggle to grow their business and lead to bankruptcy.

The Takeaway

Capital appreciation refers to the rise in value, or price, of an investment in an investor’s portfolio. It’s paramount to the whole concept of investing, as most investors invest in an effort to generate returns, or appreciation, on their money.

Capital appreciation is one part of a long-term wealth-building strategy. Along with income from dividends, interest, and rent, capital appreciation is part of the total return of an investment that investors need to consider.

For a limited time, opening and funding an Active Invest account gives you the opportunity to get up to $1,000 in the stock of your choice.

FAQ

What is the difference between capital growth and capital appreciation?

The difference between the terms capital growth and capital appreciation is merely semantics. Both terms refer to an increase in value of an investment over time, and effectively mean the same thing.

How much tax do you pay on capital appreciation?

Investors do not pay taxes on capital appreciation, as an investment gaining value does not trigger a taxable event. They do pay taxes on capital gains, which are realized when an investor sells an asset.

What is the difference between dividend and capital appreciation?

A dividend is a payout to shareholders from a company’s profits. Capital appreciation is the rise in market value of an investment or asset, so they are two completely different things.

SoFi Invest®

INVESTMENTS ARE NOT FDIC INSURED • ARE NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE

Nov

2023

Guide to Liquid Net Worth

By Kelly Boyer Sagert | Budgeting & Goals, Financial Independence, Growing Wealth, money, Terminology | Comments Off

Table of Contents

What Is Liquid Net Worth?
Net Worth vs Liquid Net Worth
Why Liquid Net Worth Matters
Calculating Your Liquid Net Worth
4 Tips for Improving Liquid Net Worth

If you’re wondering how your financial health is tracking, you may want to figure out your net worth and your liquid net worth. These two numbers reflect what your assets (what you have) vs. what you owe, helping you see how your personal wealth is evolving.

While totaling up your net worth offers a more big-picture view of your total assets with your total liabilities subtracted, liquid net worth is a slice of that. It focuses on solely the amount you own in liquid assets minus your total liabilities.

This reflects how much cash you truly have access to or could quickly raise if for some reason you needed to.

Here’s a guide to determining your liquid net worth and ways to improve it.

Key Points

• Net worth is the value of your assets minus your liabilities, while liquid net worth focuses on easily accessible assets.

• Liquid net worth includes cash, checking and savings accounts, stocks, bonds, and other assets that can be quickly converted to cash.

• Non-liquid assets like real estate and retirement accounts are not included in liquid net worth calculations.

• Liquid net worth is important for financial stability and emergency preparedness.

• Strategies for improving liquid net worth include building an emergency fund, reducing expenses, paying off high-interest debt, and increasing investments.

What Is Liquid Net Worth?

First, know that net worth is the amount of assets you have minus your liabilities, or what you owe. When it comes to income vs. net worth, you see that your worth is more than just what you earn; it’s also what you keep and how you invest and grow your money.

For instance, if you have a high income but spend it all because your cost of living is very high, your net worth could be very low despite your healthy salary.

Now, what is liquid net worth’s meaning? That’s the same calculation as net worth, but only looking at assets that could easily be tapped. So, you would exclude the value of, say, the home you are living in or your retirement accounts which you can’t touch until decades from now.

Liquid net worth reflects assets you could draw upon right now if you had to, without putting your home on the market or pulling money out of an IRA. Net worth vs. liquid net worth, on the other hand, represents all your assets, whether easily tapped or not.

What Counts for Liquid Net Worth Calculations?

Here are some assets that can count when calculating liquid net worth:

• Cash

• Money in a checking account

• Money in a savings, CD, or money market account

• Mutual funds, stocks, and bonds

• Possibly jewelry and watches that could be quickly sold, if need be.

Typically, you do not include real estate or retirement savings when calculating liquid net worth as these can’t be cashed in on the spot if that was your goal.

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Net Worth vs Liquid Net Worth

As briefly mentioned above, your total net worth includes all of your assets (what you own) and liabilities (what you owe). When you determine your net worth, you add up all your assets, including non-liquid assets, such as your house, car, and retirement accounts, and then subtract all of your liabilities. The resulting number is your total net worth.

• Your liquid net worth is the amount of money you have in cash or cash equivalents (assets that can be easily converted into cash) after you’ve deducted all of your liabilities.

It’s very similar to net worth, except that it doesn’t account for non-liquid assets such as real estate or retirement accounts.

• Your total net worth gives you a picture of your overall financial strength and balance sheet, while liquid net worth shows how much money you have available that is quickly accessible in case of emergency or other financial hardship.

• Both measures of net worth can give you a useful snapshot of your financial wellness, since they consider both assets and debts. Looking at your assets without considering your debts can give you a false picture of your financial situation.

• Knowing and tracking these numbers can also tell you if you are moving in the right or wrong financial direction. If your net worth or liquid net worth is in negative territory or the numbers are declining over time, it can be a sign you need to make some changes and/or may want to put off making a major purchase such as a home or a car.

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Why Liquid Net Worth Matters

Your liquid net worth is a measure of your ability to weather a financial storm. Imagine you need money for something important — a major home or car repair, a trip to the ER, or getting laid off and deciding to start a new business.

You need it now… or, at least, within the next few weeks or months. Where are you going to get the money?

You might not want to look at cashing in things like your home, your car, your retirement savings, your baseball card collection, or Grandma’s wedding ring unless it’s absolutely necessary.

Those kinds of assets can be difficult to convert to cash in a hurry — and there could be consequences if you did decide to go that route.

Instead, it may be easier to tap your more liquid assets, such as cash from a checking, savings, or money market account, or cash equivalents, like stocks and bonds, mutual funds, or money market funds.

Liquid net worth is often considered a true measure of how financially stable you are because it tells you what you can rely on to cover expenses. In addition, your liquid net worth acts as an overall emergency fund.

Calculating Your Liquid Net Worth

The difference in calculating net worth and liquid net worth is understanding which of your financial assets are liquid assets.

Liquid assets are cash and assets that could be converted to cash quickly. The following are considered liquid assets.

• Cash: This includes the money that is in your wallet, as well as the cash you have in any savings, checking, and money market accounts.

• Stocks: Any equity in a brokerage account, such as stocks, index funds, mutual funds, and ETFs, is considered a liquid asset. While you might have to pay taxes and other fees if you sell equities to convert to cash, you could liquidate these assets fairly quickly.

• Bonds: Like equities, any bonds or bond funds are also liquid assets. Again, you may have to pay taxes on your profits when you sell, but the translation is relatively quick.

Non-liquid assets include anything that cannot be converted to cash quickly or for their full value, such as:

• Retirement accounts, such as 401(k)s and IRAs.

• A house or other real estate holding (which could take a while to sell and the actual sales price is not known).

• Cars (while you may be able to liquidate a car relatively quickly, cars generally don’t hold their original value; they depreciate).

Liquid Net Worth Formula

For a liquid net worth calculation, here are the steps to follow:

• List all of your liquid assets: The cash and cash equivalents you could easily and quickly get your hands on if you need money.

• Next, list your current liabilities, including credit card debt, student loan balance, unsecured loans, medical debt, a car loan, and any other debt.

• Subtract your liabilities from your liquid assets. The result is your liquid net worth.

4 Tips for Improving Liquid Net Worth

If your liquid net worth is too low to cover at least three to six months’ worth of living expenses or is in negative territory, you may want to take some steps to bolster this number. Here are some strategies that can help boost liquid net worth.

1. Building an Emergency Fund

If you don’t already have a solid contingency fund set aside in a liquid account, you may want to start building one. Having enough cash on hand to cover three to six months’ worth of expenses can be a great place to start building your liquid net worth.

An emergency fund can help keep you from getting behind on your bills and running up high interest credit card debt in the event of an unexpected expense, job loss, or reduction in work hours.

It’s fine to build towards this slowly. Automating your savings to deposit, say, $25 per paycheck into an emergency fund can be a good starting point if money is tight.

2. Reducing Expenses

For every dollar you save each month, you are potentially increasing your liquid net worth by that amount. One way to cut spending is to take a close look at your monthly expenses and to then try to find places where you may be able to cut back, such as saving on streaming services, lowering your food bills, or shopping around for a better deal on home and car insurance.

3. Lowering High-Interest Debt

Debts add to your liabilities and therefore lower your liquid net worth. Expensive debt also increases your monthly expenses in the form of interest. This gives you less money to put in the bank each month, making it harder to build your liquid net worth.

If you’re carrying credit card debt, you may want to start a debt reduction plan (such as the “debt snowball” or “debt avalanche” method) to get it paid down faster.

4. Increasing Investments

Investing money in the market for long-term savings goals, such as a child’s education, can increase your liquid net worth. While there is risk involved, you’ll have more time to ride out the ups and downs of the securities markets when saving for the longer term.

Recommended: Average Net Worth by Age

The Takeaway

Liquid net worth is the amount of money you have in cash or cash equivalents after you’ve deducted your liabilities from your liquid assets. It doesn’t account for non-liquid assets, such as real estate or retirement accounts.

Your liquid net worth can be a valuable measure of your financial health and stability because it shows how prepared you are to handle a change in plans, an unexpected expense, or a true emergency.

One easy way to boost your liquid net worth is to start building an emergency fund. If you’re looking for a good place to start saving, you may want to consider opening a high-interest bank account.

Interested in opening an online bank account? When you sign up for a SoFi Checking and Savings account with direct deposit, you’ll get a competitive annual percentage yield (APY), pay zero account fees, and enjoy an array of rewards, such as access to the Allpoint Network of 55,000+ fee-free ATMs globally. Qualifying accounts can even access their paycheck up to two days early.

Better banking is here with SoFi, NerdWallet’s 2024 winner for Best Checking Account Overall.* Enjoy up to 4.00% APY on SoFi Checking and Savings.

FAQ

Does a 401(k) count as liquid net worth?

When calculating liquid net worth, you typically do not include retirement accounts nor real estate. Liquid net worth’s meaning involves assets you can quickly tap without paying a large penalty.

How do you calculate liquid net worth?

To calculate your liquid net worth, add up your liquid assets (cash, money in the bank, stocks, bonds, and the like) and subtract your liabilities (credit card debt, student loans, car loan, etc.). When adding up your assets, do not include real estate or retirement accounts.

What is the average liquid net worth by age?

Figures for average liquid net worth are hard to come by. Rather, total net worth is what is typically tracked, which was recently found to be approximately $76,300 for those under age 35, $436,200 for those 35 to 44; $833,200 for those 45 to 54, and $1,175,900 for those 55 yo 64. It may be helpful to also consider the media values for these age brackets, which are significantly lower than the average.

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